Miami Dolphins Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

Miami Dolphins Week 1 Best Bets - NFL Betting Lines

The Miami Dolphins enter the 2025 NFL season under pressure after back-to-back years defined by injuries and unmet expectations. Sportsbooks have cooled on Miami, setting them at +7622 Super Bowl odds, +4013 to win the AFC Championship, and +810 to take the AFC East. Their NFL win total sits at 8.5 games, a modest projection that reflects both talent and volatility. Wager on Dolphins’ NFL futures outcomes using crypto across BookMaker Sportsbook.

The narrative is clear: head coach Mike McDaniel is on the hot seat in his fourth year, and his offense must prove it can survive a grueling NFL schedule without being derailed by injuries. Miami boasts elite playmakers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, and a rushing attack powered by De’Von Achane, but staying healthy is critical. Tua Tagovailoa must figure out a way to remain on the field! Defensively, the Dolphins look to get Jaelan Phillips back to full strength as they attempt to stabilize a unit that struggled in key moments last season.

The Dolphins’ NFL betting outlook is one of the league’s biggest wild cards. Bettors see upside in their offensive ceiling but remain cautious given Miami’s 2024 track record of inconsistency. With futures odds drifting, the pressure is on to deliver early wins and reward those willing to back Miami against the NFL spread and in futures markets.

Colts vs. Dolphins Week 1 Betting Lines

Spread: Colts -1

Total: 47

Money Line: Colts -125, Dolphins +105

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Miami Dolphins Week 1 Matchup

On Sunday, September 7, 2025, the Miami Dolphins will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana to face the Colts. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS. NFL Week 1 odds opened with Miami as +1.5 underdogs, but the line has moved to a pick ‘em as betting markets show more faith in the Dolphins than in Indianapolis. The total has also ticked up from 45.5 to 47, signaling expectations of scoring for both sides.

The storyline revolves around McDaniel’s offense proving it can function on the road. Miami has been unreliable away from home, going 3–7 straight up and 4–6 against the spread in their last ten road games, with the Under cashing in seven of those contests. NFL totals bettors will note that despite the offensive firepower, Miami’s road struggles have leaned heavily toward Unders.

Injuries once again loom large. Tyreek Hill, De’Von Achane, and Jaelan Phillips are questionable, while Liam Eichenberg begins the season on the PUP list and Alexander Mattison is on IR. The Dolphins have the talent to justify their place in NFL betting markets, but their ability to cover spreads and reach their win total will depend on health.

NFL bettors eyeing Week 1 odds will have to weigh Miami’s big-play potential against its troubling recent road history. Sharp money nudging the spread toward even suggests some confidence that the Dolphins can open the season strong, but until they prove consistent, skepticism will remain.

Miami Dolphins 2024-25 Recap

Miami’s 2024 season was another letdown. The Dolphins finished 8–9 straight up, 7–10 against the spread, and 8–9 to the Over/Under, failing to meet expectations as injuries decimated both sides of the ball. Bettors who backed Miami ATS often left frustrated, as the team struggled to deliver value in NFL betting markets despite high preseason hype.

There were still individual standouts. Running back De’Von Achane emerged as a true bust-out player, averaging explosive gains and giving Miami a consistent spark when healthy. On defense, linebacker David Long Jr. elevated his play, stepping up as a leader and playmaker amid constant injuries elsewhere. These bright spots gave the Dolphins some hope heading into 2025 despite the overall disappointment.

From a betting perspective, the Dolphins were unreliable. Their 7–10 ATS mark reflected volatility, while their 8–9 totals record offered no steady trend. Bettors targeting Miami games had to rely on matchup-specific angles rather than season-long patterns.

Looking ahead, sportsbooks have set a cautious tone with Miami’s 8.5-win total. If the Dolphins’ stars stay on the field, they have the talent to cash Over tickets and outperform their futures odds. But if injuries strike again, the team risks another middling season and bettors will continue to fade them with their NFL spread picks. Week 1 at Indianapolis provides the first chance to change the narrative. If not, the heat under McDaniel’s derriere will get even hotter than it already is.

2025 Miami Dolphins Schedule, Results & Record

Miami revised Bradley Chubb's contract to keep him with the team in 2025 after he missed last year due to injury. James Daniels is a fine addition along the offensive line, and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is a good downfield threat, but there were hardly any splashes in free agency. While gamblers like Miami's first two picks in the draft in Kenneth Grant and Jonah Savaiinaea, they spent a lot of money to move up to select Savaiinaea, which left the cupboard somewhat bare for the rest of the draft. Miami has a massive need at corner that wasn't addressed with the looming trade of Jalen Ramsey, and the Tyreek Hill situation is liable to pop off at any moment. Thus, gamblers don’t feel confident in the Dolphins heading into 2025.

Miami Dolphins Past Seasons (2000)

The Miami Dolphins were an expansion American Football League franchise in 1966. Since their inception, they have shared the same AFC East Division with the New England Patriots, New York Jets, and Buffalo Bills.

Miami drafted exceptionally well from the day the franchise opened for business. Players such as quarterback Bob Griese and running backs Jim Kiick, Larry Csonka, and Mercury Morris formed a strong nucleus. Wide receiver Paul Warfield later came over and was a Hall of Famer. But the most important acquisition was head coach Don Shula. Shula arrived in 1970 and got the Dolphins into the playoffs that year. By 1971, the Dolphins were AFC Champions. In 1972, Miami turned in a 17-0 perfect championship season, the only one in NFL history.

From 1970 through 2001, the Dolphins were perennial playoff contenders. But since 2002, Miami has made the playoffs only twice.

Of course, Miami is known for former quarterback Dan Marino rewriting the record book in a sensational career.

Owner Stephen M Ross bought the team in 2008 and has been one of the least effective owners in the NFL. After head coach Brian Flores was fired in January 2022, he accused Ross of offering to pay him to lose games. As of yet, Ross has not sued Flores for defamation of character. And heading into training camp, there was no news to the contrary.

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