Atlanta Falcons Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

Atlanta Falcons Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

The Atlanta Falcons open the 2025 NFL betting season with rookie Michael Penix Jr. under center. After an 8–9 finish last year, head coach Raheem Morris made the decision to move on from Kirk Cousins, who was benched late in the 2024 campaign. Penix brings a big arm and mobility that Atlanta hopes will energize an offense built around wideout Drake London, tight end Kyle Pitts, and running back Bijan Robinson. The quasi-rookie’s debut will be one of the most closely watched storylines of Week 1.

Oddsmakers remain cautious on Atlanta’s ceiling. The Falcons are priced at +7101 to win the Super Bowl after opening 66–1. Their NFC odds have shifted from +2500 to +3039, while their NFC South price has moved from +200 to +229. Falcons’ fans can now wager on NFL futures odds using crypto across BookMaker Sportsbook. Despite the skepticism, optimism inside the building is higher after a busy offseason that reinforced both sides of the ball. Robinson looks like a star, London is ascending into one of the NFC’s premier receivers, and the front office invested in pass-rush help and secondary depth in the off-season.

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Week 1 Betting Lines

Spread: Buccaneers -2.5

Total: 48

Money Line: Buccaneers -138, Falcons +118

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Atlanta Falcons Week 1 Matchup

On Sunday, September 7, 2025, the Atlanta Falcons will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET with coverage on FOX. The betting market opened the game at a pick ’em before shifting to Falcons +1.5. The total also moved from 47.5 to 49, reflecting expectations of a higher-scoring divisional contest. Atlanta’s recent history is mixed: the Falcons are 5–5 straight-up and 4–6 against the spread in their last ten home games. Atlanta is 2–4 SU and 3–3 ATS the last six times it took the Bucs on in “Hotlanta”, with the Over cashing four of the last five times.

For Penix, efficiency and composure will be the test. Tampa Bay’s defense is certain to pressure him with disguised looks, forcing quick reads and accuracy in tight windows. His timing with London has been a focus throughout camp, while Pitts provides a safety valve against linebackers and safeties. Robinson will be relied upon heavily, not just on the ground but also as a receiving option to help take pressure off the quasi-rookie. Darnell Mooney, listed as questionable, would add an important vertical threat if cleared to play.

Atlanta’s defense enters 2025 with reinforcements. Veteran pass rusher Leonard Floyd was signed to provide immediate edge production, while Morgan Fox strengthens the interior. First-round pick Jalon Walker and late-first selection James Pearce Jr. add youth and athleticism to a unit that struggled to finish plays last season. In the secondary, Mike Hughes and Mike Ford return as experienced corners, with Hughes coming off a career-high season in passes defended. This defense must cut down on points allowed after giving up 24.9 per game last season, and Week 1 is the first chance to prove the changes matter.

Revenge will be on the docket after the Falcons failed to win the AFC South even though it swept the season rivalry from the Buccaneers. That narrative adds weight to this divisional opener, giving Penix and the revamped defense a chance to set the tone against a familiar foe.

Atlanta Falcons 2024-25 Recap

The Falcons closed the 2024 season at 8–9 straight-up, a mark that left them outside the playoff picture for the seventh straight year. From a betting perspective, Atlanta struggled to reward backers, finishing just 6–10–1 against the NFL spread. Totals bettors, however, saw value on the Under, which hit in 10 of 17 games as the defense held opponents in check more often than in recent years while the offense failed to consistently break through.

Quarterback inconsistency defined the campaign, as Kirk Cousins was eventually benched after a string of costly turnovers and late-game stalls. That instability under center overshadowed standout performances elsewhere. Drake London posted his first 1,000-yard receiving season, Kyle Pitts returned to form with improved production, and Bijan Robinson topped 1,500 total yards while proving himself as the centerpiece of the offense.

The front office doubled down on its commitment to Michael Penix Jr., last year’s first-round pick, by keeping him surrounded by ascending playmakers up and down the roster. Depth was also a priority, with new additions aimed at shoring up a pass rush that’s faltered for a number of years. With Penix entering his first full season as the unquestioned starter and a young offensive core continuing to mature, Atlanta believes it is positioned for a more competitive run in 2025. Week 1 against Tampa Bay offers the first chance to prove that last season’s frustrations can serve as fuel for tangible progress.

2025 Atlanta Falcons Schedule, Results & Record

A year after shocking the football public for passing on an edge rusher and taking a quarterback in the first round weeks after signing Kirk Cousins, the Falcons surprised many again by drafting two edge rushers in the first round last month. Atlanta put its future on the line—sending a 2026 first-round pick to the Los Angeles Rams—and went all in to select James Pearce at No. 26, 11 spots after taking Jalon Walker. No one will care about losing a top pick if Pearce and Walker immediately improve a pass rush that has struggled in recent seasons.

With a well-balanced roster, this could finally be the year the Falcons knock off the Buccaneers for the NFC South crown. But by prioritizing the defense in the offseason, the Falcons didn’t do much to replace Drew Dalman, who joined the Chicago Bears in free agency. Ryan Neuzil, who made eight starts last season, is in line to be Dalman’s replacement. As for another offensive concern, second-year quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will need other playmakers to step up besides wide receiver Drake London and running back Bijan Robinson. Perhaps this is the year tight end Kyle Pitts breaks out as he heads into the final year of his rookie deal.

Atlanta Falcons Past Seasons (2000)

The Falcons were founded as an NFL expansion team in 1966 and didn't make the playoffs until 1978. They have two NFC championships in 1998 and 2016. Their infamous Super Bowl collapse to the Patriots is one of the biggest NFL debacles ever.

The Falcons were born during the peak of the AFL vs. NFL league war. The AFL was interested in placing a franchise in Atlanta. Thus, the NFL moved to cut them off at the pass. Also, there was a Sunbelt strategy involved with the NFL. The New Orleans Saints were born the following year, creating an instant rivalry between the Southern cousins.

The Falcons have had their share of great players throughout their history. Deion Sanders, Claude Humphrey, Steve Borkowski, Jeff Van Note, Tommy Nobis, and Roddy White lit up the Atlanta marquee. Sanders and Humphrey are in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Van Note had a remarkable career from 1969 through 1986.

The biggest moment in Falcon history was also its most painful. In Super Bowl LI, the Falcons had a 28-3 lead midway through the third quarter against the New England Patriots, but suffered a soul-crushing 34-28 loss that they have never recovered from.

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