Armed Forces Bowl Odds - Baylor vs. Air Force
Baylor finished the season on a three-game skid and finished 6-6. They defeated Ole Miss, 21-7, in the Sugar Bowl last season. This will be the 27th time Baylor has appeared in a bowl game on January 1, 2022. The Bears have a 14-12 record in the postseason. Air Force is off to its 28th bowl game, all since 1982, and the second straight after last season’s 31-28 First Responder Bowl victory over the Louisville Cardinals. With a win, the Falcons will notch a 10-win season for the third consecutive year, which will be a first in program history.
2022 Armed Forces Bowl at a Glance
Date: Thursday, December 22, 2022
Time (ET) / TV: 7:30 PM / ESPN
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
Matchup: Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons
College Football Betting Lines
Air Force Falcons +6.5
Baylor Bears -6.5
Total: 49.5
Armed Forces Bowl Preview
Last game, the Baylor Bears lost 38-27 against the Texas Longhorns as 10-point road dogs. The game went over the total of 56. Baylor has a record of 6-6 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 8-4 over/under the total. Baylor ranks 37th for total offense, 61st for passing, 33rd for rushing, and 32nd for scoring. Defensively they rank 60th overall, 81st against the pass, 44th against the rush, and 67th for points allowed. Also, Baylor ranks 50th for fewest turnovers lost and 40th for takeaways.
Baylor has compiled a 7-5-0 record against the spread this season. In games it is played as 6-point favorites or more, Baylor has an ATS record of 3-0. This season, Baylor games have hit the over eight times. The Bears won 40% of the games this season when favored on the moneyline. The Bears have played as a moneyline favorite of -244 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.
Last game, the Air Force Falcons won 13-3 against the San Diego State Aztecs as 2.5-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 43. Air Force has a record of 9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 5-7 over/under the total. Air Force ranks 57th for total offense, 131st for passing, 1st for rushing, and 73rd for scoring. Defensively they rank 1st overall, 1st against the pass, 8th against the rush, and 3rd for points allowed. Also, Air Force ranks 118th for fewest turnovers lost and 80th for takeaways.
Air Force has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season. Air Force games have gone over the total five times this year. The Falcons have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Falcons have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +195 moneyline set for this game.
Armed Forces Bowl Prediction
In this situation, Air Force has shown better form and consistency. Baylor was a major disappointment in 2022.
Armed Forces Bowl Format
The Armed Forces Bowl began in 2003 and is played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Since its inception, various conferences have owned tie-ins to this bowl, as schools from the American Athletic Conference, Big Ten Conference, Big 12 Conference, and Mountain West Conference have signed agreements to play in this game. This bowl was formerly named the PlainsCapital Fort Worth Bowl, the Fort Worth Bowl, and the Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl.
Armed Forces Bowl Past Results
SEASON |
WINNING TEAM |
LOSING TEAM |
SCORE |
2021 |
Army |
Missouri |
24-22 |
2020 |
Mississippi State |
Tulsa |
28-26 |
2019 |
Tulane |
Southern Miss |
30-13 |
2018 |
Army |
Houston |
70-14 |
2017 |
Army |
San Diego State |
42-35 |
2016 |
Louisiana Tech |
Navy |
48-45 |
2015 |
California |
Air Force |
55-36 |
2015 |
Houston |
Pittsburgh |
35-34 |
2013 |
Navy |
Middle Tennessee |
24-6 |
2012 |
Rice |
Air Force |
33-14 |
2011 |
BYU |
Tulsa |
24-21 |
2010 |
Army |
SMU |
16-14 |
2009 |
Air Force |
Houston |
47-20 |
2008 |
Houston |
Air Force |
34-28 |
2007 |
California |
Air Force |
42-36 |
2006 |
Utah |
Tulsa |
25-13 |
2005 |
Kansas |
Houston |
42-13 |
2004 |
Cincinnati |
Marshall |
32-14 |
2003 |
Boise State |
TCU |
34-31 |
The 2021 installment was an entertaining affair, as Army picked up a 41-yard field goal at the buzzer to top Missouri 24-22 in a seesaw affair. The Under result snapped a 6-1 run by the Over, and the underdog snapped a 3-0 ATS run by favorites.
Most All-Time Wins
WINS |
TEAM |
YEARS WON |
4 |
Army |
2010, 2017, 2018, 2021 |
2 |
Houston |
2008, 2014 |
2 |
California |
2007, 2015 |
The favorite won and covered in five of the first six years of this bowl. The underdogs did strike back with a 7-3 ATS run, but the 'chalk' bounced back in 2019 as Tulane stifled Southern Miss 30-13 as a seven-point favorite.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs of the SEC restored order for the favorites, picking up a 28-26 win over Tulsa of the AAC as the Over comfortably connected. The Over is now 6-1 across the past seven installments of this bowl game.
2022-23 College Football Bowl Games
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