AFC South Betting Odds - NFL Futures

AFC South Betting Odds

The AFC South is a three-horse race entering the 2020 season. Although the Houston Texans have won this division in four of the last five seasons, they are considered a sizable underdog to the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans. Bill O’Brien’s decision to trade Deandre Hopkins for essentially nothing was the subject of derision throughout the league, and the defense around three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt continues to be dismantled. However, Deshaun Watson is easily the best quarterback in the division, giving the Texans an edge over their AFC South foes.

AFC South Betting

Indianapolis rolled the dice with Philip Rivers, and the oddsmakers think that the veteran has at least one more good season in him. A healthy T.Y. Hilton will give Rivers the dynamic deep threat he loves, and this offensive line is one of the best in the NFL and will keep him upright. There are no proven skill position players aside from Hilton though, and this defense is still a work in progress. Darius Leonard is a do-it-all linebacker, and the Colts acquired DeForest Buckner and Xavier Rhodes to help him out.

Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs sent a few gift baskets to Tennessee after beating them in the AFC Championship Game. The Titans knocked out the Chiefs’ biggest competition by upending New England and Baltimore in consecutive weeks behind a strong ground game and a solid defense. That will be the formula again in 2020 as the team calls workhorse Derrick Henry’s number repeatedly in order to open up the aerial game for Ryan Tannehill.

The Texans have major concerns along the offensive line despite trading for Laremy Tunsil and drafting Tytus Howard to be their bookend offensive tackles. Tunsil is one of the most penalized linemen in the game, and Howard looked lost in his rookie campaign. Deshaun Watson has a revamped receiving corps to use after the Hopkins trade as Houston acquired Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb, while David Johnson will be the starting running back.

Many are considering Jacksonville the worst team in the league. The Jaguars’ defense has been gutted over the last year, and this is just a shadow of the dominant unit that led this franchise to the 2017 AFC Championship Game. Gardner Minshew II is fun and exciting, but he might not be any good, and his receiving corps doesn’t strike fear into the hearts of Jacksonville’s opponents.

AFC South Winners (2000)

2020 Indianapolis Colts 11-5
2019 Houston Texans 10-6
2018 Houston Texans 11-5
2017 Jacksonville Jaguars 10-6
2016 Houston Texans 9–7
2015 Houston Texans 9–7
2014 Indianapolis Colts 11–5
2013 Indianapolis Colts 11–5
2012 Houston Texans 12–4
2011 Houston Texans 10–6
2010 Indianapolis Colts 10–6
2009 Indianapolis Colts 14–2
2008 Tennessee Titans 13–3
2007 Indianapolis Colts 13–3
2006 Indianapolis Colts 12–4
2005 Indianapolis Colts 14–2
2004 Indianapolis Colts 12–4
2003 Indianapolis Colts 12–4
2002 Tennessee Titans 11–5

Since its creation in 2002, the AFC South has housed the same teams. Jacksonville and Tennessee came over from the AFC Central, Indianapolis moved from the AFC East, and the Texans were an expansion team that year. The Colts have dominated for much of the division’s existence, but the Texans have ruled the roost in recent years. Houston has won four of the last five AFC South titles, and Jacksonville’s lone division title was the only other one in that time.

The Titans won the very first division title and they would be the only team standing between the Colts and nine consecutive AFC South champion banners. Indianapolis is the only team from this division to win a Super Bowl title, and neither Houston nor Jacksonville have ever played on the sport’s biggest stage.

The 2007 campaign saw every division team finish the regular season at or above .500, three teams win at least 10 games, and those three teams qualify for the postseason. Indy won the crown with a 13-3 record while Jacksonville (11-5) and Tennessee (10-6) each qualified for the playoffs as a wild card. The Texans ended the year 8-8. The combined 42-22 record was the best for any division in NFL history.

AFC South Division Titles

Indianapolis Colts 10
Houston Texans 6
Tennessee Titans 2
Jacksonville Jaguars 1

Tennessee and Jacksonville both won multiple division titles while members of the old AFC Central. The Titans won a pair of division titles when they were named the Oilers and captured another under their new moniker in 2000. Jacksonville won back-to-back division crowns in 1998 and 1999, just three years after joining the NFL. It’s been a bit bumpier since realignment though, as the Jags have only won a division title once in the last 20 years.

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