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NFL Thursday Night Football Week 4 Odds
Week 4 of the 2020-21 NFL betting season kicks off on Thursday Night Football with a non-divisional AFC matchup between a pair of winless teams in the Denver Broncos and New York Jets. Both squads were listless last week in their attempt to get into the win column against Tampa Bay and Indianapolis respectively. The Broncos fell by a 28-10 final to the Tom Brady led Buccaneers, while the Jets dropped an ugly 36-7 decision to the Colts in a game Sam Darnold threw a pair of pick-sixes and was sacked twice. Neither squad came close to covering the closing NFL odds with each roster continuing to get ravaged by the injury bug. Linemakers at online sportsbooks currently have the Jets installed 3-point home dogs with the total lined at 40 which is by far the lowest of the Week 4 slate.
NFL Thursday, October 1, 8:20 PM | NFL Network
Denver Broncos -1
New York Jets +1
With overall scoring clocking in at an insane 50.4 points per game with the Monday nighter likely to add to that average, it’s shocking to see an O/U listed in the low 40s. Regardless, the O/U for this week’s installment of Thursday Night Football opened up at 41 but has since been bet down a full point to 40 with 53 percent of the money already taken in on this trash matchup in support of the line move. Also taking copious amounts of action are the visiting Broncos who’ve looked much more competitive through three defeats than tonight’s opponent. Denver has been bet up to field goal road favorites after initially hitting the board at -2 on the lookahead lines. A whopping 84 percent of the tickets booked have come in support of the Broncos regardless of the fact that Vic Fangio still hasn’t anointed his starter under center; could it be Blake Bortles time?
After putting forth game efforts against the Titans and Steelers the first two weeks of the season, the Broncos had nothing in the tank to combat the assault the Bucs brought with them to the Mile High City last Sunday afternoon. It’s understandable however with the amount of injuries Fangio and his staff have been forced to deal with. Von Miller was lost at the outset. Then it was Courtland Sutton. Now, the defense suffered another major casualty after it was announced Jurrell Casey is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a biceps tear. Making matters all the more worse is that Drew Lock isn’t expected back until the end of October due to a rotator cuff strain. With that, did it come as a surprise to see the team struggle on both sides of the ball in last week’s 18-point loss to the Bucs? The offense mustered a grand total of 226 yards with Jeff Driskel and Brett Rypien under center, while the O-Line surrendered six sacks. Defensively, the Broncos kept the Bucs ground game in check in allowing a 2.7 yard per carry average, but the secondary got roasted for 285 passing yards and 3 Brady TD passes. Losing the turnover battle 2-0 didn’t help matters.
Then there’s the New York J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets. Seriously, how does Adam Gase still have a job? Though Dan Quinn leapfrogged him on the odds to be fired first at online sportsbooks, his days in Gotham look to be numbered. Save for answering the Colts first pick-six with a touchdown drive late in the first quarter to knot the game up at seven apiece, the Jets effort from that point forward was nothing if not embarrassing. When the dust cleared on the 36-7 beat down that saw them come nowhere close to covering the closing 12.5-point spread, New York was outgained by nearly 100 yards, lost the turnover battle 3-0 and the defense allowed Indy to convert each of its red zone appearances into touchdowns. Already ravaged by the injury bug heading in, New York was forced to deal with even more attrition. Be sure to check the injury reports leading up to this game to see if Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman and rookie offensive tackle Mekhi Becton will be available. If not, it will be the Frank Gore and Braxton Berrios show once again.
The home team has dominated this rivalry in the two most recent clashes. Back in 2017, the Broncos dominated en route to logging the 23-0 shutout victory to cover the 1-point spread with ease. The Jets returned the favor the following season by disposing of Denver 34-16 as 1-point home dogs. The home team has been dogged in each of the last five meetings dating back to 2010 with the over cashing in three of those contests.
Trend bettors take note: the Broncos have been good to NFL bettors on Thursday Night Football in covering 10 of their last 13 appearances, but they’ve failed to win or cover the NFL odds each of the last three times they were installed road favorites. The Jets have covered at an 80 percent clip the last five times linemakers gave them points at home, but they’ve busted bankrolls in going 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 home games. The over has cashed four of the last five times these teams collided at MetLife Stadium with an average of 46.8 points scored.
Thursday Night Football Schedule
At first glance the week three game between the Dolphins and Jaguars doesn’t look like much but that impression could drastically change on game day because of the probability that Tua Tagovailoa could be under center by the time this matchup kicks off.
The week five matchup between the Buccaneers and Bears will be highly anticipated. Tom Brady taking over as Bucs quarterback and his strong supporting cast makes Tampa Bay a compelling story. Meanwhile the Bears are looking to bounce back to their 2018 NFC North Division title form.
The very next week features the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs at the Bills, who are an emerging contender coming off a 2019 playoff campaign. The atmosphere in Buffalo should be electric in this showdown of historic old American Football League rivals.
Week nine is a marquee rematch of the 2019 NFC championship game between the Packers and 49ers. San Francisco emasculated Green Bay to earn a Super Bowl berth last January. It figures that the Pack should roar back with a strong revenge effort.
And that is followed up by Philip Rivers and the Colts taking on Ryan Tannehill and the Titans in what could be an AFC South first-place showdown. Rivers has given Colts fans rejuvenated hope while the Titans are trying to prove last year’s playoff run was no fluke.
Week 13 features a potential Super Bowl preview with the Cowboys at the Ravens. Dallas had a great 2020 NFL Draft and now has a credible coach in Mike McCarthy. Baltimore was top seed in the AFC last year and had a draft that was even better than the Cowboys.
Following that is a Super Bowl rematch of the Brady-less Patriots and the Rams. Playoff spots could well be at stake in this one.
Sin City marks its inaugural season with its first-ever Thursday Night Football matchup of the AFC West rival Chargers and Raiders. These two have been going at it since 1960 as charter members of the AFL.
And the week 16 series finale of the Vikings and Saints is a rematch of last year’s divisional playoffs in which Minnesota scored a stunning overtime upset win in the Crescent City.
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