NFL Coach of the Year Betting Online
Success in the NFL can be costly and after years of futility the Detroit Lions are finding out. Winning 27 regular season games and two NFC North titles the previous two seasons cost them coordinators Ben Johnson to the Bears and Aaron Glenn to the Jets. And for good measure the pair sits atop the odds board as favorites to win the 2025 NFL Coach of the Year award. In fact the top 5 favorites on the opening odds board are all new coaches in 2025, though New England’s Mike Vrabel and Las Vegas’ Pete Carroll have previous NFL head coaching experience.
NFL Season Futures Odds
NFL Coach of the Year Betting Odds
COACH |
ODDS |
Ben Johnson |
+725 |
Aaron Glenn |
+770 |
Mike Vrabel |
+796 |
Liam Coen |
+1171 |
Pete Carroll |
+1328 |
Dave Canales |
+1508 |
Kyle Shanahan |
+1840 |
Sean Payton |
+1845 |
Mike Macdonald |
+1974 |
Brian Callahan |
+1974 |
The hope in Chicago is that Ben Johnson can work his magic with Caleb Williams and the offense much like he did with Jared Goff in Detroit. Under Johnson’s guidance last season the Lions led the NFL averaging 33.2 points and were second with 409.5 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play. The Bears used significant resources to bolster an offense that was among the worst in the NFL. They won just five games but have talent to be much better. Should they succeed Johnson is a worthy pick.
A team’s record the previous season has a direct effect on the COY odds. The winner typically comes from team that exceeds expectations, much like last year’s winner Kevin O’Connell. The Vikings won 14 games in 2024, doubling their win total from the previous campaign, and O’Connell was the beneficiary. First-year coaches get plenty of looks as they typically are brought in to clean up the mess left by another staff.
Aaron Glenn gets his first head job taking over the New York Jets after spending the last four years as Detroit’s defensive coordinator. The Jets moved on from Aaron Rodgers linking Glenn’s success to fortunes of expected starting QB Justin Fields.
Mike Vrabel inherits a good situation in his return to New England. A former player with the club, Vrabel posted a 54-45 record in six seasons with the Tennessee Titans and was named NFL Coach of the Year in 2021.
Another first time head coach Liam Coen of Jacksonville checks in as the fourth favorite. Under his tutelage last season the Tampa Bay Buccaneers boasted a top offense averaging nearly 400 yards while finishing fourth in the NFL in scoring. Maybe he can unlock the potential Jags fans have been waiting to see from Trevor Lawrence.
NFL Coach of the Year Winners (2000)
YEAR |
WINNER |
TEAM |
2024 |
Kevin O’Connell |
Minnesota Vikings |
2023 |
Kevin Stefanski |
Cleveland Browns |
2022 |
Brian Daboll |
New York Giants |
2021 |
Mike Vrabel |
Tennessee Titans |
2020 |
Kevin Stefanski |
Cleveland Browns |
2019 |
John Harbaugh |
Baltimore Ravens |
2018 |
Matt Nagy |
Chicago Bears |
2017 |
Sean McVay |
Los Angeles Rams |
2016 |
Jason Garrett |
Dallas Cowboys |
2015 |
Ron Rivera |
Carolina Panthers |
2014 |
Bruce Arians |
Arizona Cardinals |
2013 |
Ron Rivera |
Carolina Panthers |
2012 |
Bruce Arians |
Indianapolis Colts |
2011 |
Jim Harbaugh |
San Francisco 49ers |
2010 |
Bill Belichick |
New England Patriots |
2009 |
Marvin Lewis |
Cincinnati Bengals |
2008 |
Mike Smith |
Atlanta Falcons |
2007 |
Bill Belichick |
New England Patriots |
2006 |
Sean Payton |
New Orleans Saints |
2005 |
Lovie Smith |
Chicago Bears |
2004 |
Marty Schottenheimer |
San Diego Chargers |
2003 |
Bill Belichick |
New England Patriots |
2002 |
Andy Reid |
Philadelphia Eagles |
2001 |
Dick Jauron |
Chicago Bears |
2000 |
Jim Haslett |
New Orleans Saints |
Voters have strayed from making first-year coaches winner of this award in recent years. Kevin O’Connell was in his third year with the Vikings last season and 2023 winner Kevin Stefanski, who also won COY in 2020, was in his fourth season. Prior to that, though, four of six winners completed their first year with their new team.
O’Connell resurrected the career of former first-round pick Sam Darnold winning the second-most games in franchise history. The Vikings were neck-and-neck with Detroit the entire season eventually losing the NFC North crown on the final weekend of the season.
Bruce Arians and Ron Rivera handed off this award between themselves for four straight years between 2012 and 2015. Arians righted the ship for the Indianapolis Colts when Chuck Pagano had to step away from the team because of leukemia in 2012, and he led the Arizona Cardinals to an 11-5 record in 2014. Meanwhile, Rivera earned this honor in 2013 and 2015 after surprisingly making the Carolina Panthers one of the best teams in the NFL in both seasons.
Most NFL Coach of the Year Awards
COACH |
AWARDS WON |
Don Shula |
4 |
Bill Belichick |
3 |
Chuck Knox |
3 |
Kevin Stefanski |
2 |
Ron Rivera |
2 |
Bruce Arians |
2 |
Dan Reeves |
2 |
Bill Parcells |
2 |
Mike Ditka |
2 |
Joe Gibbs |
2 |
George Allen |
2 |
George Halas |
2 |
Allie Sherman |
2 |
The legendary Don Shula is the only head coach to be named NFL Coach of the Year on four separate occasions. Shula spent 33 seasons coaching in the NFL, accumulating 328 wins with a .677 winning percentage. Shula’s Miami Dolphins are the only team in NFL history to have a perfect season going 17-0 in 1972.
Bill Belichick is undoubtedly the greatest head coach of the last two decades. He was named NFL Coach of the Year three times and his 302 regular season wins are third most all-time. In addition he has the most career playoff wins with 31. Belichick led New England to six Super Bowl titles and most observers believe that his accomplishments have surpassed those of Shula.
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