Michigan State Spartans College Football Betting
We didn’t see the Michigan State Spartans in action last week because their game against the Maryland Terrapins was cancelled due to the coronavirus. That pause might have been fortuitous as Michigan State was blown out in its two previous games, potentially giving Mel Tucker an opportunity to right the ship for the Spartans’ last three games of the 2020 season. Michigan State has a tall task this week though, as the Spartans take on the unbeaten Northwestern Wildcats.
This week’s game will be played at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing on Saturday, November 28, at 3:30 p.m. ET with ESPN2 broadcasting it.
Michigan State Spartans Weekly Odds
Michigan State Spartans +13.5
Northwestern Wildcats -13.5
Michigan State Spartans Weekly Matchup
Northwestern is fired up coming into this game. The Wildcats likely locked up the Big Ten West with their victory over Wisconsin last week, as they should be double-digit favorites per the college football betting odds the rest of the way.
This team is led by its defense. Northwestern is third in defensive SP+, so it’s unlikely Michigan State will be able to move the ball effectively. The Wildcats are fourth in the nation in scoring defense (12.6 PPG), and they are first in pass defense, allowing a measly 4.9 YPA.
It’s going to be a tall task for Rocky Lombardi to find open receivers against this secondary. Lombardi hasn’t played great in his first season as a starter, as his inexperience is cropping up in the form of mistakes. He is completing just 57.1 percent of his passes for 7.5 YPA with six touchdowns and seven interceptions on the year, and he has fumbled the ball four times (one lost).
The ground game hasn’t been able to bail out the young quarterback either, leading to the Spartans scoring just seven points in their last two games. Michigan State is averaging a dismal 2.2 YPC, and that’s with Lombardi only being sacked six times. Jordon Simmons leads the Spartans with 147 rushing yards, and the only rushing touchdown has come by way of back-up tight end and walk-on punter Tyler Hunt.
Lombardi’s struggles are unfortunate considering the Spartans have a talented trio of receivers. We saw what Jalen Nailor and Ricky White could do against Michigan in Michigan State’s lone win, and both players are averaging over 21 YPC.
The Wildcats rank 100th in offensive SP+, so this game has one of the lowest totals of the week. Northwestern has had more success moving the ball though as Indiana transfer Peyton Ramsey has fared well under center. Ramsey is not a world beater, but he does have 926 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions, while running for 167 yards and a score.
This run game is averaging just 3.4 YPC as a team, and the only real receiving threat is Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman. He has 22 receptions for 290 yards and four touchdowns, while any other receiver with more than 55 receiving yards is averaging under 10 YPC.
Michigan State’s defense has been very good, keeping the Spartans in games although the offense has totally let them down in all three losses. They are allowing just 3.9 YPC and 6.5 YPA, but 14 turnovers through four games has led to a lot of points being scored against this defense.
Michigan State Spartans Weekly Recap
The Spartans have now been blown out in consecutive weeks after their huge upset over Michigan on Halloween. Michigan State lost 49-7 to Iowa two weeks ago, and the Spartans were shut out 24-0 by the Indiana Hoosiers last Saturday.
Rocky Lombardi started the game, and he was 3-7 for 21 yards with two interceptions before being pulled in favor of Payton Thorne. Thorne was a little better, completing 10 of 20 passes for 110 yards and an interception, and he was responsible for Michigan State’s longest gain of the day on a 38-yard run. However, he wasn’t able to lead the Spartans to a score.
Michael Penix Jr. completed 25 of 38 passes for 320 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for the Hoosiers. Ty Fryfogle was incredible with 11 receptions for 200 yards and two touchdowns, and Stevie Scott III ran for 84 yards and a score.
The final score could have been a lot worse as Indiana had 21 first downs and 433 total yards of offense compared to nine first downs and 191 total yards of offense for Michigan State.
2020 Michigan State Spartans Schedule
||vs. Ohio State
||@ Penn State
NCAA Football Teams
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