Boca Raton Bowl Odds - Liberty vs. Toledo
Toledo beat the Ohio Bobcats 17-7 to win the MAC Championship for the first time since 2017. With momentum on its side, Toledo will turn its attention to winning the bowl game, which has been an elusive feat in previous campaigns. The Rockets have played in a bowl game four times since 2016, losing each of those contests. Led by dual-threat QB Dequann Finn and a solid defense that ranks 22nd in opponent yards per play (4.8), the Rockets will look to end that postseason skid.
Liberty will be heading to its fourth bowl game and are 3-0 in previous bowl games. Last season Liberty beat Eastern Michigan 56-20 in the LendingTree Bowl. The team is in a transition position following the departure of former head coach Hugh Freeze to Auburn and the arrival of new head coach Jamey Chadwell from Coastal Carolina.
2022 Boca Raton Bowl at a Glance
Date: Tuesday, December 20, 2022
Time (ET) / TV: 7:30 PM / ESPN
Venue: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida
Matchup: Liberty Flames vs. Toledo Rockets
College Football Betting Lines
Toledo Rockets -4
Liberty Flames +4
Total: 54.5
Boca Raton Bowl Preview
Last game, the Liberty Flames lost 49-14 against the New Mexico State as 24-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 50.5. Liberty has a record of 8-4 straight up, 5-7 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total. Liberty ranks 59th for total offense, 78th for passing, 47th for rushing and 68th for scoring. Defensively they rank 59th overall, 78th against the pass, 47th against the rush, and 68th for points allowed. Also, Liberty ranks 113th for fewest turnovers lost and 15th for takeaways.
Liberty has covered the spread five times this year (5-7-0). Liberty is a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs. This season, six Liberty games have gone over the point total. The Flames have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won three of those games. The Flames have won three of their four games this season when they’re the underdog by at least +142 on the moneyline.
Last game, the Toldeo Rockets won 17-7 against the Ohio Bobcats 17-7 as 3.5-point favorites. The game went under the total of 54.5. Toledo has a record of 8-5 straight up, 5-8 against the spread, and 6-7 over/under the total. Toledo ranks 52nd for total offense, 68th for passing, 49th for rushing and 39th for scoring. Defensively they rank 24th overall, 15th against the pass, 59th against the rush, and 59th for points allowed. Also, Toledo ranks 99th for fewest turnovers lost and 29th for takeaways.
Toledo is 5-8-0 against the spread this season. In games played as 4.5-point favorites or more, Toledo has an ATS record of 4-6. This season, six Toledo games have gone over the point total. The Rockets have been favored on the moneyline 11 total times this season. They’ve finished 7-4 in those games. In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -179 or shorter, the Rockets have a 5-3 record.
Boca Raton Bowl Prediction
In this situation, Toledo is in much better form. Liberty collapsed with a poor finish to the season.
Boca Raton Bowl Format
Founded in 2015, the Boca Raton Bowl is played at Florida Atlantic University Stadium, home of the FAU Owls. The Conference tie-ins include CUSA, The American, MAC, Mountain West, and Sun Belt. The payout is $900,000.
Boca Raton Bowl Past Results
| SEASON |
WINNING TEAM |
LOSING TEAM |
SCORE |
| 2021 |
Western Kentucky |
Appalachian State |
59-38 |
| 2020 |
BYU |
UCF |
49-23 |
| 2019 |
Florida Atlantic |
SMU |
52-28 |
| 2018 |
UAB |
Northern Illinois |
37-13 |
| 2017 |
Florida Atlantic |
Akron |
50-3 |
| 2016 |
Western Kentucky |
Memphis |
51-31 |
| 2015 |
Toledo |
Temple |
32-17 |
| 2014 |
Marshall |
Northern Illinois |
52-23 |
The Boca Raton Bowl is where BYU quarterback Zach Wilson became the second-ranked quarterback for the NFL Draft. In the 2020 Boca Raton Bowl, Wilson was 26-34 passing, good for 425 yards and three touchdowns. Subsequently, Wilson was the second player taken in the 2021 NFL Draft by the New York Jets, following Trevor Lawrence of Clemson. This bowl game is known for a lot of offense and exciting shootouts.
Most All-Time Wins
| WINS |
TEAM |
YEARS WON |
| 2 |
Western Kentucky |
2016, 2021 |
| 2 |
Florida Atlantic |
2017, 2019 |
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin helped rehabilitate his once lost career by leading Florida Atlantic to two Boca Raton bowls as CUSA champion. It also helped that the game is played on FAU’s home field. Kiffin did not coach in the 2019 edition, having left for Ole Miss, but the Owls were definitely his team.
2022-23 College Football Bowl Games
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