CFP National Championship Game Betting
The 2022-2023 National Champion will be either the defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs or the TCU Horned Frogs. The Bulldogs are listed as nearly a two-touchdown favorite in national championship betting odds over the Horned Frogs on Monday, January 9, 2023. TCU is coming off a surprising win against Michigan in one of the College Football Playoff semifinals, while the Bulldogs are coming off a come from behind win against Ohio State in the other College Football Playoff semifinal. The Horned Frogs are getting very little respect from the oddsmakers, but that has been the case for much of the season and TCU has been an excellent team to bet on, as they are 10-3-1 ATS. The Bulldogs have been overvalued at times this season and they are just 7-7 ATS. Georgia is looking to become the first team to win back-to-back national titles since Alabama in 2011-2012.
The defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs enter the title game unbeaten at 14-0 SU and they are 7-7 ATS with six games going over the total and seven going under with one push. The Horned Frogs are 13-1 SU and 10-3-1 ATS with eight games going over the total and six going under. The Bulldogs finished the 2022 regular season unbeaten and they rolled over LSU in the SEC Championship Game. The Bulldogs have a dominating defense and one of the top offenses in the country led by quarterback Stetson Bennett. Georgia was favored in National Championship Odds for much of the season and they are listed as a 13-point favorite against TCU in the title game on Monday with a total of 62.5.
Georgia is averaging 39.2 points per game and putting up 491.8 yards per contest. Their defense is giving up just 12.8 points and allowing only 292.1 yards per game. Stetson Bennett has thrown for 3,420 yards, Kenny McIntosh has 709 rushing yards, while Brock Bowers leads the team in receiving yards with 726.
The TCU Horned Frogs surprised the Michigan Wolverines in the College Football Playoff, dominating the Wolverines for much of the game before Michigan rallied late to make it close. The TCU Horned Frogs were unbeaten in the regular season but they lost the Big 12 title game to Kansas State. That defeat did not hurt TCU in the rankings, as the Horned Frogs still finished at No. 3 in the country. TCU has a very good offense that ranked in the Top 10 in the nation in points per game, but TCU’s defense does not match that of Georgia’s.
TCU is averaging 40.3 points per game and putting up 473 yards per contest. They are giving up 25 points and allowing 384.6 yards per game. Max Duggan has thrown for 3,546 yards, Kendre Miller has run for 1,399 yards, while Quentin Johnston has 1,066 receiving yards.
College Football Betting trends show that the Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, while the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Over is 5-1 in the Horned Frogs last 6 non-conference games, while the Over is 4-1 in the Bulldogs last 5 games overall.
There are five power conferences in college football, but one conference has stood supreme when talking about the College Football Playoff and the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The SEC has done its best to turn the CFP into the SEC Invitational over the years, as five of the eight national champions crowned in this system have come from the conference.
The ACC has had the second-most representation with Clemson making it to the CFP National Championship Game four times. Ohio State has represented the Big Ten in both of its trips to this game, and the one other team to make it this far was Oregon back in 2014. The Ducks crushed the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles in the Rose Bowl to reach this point, but they lost as six-point favorites to the Buckeyes in the inaugural CFP National Championship Game.
TCU is the first Big 12 team to play in this game. Oklahoma qualified for the CFP four times, but the Sooners are 0-4 in those games, suffering blowout losses three times.
National Championship Game Format
The College Football Playoff National Championship Game pairs the winning teams from the College Football Playoff semifinal rounds. Six teams have made it to the CFP multiple times since its inception with Alabama and Clemson leading the way. Ohio State and Georgia have both made it to the CFP National Championship Game twice, while Notre Dame and Oklahoma have never made it this far as they are both winless in the CFP.
The four teams that make the College Football Playoff are determined by a committee that uses various metrics in making their decisions. Because of the dominance of the SEC over the past decade, meetings have been held to expand the playoff to a total ranging from eight to 16 teams. Possible expansion has been put on hold though due to more conference realignment, and we won’t see the CFP expand until after Oklahoma and Texas join the SEC.
National Championship Past Results
SEASON |
WINNING TEAM |
LOSING TEAM |
SCORE |
2022 |
Georgia |
TCU |
65-7 |
2021 |
Georgia |
Alabama |
33-18 |
2020 |
Alabama |
Ohio State |
52-24 |
2019 |
LSU |
Clemson |
42-25 |
2018 |
Clemson |
Alabama |
44-16 |
2017 |
Alabama |
Georgia |
26-23 (OT) |
2016 |
Clemson |
Alabama |
35-31 |
2015 |
Alabama |
Clemson |
45-40 |
2014 |
Ohio State |
Oregon |
42-20 |
The Georgia Bulldogs ended the dominance of Alabama by beating the Crimson Tide in the title game for the 2021 season and it wasn’t close, as Georgia won 33-18. Alabama won its sixth title under Nick Saban in 2020. The Crimson Tide have been the nation’s preeminent program for more than a decade, and Saban is still going strong in Tuscaloosa. Saban first made Alabama into a superpower on the strength of their defense, but this offense has led the way in two of the three national championships the Crimson Tide has claimed in the CFP era. In 2015, Alabama scored 45 points to beat Clemson, and the Tide dropped 52 points against Ohio State in Miami for the most recent national championship.
While the Alabama defense stymies almost all of its foes, Clemson has not had issues scoring on the Crimson Tide in the CFP National Championship Game. The Tigers have scored 40 points, 35 points, and 44 points against the Crimson Tide with the title on the line, leading to two national championships for Dabo Swinney and company.
Most All-Time Wins
WINS |
TEAM |
YEARS WON |
3 |
Alabama |
2015, 2017, 2020 |
2 |
Georgia |
2021, 2022 |
2 |
Clemson |
2016, 2018 |
1 |
LSU |
2019 |
1 |
Ohio State |
2014 |
Since its inception, two teams have been constant fixtures in the College Football Playoff. Alabama has made it to the CFP seven times and has played in the CFP National Championship Game six times. The Crimson Tide are 3-3 in the national championship, with two of their losses coming to the other power in this era.
Clemson went to the CFP for six straight seasons from 2015 to 2020. The Tigers lost twice in the national semifinals, and they made it to the title game four times. They bested Alabama twice thanks to standout performances from Trevor Lawrence and Deshaun Watson.
2022-23 College Football Bowl Games
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