Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills AFC Championship Odds

Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Betting

Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting

This will be the third straight appearance for the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. However, their superstar may not be available to play as Patrick Mahomes was knocked out of last week’s game against Cleveland in the third quarter with a concussion. That has made the Chiefs incredibly vulnerable as Mahomes likely won’t be fully recovered even if he does play, opening the door for the Buffalo Bills to pull off the upset.

The AFC Championship Game will take place in Kansas City on Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 6:40 p.m. ET with CBS broadcasting from Arrowhead Stadium.

2021 Kansas City Chiefs at a Glance

Super Bowl Odds: +200

Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Odds

Kansas City Chiefs -3

Buffalo Bills +3

Total 53.5

Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Matchup

The difference between Mahomes and Henne is night and day. Mahomes is indisputably the best quarterback in the NFL, while Henne has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns over this 14-year professional career. The line will move by at least a touchdown depending on who is under center on Sunday, so it’s vital to keep an eye on the injury report. Mahomes isn’t the only key injury for the Chiefs though. First-round pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire hasn’t played in over a month due to a high-ankle sprain. He is also dealing with a hip injury too, so he might not be on the field this Sunday either. Edwards-Helaire was clearly Kansas City’s best running back all year, and the Chiefs will have to make do without him if he can’t play.

Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill might be prioritized even more than usual if Henne plays in place of Mahomes. Kelce and Hill can both create big mismatches, and we saw Henne target these two players when Kansas City needed him to rise the occasion.

Buffalo’s defense wasn’t great this season. The Bills finished in the bottom half of the league in most defensive categories, and they had a hard time stopping the Indianapolis Colts in the Wild Card Round. They had their best game yet against Baltimore last week, but this offense is completely different than what the Ravens run.

The Bills are very reliant on Josh Allen. They haven’t been able to run the ball well this year, but Allen has thrived with Stefon Diggs as his primary playmaker on the edge. Diggs led the NFL in receiving and was named a First Team All-Pro in 2020, and his presence allowed other threats to emerge. In particular, rookie Gabriel Davis has really come on strong in recent weeks.

Kansas City has not been as polished on defense as it was in 2019. Frank Clark and Chris Jones haven’t been the same creators on defense, and the front seven has had some issues stopping the run. Fortunately, Buffalo has been unable to move the ball on the ground effectively, averaging 3.5 YPC in the postseason.

This secondary is much better. Tyrann Mathieu continues to be worth every penny as he makes plays in the back end, but top cornerback Bashaud Breeland is dealing with a concussion. Breeland and Rashad Fenton might both miss this game, leaving this secondary short-handed.

Kansas City Chiefs AFC Divisional Round Recap

It looked like the Chiefs had the Cleveland Browns put away at the end of the first half. Kansas City was up 16-3 late in the second quarter, and Cleveland had just ruined its best scoring drive yet as Rashard Higgins fumbled out of the back on the end zone while reaching for the pylon. The Chiefs marched down the field to take a 19-3 lead going into halftime, but it all fell apart in the second half.

Harrison Butker missed his second kick of the game after Tyrann Mathieu picked off Baker Mayfield and returned the ball into the red zone. That was followed by a 77-yard touchdown drive for the Browns, and then disaster struck on the next series when Patrick Mahomes was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Kansas City had to just hold on from that point, eventually escaping with a 22-17 win to make it to the AFC Championship Game for the third straight season.

Kansas City Chiefs Schedule & Results

Week 1 vs Houston Texans W 34-20 1-0
Week 2 at Los Angeles Chargers W 23-20 (OT) 2-0
Week 3 at Baltimore Ravens W 34-20 3-0
Week 4 vs New England Patriots W 26-10 4-0
Week 5 vs Las Vegas Raiders L 32-40 4-1
Week 6 at Buffalo Bills W 26-17 5-1
Week 7 at Denver Broncos W 43-16 6-1
Week 8 vs New York Jets W 35-9 7-1
Week 9 vs Carolina Panthers W 33-31 8-1
Week 10 BYE WEEK
Week 11 at Las Vegas Raiders W 35-31 9-1
Week 12 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 27-24 10-1
Week 13 vs Denver Broncos W 22-16 11-1
Week 14 at Miami Dolphins W 33-27 12-1
Week 15 at New Orleans Saints W 32-29 13-1
Week 16 vs Atlanta Falcons W 17-14 14-1
Week 17 vs Los Angeles Chargers L 21-38 14-2
Divisional Round vs Cleveland Browns W 22-17 14-2
Conference Championship vs Buffalo Bills Sun, Jan 24 6:40 p.m. ET (CBS)
NFL Football Picks

Chiefs Past Seasons (2000)

2019 12-4 Won Super Bowl
2018 12-4 Lost Conference Championship
2017 10-6 Lost Wild Card Round
2016 12-4 Lost Divisional Round
2015 11-5 Lost Divisional Round
2014 9-7 None
2013 11-5 Lost Wild Card Round
2012 2-14 None
2011 7-9 None
2010 10-6 Lost Wild Card Round
2009 4-12 None
2008 2-14 None
2007 4-12 None
2006 9-7 Lost Wild Card Round
2005 10-6 None
2004 7-9 None
2003 13-3 Lost Divisional Round
2002 8-8 None
2001 6-10 None
2000 7-9 None

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