2025 NFL Thursday Night Football Week 3 Betting Lines
Week 3 of the NFL season starts with an AFC East battle between the team favored to win the division and one trying to stay relevant. Led by MVP Josh Allen the Buffalo Bills are not only the division favorite, they are also among the top Super Bowl favorites. The five-time defending AFC East champions host the Miami Dolphins on Thursday night at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The game will air on Prime at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Buffalo’s run of division titles has been sparked by their success against common opponents, and especially against the Dolphins. The Bills have won six straight in the series and 13 of the last 14 meetings. The Bills have also won 14 of their last 17 games against AFC East foes. One of those setbacks came in the last season’s final regular season game when the Bills rested most of their starters, including Allen.
Dolphins at Bills TNF Week 3 Lines
Spread: Bills -12
Total: 50
Money Line: Dolphins +560 / Bills -758
Dolphins at Bills Betting Preview
After beating the Ravens, 41-40, in dramatic fashion in their opener, the Bills had an easier time on Sunday blasting the Jets. Defense was an issue against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, but most teams can’t contain the two-time MVP. In the previous four seasons the Bills allowed 40 or more points in a game just four times. Baltimore hit that mark early in the fourth quarter in Week 1 amassing 238 yards on the ground. Allen led a furious comeback with a scoring pass, touchdown run and orchestrating the game-winning field goal drive, all in the final four minutes.
On Sunday the Bills didn’t need Allen’s heroics jumping out to an early lead and letting the defense make up for the Week 1 mess. Allen was 14 of 25 for 148 yards with an additional 59 yards on six rush attempts. James Cook was the offensive sparkplug rushing for 132 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries. The Bills amassed 224 rushing yards and scored at least 30 points for the second straight game.
One week after allowing 432 total yards, Buffalo’s defense was punishing, holding Justin Fields to 3 of 11 passing, the Jets to 154 total yards and zero third down conversions in 11 attempts. Offseason acquisition Joey Bosa had his first sack of the year, one of four for the Bills defense.
The Dolphins were more competitive in Sunday’s 33-27 loss to New England and actually had a late lead following Malik Washington’s punt return touchdown. Tua Tagovailoa had a strong game after his Week 1 dud throwing for 315 yards and two TDs. He was intercepted once, his third pick of the year, and sacked five times. Tua has been sacked eight times in two games, the most of any QB in the NFL. Miami showed glimpses of the explosive offense they put on the field a few years ago. Tyreek Hill caught six balls for 109 yards.
Teams are not going to win a lot of games allowing 33 points, which the Dolphins did in each of their first two. Tua’s interception was the fourth giveaway for the club this season and the Fins have yet to get a takeaway. Miami will have to tighten things up significantly on defense on Thursday night. During their current six-game series winning streak the Bills are averaging 32.7 points earning payouts in three of the last four games.
There are several factors favoring the Bills in this matchup. Allen has never lost when starting a Thursday night game going 7-0, and he’s 12-2 in 14 careers starts against Miami with 37 TD passes. Allen has also won more than 77 percent of his regular season home starts. The early line has Buffalo favored by 10.5-points.
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2025 Thursday Night Football Schedule
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