NFL Betting Odds - New England Patriots Season Recap

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New England Patriots Betting

After over two decades of unprecedented success, we may have finally seen the end of the Tom Brady and Bill Belichick era. The best quarterback-coach combination in the history of the league has seen Brady go 219-64 as a starter over the last 20 years, and New England has made it to the Super Bowl nine times in that stretch. The Patriots have won the Super Bowl six times, tying the Pittsburgh Steelers as the most successful team in the history of the NFL, and generations of fans know about the Brady and Belichick legacy. A surprising home loss to the Tennessee Titans in the Wild Card round of the playoffs may have sealed Brady’s departure though, as he is a free agent in March.

Season Recap

Through the first two months of the season, it appeared that the New England Patriots were the team to beat once more. The defending Super Bowl champions ran their record to 8-0, dominating the vast majority of their opponents. New England won seven of those first eight games by at least two touchdowns, but some were saying that the Pats were overrated because of their weak schedule through the first half of the season.

Those naysayers proved to be correct once we saw the Patriots fall apart over the second half of the year. New England no longer looked like the dominant organization we knew, losing to all three of the other division winners in the AFC. The Pats still had a chance to earn a first-round bye provided they beat lowly Miami in Week 17, and they were one of the biggest favorites all year per the NFL betting odds. However, New England instead became the biggest moneyline favorite to lose in over a decade with a stunning loss to the Dolphins.

The lack of downfield weapons for Brady really stifled this offense. Brady was forced to check down to James White or try to target Julian Edelman far too often as N’Keal Harry and Jakobi Meyers failed to pan out after promising preseason performances. That also caused Sony Michel to be bottled up as opposing defenses crowded the line, and Michel ran for just 3.7 YPC despite facing multiple bad defenses.

New England did have one of the best defenses in the AFC, and that’s why the Patriots went 12-4 and should have secured a first-round bye. Stephon Gilmore was the best cornerback in the league this year, and New England led the league in most defensive categories. They had the best total defense, best scoring defense, best third down conversion percentage, and the Pats surrendered the fewest points per play too.

2020 Season Preview

The Patriots will be the most talked about team in the offseason. Brady has been hinting that he is ready to depart New England, and there will surely be suitors lined up around the block for his services. Although Brady is in his early 40s, he has the potential to completely turn around a team that needs a quarterback just like Peyton Manning did with Denver earlier in the decade.

That would leave Bill Belichick with an interesting decision. He was reportedly forced to give up the quarterback he hand-picked to replace Brady when New England dealt Jimmy Garoppolo to San Francisco, and the Pats parted ways with Jacoby Brissett a few years ago too. New England selected Jarrett Stidham from Auburn in last year’s draft, but Stidham still needs time to develop after playing at schools that didn’t really ask him to read defenses in Baylor and Auburn.

New England doesn’t have the bevy of picks we usually see in order to fill holes either. The league is wise to trading with the Patriots at this point, and general managers would rather cut off their arm than risk being pantsed by Belichick and this front office.

The Pats are still going to be the favorites to win the AFC East per the NFL futures odds, but they won’t be the lock we have seen in recent years if Brady and Belichick split. New England has won the last 11 division titles and 16 of the last 17 overall. The only team to knock off the Pats in that stretch was Miami in 2008, but New England finished with the same record and did not qualify for the postseason after losing Tom Brady in the first quarter.

2019 New England Patriots Betting Schedule

Past New England Patriots Seasons

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