2019 New England Patriots Betting - Odds to Win Super Bowl LIV

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New England Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl LIV

The New England Patriots have had two weeks to sit and stew after their first loss of the season. The Baltimore Ravens thumped the Pats soundly on primetime at the beginning of the month, and Bill Belichick wants to get New England back to its winning ways. New England will have an opportunity to get a modicum of revenge for its defeat in Super Bowl LII when the team travels south to face the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are home underdogs per the NFL betting odds, but Belichick and the Pats haven’t been as invincible after a bye week as the media has made them sound.

2019 New England Patriots at a Glance

Super Bowl Odds: +300

AFC Championship Odds: -107

Week 11 Matchup Odds

New England Patriots -3.5

Philadelphia Eagles +3.5

Total 44.5

Week 11 Preview

Carson Wentz has had a decent season for Philadelphia. The Eagles are 5-4 this year, and he has Philly tied with Dallas for the lead in the NFC East. Wentz was signed to a massive extension this offseason, so the Eagles were hoping for a little more from the No. 2 pick in the 2016 NFL Draft than what they have received. The North Dakota State standout has completed 62.7 percent of his passes this season with 6.8 YPA and 15 touchdowns compared to four interceptions. Those are worse numbers than we saw in 2017 and 2018.

His drop-off is puzzling considering the Eagles are better than last year in a few different areas. Philly is running the ball more consistently with Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders, and Alshon Jeffery remains one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL. He has not had a deep threat with DeSean Jackson missing much of the season though, so that could be the difference.

New England has one of the best defenses in the NFL, but this unit is not the transcendent power many believed it to be a few weeks ago. Baltimore had plenty of success moving the ball up and down the field against New England, and that has led to some observers calling the Patriots’ first half performance into question. The Pats faced an abysmal slate in the first eight weeks, and Baltimore was the first elite offense they faced.

Tom Brady continues to put up impressive numbers despite being one of the oldest players in NFL history. Brady is not the incredible talent he was a few seasons ago, but his smarts and experience continue to make him lethal on the field. He has seen plenty of turnover in the receiving corps this season with Josh Gordon and Antonio Brown leaving and Mohamed Sanu entering the picture, yet he has been solid without any sort of deep threat.

The ground game hasn’t helped Brady much, averaging just 3.3 YPC. Sony Michel has had a tough go of it without fullback James Develin there to clear the path, and he has been a non-factor in the passing game. That has led to New England largely playing James White on passing downs, making this team predictable.

Week 10 Recap

New England is atop the AFC standings at 8-1. The Patriots are almost certain to receive a first-round bye once again given the subpar quality of the conference and the state of the AFC East, but they may not earn home field throughout the playoffs due to their loss to Baltimore.

The Patriots are No. 1 in the NFL in most defensive categories. They lead the league in yards per play, third down conversion percentage, scoring defense, and total defense. Their pass defense is phenomenal with Stephon Gilmore becoming an elite lockdown cornerback, and no opponent has had a ton of success moving the ball through the air.

These next four games will be the toughest stretch of the season for the Patriots. After facing Philadelphia, they will take on Dallas, Houston, and Kansas City in subsequent weeks. New England will almost certainly be favored per the NFL betting odds in every game, and the Pats should be massive favorites in their final three games. They close out the season with Cincinnati, Buffalo, and Miami.

2019 New England Patriots Betting Schedule

Past New England Patriots Seasons

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