NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Betting
One thing we know for sure is that there will be a new NFL champion now that the Philadelphia Eagles have been eliminated from the postseason. The defending Super Bowl champions were one of three NFL betting line favorites to lose in the first round setting up a rematch of the regular season finale between NFC West rivals San Francisco and Seattle in one Divisional Round matchup.
We’ll see how meaningful the first round bye is when the top teams from each conference are in action this week. The Seahawks dominated the 49ers in their Week 18 matchup earning the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Last year Detroit had the top seed and promptly lost to Washington in their Divisional Round game. Seattle is in better shape health-wise and shutdown the Niners offense two weeks ago holding them to 175 yards on the road in a game that decided the top seed.
Both No. 1 seeds will play on Saturday with the Denver Broncos hosting Buffalo in the first game. The Broncos won 13 of their final 14 games to secure the No. 1 seed for the first time since the 2015 season, which was ironically the last time they won a playoff game, and it was a big one over Carolina in Super Bowl 50.
With Kansas City not in the playoff field the Bills won’t have to deal with their longtime nemesis. Buffalo was eliminated by KC in four of the last five postseasons. Josh Allen threw for 273 yards and a TD and scored twice on the ground to beat Jacksonville, 27-24. It was Buffalo’s first road playoff win in more than three decades. As the lowest remaining seed in the AFC the Bills will have to win on the road to reach the Super Bowl.
Buffalo and Denver didn’t play each other during the regular season and will meet in a playoff rematch from a season ago. Ending an 8-year playoff drought, the Broncos were embarrassed, 31-7, in a Wild Card game. It was Buffalo’s fourth win in the last five matchups between the clubs.
NFL Betting Lines
2025-26 NFL Divisional Round Playoff
Denver Broncos 33, Buffalo Bills 30 (OT)
Seattle Seahawks 41, San Francisco 49ers 6
New England Patriots 28, Houston Texans 16
Los Angeles Rams 20, Chicago Bears 17 (OT)
The 49ers were one of three upset winners in the first round joining Chicago and Buffalo. And their Divisional Round matchup with Seattle is the only one that saw the teams play during the regular season. The clubs went down to the final weekend to determine the NFC West champ and No. 1 seed with the Seahawks winning on the road 13-3 to earn a split of their season series. The Niners won in Seattle, 17-13, in Week 1, their fourth straight win in the PNW.
The Niners have dealt with their share of injuries this season and George Kittle was added to the list with an Achilles tear in the Philadelphia game. As a result San Francisco is catching 7-points on the opening line, the largest spread of an Divisional Round game.
The other NFC Championship game participant will be decided between Chicago and the Rams. LA avoided another upset loss to Carolina reaching the Divisional Round for the second straight season. MVP front-runner Matthew Stafford tossed his third TD pass with less than a minute to play lifting the heavily-favored Rams (-10.5) to a 34-31 win. The teams last met in Week 4 of the 2024 season with the Bears getting a 24-18 home win ending a 3-game losing streak in the series.
For the third straight year the Houston Texans won a Wild Card game beating Pittsburgh 30-6 on Monday night to conclude Wild Card weekend with the franchise’s first road playoff win. The NFL’s best defense scored a pair of TDs in the fourth quarter turning a close game into a rout sending the Texans to New England. Houston has never advanced past the Divisional Round losing all six appearances, including twice to the Pats during the 2012 and 2016 seasons.
Divisional Round Results (2000)
| SEASON |
WINNING TEAM |
LOSING TEAM |
SCORE |
| 2025 |
Denver Broncos |
Buffalo Bills |
33-30 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
San Francisco 49ers |
41-6 |
| New England Patriots |
Houston Texans |
28-16 |
| Los Angeles Rams |
Chicago Bears |
20-17 |
| 2024 |
Buffalo Bills |
Baltimore Ravens |
27-25 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Los Angeles Rams |
28-22 |
| Washington Commanders |
Detroit Lions |
45-31 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
Houston Texans |
23-14 |
| 2023 |
Baltimore Ravens |
Houston Texans |
34-10 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Green Bay Packers |
24-21 |
| Detroit Lions |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
31-23 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
Buffalo Bills |
27-24 |
| 2022 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
27-20 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
New York Giants |
38-7 |
| Cincinnati Bengals |
Buffalo Bills |
27-10 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Dallas Cowboys |
19-12 |
| 2021 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
Buffalo Bills |
42-36 |
| Los Angeles Rams |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
30-27 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Green Bay Packers |
13-10 |
| Cincinnati Bengals |
Tennessee Titans |
19-16 |
| 2020 |
Green Bay Packers |
Los Angeles Rams |
32-18 |
| Buffalo Bills |
Baltimore Ravens |
17-3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
Cleveland Browns |
22-17 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
New Orleans Saints |
30-20 |
| 2019 |
Tennessee Titans |
Baltimore Ravens |
28-12 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
Houston Texans |
51-31 |
| Green Bay Packers |
Seattle Seahawks |
28-23 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Minnesota Vikings |
27-10 |
| 2018 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
Indianapolis Colts |
31-13 |
| New England Patriots |
Los Angeles Chargers |
41-28 |
| New Orleans Saints |
Philadelphia Eagles |
20-14 |
| Los Angeles Rams |
Dallas Cowboys |
30-22 |
| 2017 |
New England Patriots |
Tennessee Titans |
35-14 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
45-42 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Atlanta Falcons |
15-10 |
| Minnesota Vikings |
New Orleans Saints |
29-24 |
| 2016 |
New England Patriots |
Houston Texans |
34-16 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
Kansas City Chiefs |
18-16 |
| Atlanta Falcons |
Seattle Seahawks |
36-20 |
| Green Bay Packers |
Dallas Cowboys |
34-31 |
| 2015 |
New England Patriots |
Kansas City Chiefs |
27-20 |
| Denver Broncos |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
23-16 |
| Carolina Panthers |
Seattle Seahawks |
31-24 |
| Arizona Cardinals |
Green Bay Packers |
26-20 |
| 2014 |
New England Patriots |
Baltimore Ravens |
35-31 |
| Indianapolis Colts |
Denver Broncos |
24-13 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
Carolina Panthers |
31-17 |
| Green Bay Packers |
Dallas Cowboys |
26-21 |
| 2013 |
New England Patriots |
Indianapolis Colts |
43-22 |
| Denver Broncos |
San Diego Chargers |
24-17 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
New Orleans Saints |
23-15 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Carolina Panthers |
23-10 |
| 2012 |
New England Patriots |
Houston Texans |
41-28 |
| Baltimore Ravens |
Denver Broncos |
38-35 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
Green Bay Packers |
45-31 |
| Atlanta Falcons |
Seattle Seahawks |
30-28 |
| 2011 |
Baltimore Ravens |
Houston Texans |
20-13 |
| New England Patriots |
Denver Broncos |
45-10 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
New Orleans Saints |
36-32 |
| New York Giants |
Green Bay Packers |
37-20 |
| 2010 |
New York Jets |
New England Patriots |
28-21 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
Baltimore Ravens |
31-24 |
| Chicago Bears |
Seattle Seahawks |
35-24 |
| Green Bay Packers |
Atlanta Falcons |
48-21 |
| 2009 |
New York Jets |
San Diego Chargers |
17-14 |
| Indianapolis Colts |
Baltimore Ravens |
20-3 |
| Minnesota Vikings |
Dallas Cowboys |
34-3 |
| New Orleans Saints |
Arizona Cardinals |
45-14 |
| 2008 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
San Diego Chargers |
35-24 |
| Baltimore Ravens |
Tennessee Titans |
13-10 |
| Arizona Cardinals |
Carolina Panthers |
33-13 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
New York Giants |
23-11 |
| 2007 |
New England Patriots |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
31-20 |
| San Diego Chargers |
Indianapolis Colts |
28-24 |
| Green Bay Packers |
Seattle Seahawks |
42-20 |
| New York Giants |
Dallas Cowboys |
21-17 |
| 2006 |
Indianapolis Colts |
Baltimore Ravens |
15-6 |
| New England Patriots |
San Diego Chargers |
24-21 |
| Chicago Bears |
Seattle Seahawks |
27-24 |
| New Orleans Saints |
Philadelphia Eagles |
27-24 |
| 2005 |
Denver Broncos |
New England Patriots |
27-13 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
Indianapolis Colts |
21-18 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
Washington Redskins |
20-10 |
| Carolina Panthers |
Chicago Bears |
29-21 |
| 2004 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
New York Jets |
20-17 |
| New England Patriots |
Indianapolis Colts |
20-3 |
| Atlanta Falcons |
St. Louis Rams |
47-17 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Minnesota Vikings |
27-14 |
| 2003 |
New England Patriots |
Tennessee Titans |
17-14 |
| Indianapolis Colts |
Kansas City Chiefs |
38-31 |
| Carolina Panthers |
St. Louis Rams |
29-23 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Green Bay Packers |
20-17 |
| 2002 |
Oakland Raiders |
New York Jets |
30-10 |
| Tennessee Titans |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
34-31 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Atlanta Falcons |
20-6 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
San Francisco 49ers |
31-6 |
| 2001 |
New England Patriots |
Oakland Raiders |
16-13 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
Baltimore Ravens |
27-10 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
Chicago Bears |
33-19 |
| St. Louis Rams |
Green Bay Packers |
45-17 |
| 2000 |
Oakland Raiders |
Miami Dolphins |
27-0 |
| Baltimore Ravens |
Tennessee Titans |
24-10 |
| Minnesota Vikings |
New Orleans Saints |
34-16 |
| New York Giants |
Philadelphia Eagles |
20-10 |
As the postseason continues you would expect the games to get tighter. That hasn’t been the case over the past two seasons with the winning teams in the divisional round scoring at least 23 points and the eight games averaging more than 51 points. In those games the OVER cashed five times with a push. Buffalo and KC not only have a rivalry going spearheaded by two of the top gunslingers in the NFL, they’ve both reached the divisional round in each of the last five seasons with KC’s run extending to seven years. There could be many more with Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes in the prime of their careers.
The biggest blowout in the modern-day NFL playoffs happened in the divisional round of the 1999-00 NFL postseason. Jacksonville demolished Miami 62-7 at home in what ended up being the great Dan Marino’s last game. Marino could only complete 11 of 25 passes for 95 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in the 55-point loss. He was pulled due to injury, and Damon Huard couldn’t do any better by completing 5 of 16 passes for 46 yards. The Dolphins ended the day with just 131 total yards and turned the ball over seven times.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville could do no wrong in the win. Mark Brunell threw only nine passes before giving way to Jay Fielder when the game turned into a rout. The Jaguars had 520 total yards of offense and scored 62 points despite turning the ball over twice on the day.
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