Minnesota Vikings Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines
The Minnesota Vikings open the 2025 NFL season with cautious optimism and futures markets that have already adjusted to offseason movement. Minnesota’s Super Bowl odds opened at 33-1 and are now +2671, showing bettors have grown more confident in the Vikings than oddsmakers first anticipated. Their NFC Championship line shifted from 16-1 down to +1268, and NFC North odds improved from +400 to +311, reflecting growing interest in their divisional chances. Minnesota’s win total currently sits at 9.5, a figure that has jumped a full game from the 8.5 opener, suggesting a bullish outlook for SKOL. Vikings fans can now bet the NFL futures odds with Bitcoin at BookMaker Sportsbook.
Minnesota’s biggest storyline is the arrival of rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy, drafted fifth overall. McCarthy represents the franchise’s long-term bet and will immediately be tested by the demands of the NFC North. He inherits an offense built to support him, with superstar wideout Justin Jefferson, ascending playmaker Jordan Addison, and veteran running back Aaron Jones forming a balanced supporting cast. Tight end T.J. Hockenson continues to provide one of the league’s most reliable safety valves when healthy.
Defensively, coordinator Brian Flores orchestrates one of the league’s most aggressive units, and his ability to maximize pressure helped Minnesota’s 2024 defense finish far ahead of projections. The blend of experienced veterans and third-year breakout linebacker Ivan Pace Jr. gives the unit an edge that bettors noticed last season when the Vikings regularly covered spreads against stronger opponents. The question entering 2025 is whether this formula will hold with a rookie quarterback under center.
Bears vs. Vikings Week 1 Betting Lines
Spread: Vikings -1
Total: 43
Money Line: Vikings -117, Bears -103
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Minnesota Vikings Week 1 Matchup
On Monday, September 8, 2025, the Minnesota Vikings will travel to Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois, to face the Bears in an NFC North clash. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN’s Monday Night Football broadcast. NFL Week 1 odds opened with Minnesota as a pick ’em, and market movement has shifted slightly with some shops showing the Vikings as short favorites. The total opened at 44.5 points but has since ticked down by a full point, signaling sharp money backing the Under.
The spread reflects market hesitancy on both sides. Bettors evaluating NFL point spreads will weigh McCarthy’s composure in his first professional start against Chicago’s pass rush. Early action has leaned toward Minnesota, indicating some bettors trust the Vikings’ weapons to ease McCarthy into the spotlight. Injuries will play a role in Week 1 handicapping of this match. Justin Jefferson and Christian Darrisaw are both listed as questionable, though both are expected to suit up. On the defensive side, the unit enters healthy, giving Flores a chance to unleash pressure packages against Chicago’s retooled offensive line.
Betting trends from recent seasons highlight mixed results. Minnesota is 6–4 straight up but only 4–4–2 ATS in their last ten road games. However, Soldier Field has been the Vikings home away from home recently with the team 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS their L/5 appearances. The Over has hit in six of their last ten road contests, though the market movement toward the Under in this matchup signals a lean toward a slower, defensive grind. Makes sense considering the under has paid out eight of the last ten times these clubs squared off in the Windy City.
Minnesota Vikings 2024-25 Recap
The Vikings turned heads in 2024, finishing 14–3 straight up, 11–5–1 ATS, and 7–10 to the Over/Under. Bettors who backed Minnesota regularly against the spread found them one of the league’s most profitable sides.
A few bust-out players helped drive that success. Addison emerged as a legitimate WR2 opposite Jefferson, creating one of the NFL’s most dangerous receiver tandems. On defense, Ivan Pace Jr. elevated his role, proving disruptive as both a run-stopper and blitzer. These breakout efforts gave the Vikings balance on both sides of the ball and translated directly to wins and covers.
From a betting perspective, Minnesota’s ATS success stood out. While totals leaned to the Under, their ability to outperform oddsmakers’ expectations week after week made them a darling of NFL spread bettors. That track record, however, has not carried over to shorter odds in 2025 futures markets. Oddsmakers and bettors alike recognize the volatility of starting a rookie quarterback, which explains why futures drifted only modestly despite last year’s impressive showing.
Minnesota’s 9.5-win total places them firmly on the playoff bubble. Bettors bullish on McCarthy’s ability to transition quickly may find value in the Over, while skeptics of a rookie-led offense will fade them in divisional play. Either way, the Vikings remain one of the more intriguing betting teams entering 2025, with their Week 1 primetime matchup offering an immediate gauge of whether last year’s ATS success was a product of luck or sustainable growth.
2025 Minnesota Vikings Schedule, Results & Record
Minnesota also focused on the interior of the defense, signing veterans Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave. But the team took a gamble paying two defensive tackles who have regressed over the past few seasons. On the other hand, Allen and Hargrave could be productive playing for a defense that’s loaded with edge rushers. The Vikings don’t have many roster needs, but the secondary appears a bit thin with Bynum’s departure. Also, this team could use another outside cornerback if defensive coordinator Brian Flores continues to use Byron Murphy Jr. in the slot.
The Minnesota Vikings, who finished second to the Lions in the division, will hand the keys to second-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy, who watched from the sidelines as a rookie due to a knee injury.
Minnesota Vikings Past Seasons (2000)
YEAR |
RECORD |
PLAYOFFS |
2024 |
14-3 |
Lost Wild Card Round |
2023 |
7-10 |
None |
2022 |
13-4 |
Lost Wild Card Round |
2021 |
8-9 |
None |
2020 |
7-9 |
None |
2019 |
10-6 |
Lost Divisional Round |
2018 |
8-7-1 |
None |
2017 |
13-3 |
Lost Conference Championship |
2016 |
8-8 |
None |
2015 |
11-5 |
Lost Wild Card Round |
2014 |
7-9 |
None |
2013 |
5-10-1 |
None |
2012 |
10-6 |
Lost Wild Card Round |
2011 |
3-13 |
None |
2010 |
6-10 |
None |
2009 |
12-4 |
Lost Conference Championship |
2008 |
10-6 |
Lost Wild Card Round |
2007 |
8-8 |
None |
2006 |
6-10 |
None |
2005 |
9-7 |
None |
2004 |
8-8 |
Lost Divisional Round |
2003 |
9-7 |
None |
2002 |
6-10 |
None |
2001 |
5-11 |
None |
2000 |
11-5 |
Lost Conference Championship |
The Minnesota Vikings were founded in 1961 as an NFL expansion franchise. They were born as a shot at the American Football League, which intended to place a franchise in the Twin Cities with prospective owner Max Winter. But when Winter was offered an NFL franchise, he left the AFL at the altar.
The Vikings have never won a Super Bowl. However, they had an era of glory from 1968 through 1978 that cemented their bond with the state and its fans. The Vikings made four Super Bowls from 1969 through 1976 but were never able to claim the championship.
Bud Grant coached those great Viking teams and is the most revered name in team history. Grant is in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Grant’s first Super Bowl team was led by the swashbuckling quarterback Joe Kapp. And then QB Fran Tarkenton led the Vikings in their other three Super Bowl appearances.
Most of all, the Vikings were known for their tremendous defenses in those days. Paul Krause, Carl Eller, and Alan Page were Hall of Fame legends on that era's Purple People Eaters defenses.
Since that golden age, the Vikings have had several good teams and some close calls. But they have never made it back to Super Sunday. Since 1998, the Vikings have lost four NFC Conference Championship Games.
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