2025 Thursday Night Football Best Bets - NFL Lines & Picks

2025 NFL Thursday Night Football Week 11 Betting Lines

A common theme this season on Thursday Night Football has been division matchups with the Week 11 edition giving us another. This time we head to the AFC East for a showdown between the New York Jets and New England Patriots. The Pats stretched their winning streak to seven games winning in Tampa on Sunday and also increased their lead in the division with Buffalo losing.

The Jets are feeling much better about themselves after putting their first winning streak together since the early part of last season. The Jets beat Cleveland, 27-20, on Sunday for their second straight victory despite scoring only one offensive touchdown. Offense remains an issue with Jets having the worst pass offense in the NFL. The Pats have dominated the series at home winning 15 of the last 16 meetings. The game kicks at 8:15 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium on November 13 and will be streamed on Prime Video.

Jets at Patriots TNF Week 11 Lines

Spread: Patriots -11.5

Total: 43.5

Money Line: Jets +486 / Patriots -638

Jets at Patriots Betting Preview

Winning helps cover up a lot of issues and the talk around the Jets has been their first winning streak since the first month of last season. The offense continues to struggle managing just 169 total yards against the Browns. The one positive for Justin Fields this season is that he’d gone the first eight games without throwing an interception. That streak ended on Sunday and Fields was just 6 of 11 for 54 yards.

Special teams was just that with the Jets getting a kickoff and punt return touchdown in the same game for the first time in team history. As evidenced by the rarity of the feat that’s something the club can’t count on. Breece Hall did his best for the offense rushing for 83 yards and turning his only reception into a 42 yard touchdown. Hall ranks among the top 10 in rushing in the NFL and is the team’s third leading receiver.

With all the activity during the bye New York defenders definitely took notice. Dealing away major parts of the group in Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner, the defense looked good against the Browns allowing 278 total yards and 4.0 yards per play. Will McDonald IV recorded four of the Jets’ six sacks. Another area of concern for the Jets is creating turnovers. They have only one takeaway this season and are last in the NFL with a minus-9 turnover margin.

While the wins pile up the Patriots improve their stock. They beat Tampa Bay 28-23 on Sunday covering the 2.5-point spread for their sixth payout in that stretch. It wasn’t the cleanest game for Drake Maye, but the Pats showed they are legit by beating a good Tampa squad on the road. Maye had his lowest completion percentage of the season hitting 51.6 percent of his throws and he was intercepted for the third straight game.

Offsetting the struggles in the passing game was TreVeyon Henderson, who rushed for 147 yards and a pair of TDs on 14 carries. Henderson became the first 100-yard rushing for the Pats since the 2024 season opener. New England entered the game averaging 112.3 rushing yards per game and totaled 166 averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

The Pats defense has held six opponents to 20 points or less and hasn’t surrendered more than 27 in any game. However, they have surrendered 23 points in each of the last two games and have played OVER the total in four straight. The Jets won two straight in the series before the Pats claimed the final meeting of last season. It was the first time since the late 2000s that the Jets won consecutive games. The teams have also cashed the UNDER in five of the last six matchups.

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