2025 Thursday Night Football Best Bets - NFL Lines & Picks

2025 NFL Thursday Night Football Week 15 Betting Lines

With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers losing on Sunday for the fourth time in their last five games, the Week 15 Thursday Night Football matchup got very interesting. The Bucs were upset at home by the New Orleans Saints falling into a tie with the idle Carolina Panthers for first place in the NFC South. Tampa stays within the division hosting the Atlanta Falcons looking to jumpstart a sluggish offense against an Atlanta squad that’s allowed 30 points or more in four of its last seven outings.

A good start to the year that had the Falcons over .500 after five games turned sour. Atlanta lost its Week 7 game with San Francisco and is just 1-7 since. Their losing streak reached two games with Sunday’s 37-9 loss to Seattle in which they allowed a season-high point total. The teams met in the Week 1 opener with Tampa scoring a late TD for the 23-20 victory. The Bucs go for their first season sweep of Atlanta since the 2021 campaign.

Falcons at Buccaneers TNF Week 15 Lines

Spread: Buccaneers -4

Total: 44

Money Line: Falcons +194 / Buccaneers -233

Falcons at Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Falcons are left to play spoiler for the remainder of the season. Their loss to Seattle guaranteed another losing season and they were officially eliminated from playoff consideration. And it was some of the same issues that plagued them all season coming up in the Seattle game. The Falcons are one of the worst teams at converting third-down plays and their inability to extend drives kept them out of the end zone. The Falcons were just 1 of 13 on their third-down plays and they are next to last in the NFL in third-down efficiency.

With Michael Penix Jr. on the injured list and leading receiver Drake London still absent, the Falcons are playing shorthanded on offense. Since taking over when Penix was lost for the year in Week 11, Kirk Cousins has played well enough to keep his club in games with a chance to win. That wasn’t the case on Sunday, though. Cousins was 15 of 30 for 162 yards and two interceptions. Unfortunately he has as many INTs as touchdown passes over the last four games.

The Falcons have been prone to turnovers coughing it up three times on Sunday giving them at least one turnover in five straight games. They also failed on four red zone trips. Atlanta failed to stay within the 6.5-point spread and they have just two payouts in their last eight games.

Tampa learned a lesson on Sunday that you can’t take a team at the bottom of the division standings lightly. Entering their contest with the Saints as a lofty 7.5-point favorite, the Bucs were ambushed, 24-20, losing for the fourth time in five games. “It doesn’t matter whether the team was 12-0 or 0-12, it’s the NFL. You have to show up and make plays or the other team is gonna beat you,” coach Todd Bowles said.

The early season magic created by Baker Mayfield has fled the Bucs. Tampa won four games during its 5-1 start by three points or less with Mayfield leading late scoring drives in all four. And Tampa’s once comfortable lead in the division has been wiped out. I don’t think the Bucs will overlook the 4-win Falcons, but with two games against Carolina in the final three weeks of the season there’s always a chance.

The Bucs have had issues on the field in recent weeks which has led to problems at the betting window. Tampa has gone five games without a payout and is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven games. The Bucs covered the 1-point spread in the Week 1 clash ending a 2-game losing streak in the series. Mayfield threw for 167 yards and three TDs in the victory with his last coming in the final minute for the lead.

Atlanta moved into position for a potential game-tying field goal, but Younghoe Koo missed a 44-yard attempt. It was the last kick for Koo as a member of the Falcons, who released him prior to Week 3.

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