Pittsburgh Steelers Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

Pittsburgh Steelers Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

The Pittsburgh Steelers begin the 2025 NFL season with futures odds that reflect cautious optimism. Their Super Bowl price opened at +6600 but has shortened to +3015, a significant move that shows growing confidence from both oddsmakers and bettors. In the AFC market, their odds to win the conference improved from +2500 to +1465, while their AFC North price ticked from +500 to +485. The win total is set at 8.5, a number that signals expectations of a competitive season in a division that remains one of the league’s toughest. Steelers’ fans can now bet the NFL with Bitcoin at BookMaker Sportsbook, which features fast crypto deposits and withdrawals.

For futures bettors, Pittsburgh’s odds movement is one of the most telling stories in the AFC. Few teams have seen such a sharp adjustment toward contender status, suggesting that both market sentiment and offseason evaluations point to meaningful improvement. The Steelers’ blend of physical defense, a revamped offensive scheme, and consistent coaching stability under Mike Tomlin all play into the market’s confidence.

Jets vs. Steelers Week 1 Betting Lines

Spread: Steelers -3

Total: 38

Money Line: Steelers -155, Jets +135

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Pittsburgh Steelers Week 1 Matchup

On Sunday, September 7, 2025, the New York Jets will host the Pittsburgh Steelers at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS. The line opened with Pittsburgh as -2.5 road favorites and a total of 41.5. Since then, the spread has been bet up to a field goal at -3 with reduced juice, while the total saw a major correction down to 38.5 with heavy juice still attached to the low side of the number. That shift reflects growing market conviction in a low-scoring contest where Pittsburgh’s defense is expected to control the game script.

Trends support the Steelers’ ability to handle this type of matchup. They’re 6–4 straight up and ATS in their last 10 road games when favored, consistently delivering for bettors in similar spots. Totals trends also tilt in their direction: the Under is 6–4 in their last 10 as road chalk as well, mirroring the betting market’s adjustment that pushed this game’s number lower.

Injuries could play a role in Week 1. Jonnu Smith (Q), Darius Slay (Q), and Alex Highsmith (Q) are all listed as questionable. Highsmith’s presence opposite T.J. Watt is especially critical, as Pittsburgh relies on its pass rush to dictate games. If Highsmith is limited, the Steelers’ defense will need greater contributions from its interior to keep pressure on the Jets’ shaky offensive line.

Of course Aaron Rodgers gets to square off against his former team right out of the chute, with Pittsburgh’s defense holding a decided edge with the Jets breaking in a new quarterback of their own. While Rodgers’ health and consistency are question marks, the narrative adds intrigue to a game already rich in betting interest. Pittsburgh’s ability to collapse the pocket and keep Justin Fields uncomfortable will be the deciding factor in whether they get out of dodge with the dub and cover as road favorites.

Pittsburgh Steelers 2024-25 Recap

Last season continued Pittsburgh’s trend of competing above its paper value. The Steelers finished 10–7 straight up, 11–6 ATS, and 8–9 to the Over/Under, a record that reinforced Tomlin’s reputation for squeezing wins out of every roster. Bettors who backed Pittsburgh against the spread enjoyed consistent profits, as they covered in nearly two-thirds of their games.

Several players elevated their profiles in 2024. George Pickens emerged as a true talent at wide receiver – when his head was in the game, producing highlight catches and showing the ability to win contested balls at a high rate. On defense, T.J. Watt remained one of the NFL’s premier edge rushers, while Minkah Fitzpatrick anchored the secondary with range and playmaking ability. Even lesser-known contributors, such as Jaylen Warren, provided consistent sparks in complementary roles.

From a betting perspective, Pittsburgh leaned toward the Under, largely due to a defense-first identity and an offense that often played conservatively. Their ATS record was among the league’s best, with the Steelers thriving as underdogs and small favorites alike. Backers who trusted Pittsburgh in grind-it-out matchups were rewarded repeatedly, a pattern that may carry over into 2025.

Heading into this season, the 8.5-win total reflects realistic expectations: strong enough to contend for a Wild Card spot, but still facing hurdles in a division that includes Baltimore and Cincinnati. Futures bettors who grabbed the Steelers early at +6600 for the Super Bowl or +2500 for the AFC are already sitting on value tickets, given the significant line moves. Week 1 against the Jets is the first chance for Pittsburgh to validate that optimism. If they dominate defensively and cover as a short road favorite, it will set the tone for another profitable campaign for both the team and its backers.

2025 Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule, Results & Record

Pittsburgh was determined to improve its physicality after rushing 299 yards in January's playoff loss to Baltimore, the Steelers' fifth straight loss to close out the 2024 season. The Steelers have accomplished that this offseason with the additions of Metcalf, first-round pick Derrick Harmon, Darius Slay, Brandin Echols, Malik Harrison, rookie DT Yahya Black and fellow rookie Jack Sawyer, who recorded one of the biggest plays in Ohio State history when he returned his forced fumble 83 yards for a score in the Buckeyes' Cotton Bowl win over Texas.

The Steelers also added physicality with the third-round selection of running back Kaleb Johnson, who appears to be a mix of former Steelers Pro Bowlers Le'Veon Bell and Najee Harris.

Once again, the Steelers have turned over their quarterback room. While they continue to wait for Rodgers, the Steelers have a good contingency plan in place with Rudolph (the only Steelers quarterback to start in a playoff game since Roethlisberger's retirement) and rookie Will Howard, who is fresh off leading Ohio State to a national title.

Pittsburgh Steelers Past Seasons (2000)

The Rooney family has owned the Pittsburgh Steelers since 1933. Original owner Art Rooney bought the franchise after hitting a big bet on a horse race. As incredible as it sounds, the Steelers were unsuccessful in the first four decades under Rooney’s ownership. In fact, they were a laughingstock. From 1933 through 1971, the Steelers had one playoff appearance.

In 1972, the franchise saw a dramatic turnaround that has lasted until today. Pittsburgh made the playoffs as the AFC Central champions. In the 1972 AFC divisional playoffs, the Steelers beat the Oakland Raiders with the famed “Immaculate Reception.” The franchise took off with eight consecutive playoff appearances and four Super Bowl titles.

The Steelers' hallmark is Stability. They have had three head coaches since 1969, and Mike Tomlin has served in that role since 2007.

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