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Old School Meets New School
If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to be willing to take teams no one else wants to bet. I refer to these teams as ugly dogs and you really have to hold your nose sometimes when you bet on them, but history has shown that going against the public works. We opened up the NFL season by going 3-2 against the spread last week. It is on to Week 2, with four games we’ll look at. Let’s take a look at the Week 2 Ugly Dog picks....
It’s only one game so we shouldn’t be too concerned. Or should we? Thanks to several costly mistakes by Jameis Winston, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers let a winnable game slip away last week. A pair of pick-sixes proved costly in the 31-17 loss to the Niners. The Carolina Panthers woke up too late in their opening-day loss, but Christian McCaffrey looks like he’s ready to carry the load. Neither team wants a 0-2 start giving this NFC South confrontation added incentive. Current NFL odds have the Panth...
The biggest overreactions in the NFL almost always occur in Week 2 because everyone looks back at what happened in Week 1 and thinks those results will carry over. History has shown that Week 1 results are usually the most irrelevant in predicting what will happen for the rest of the season. That begin said, there is already little doubt that the Miami Dolphins are going to be bad, perhaps historically bad. The Dolphins are listed as 16.5-point home underdogs in Week 2 NFL odds against the New England Patriots. Let’s look at the NFL Week 2 odds and some of the early line moves. ...
Houston Texans coach and, I guess, acting GM Bill O’Brien is either a mad scientist or evil genius. Houston was a busy team this offseason and questions remain if they are actually better than the 11-win AFC South champion club from a season ago. The retirement of Andrew Luck opened the door for Houston to claim a second straight division title and fourth in the last five seasons. The Texans open the season on ESPN’s Monday Night Football with a tilt against NFC power New Orleans Saints. After t...
Antonio Brown has carried his antics to his new team and it didn’t take long for the Oakland Raiders to become fed up with their star receiver. Brown is expected to be suspended by the Raiders after he got into an exchange with general manager Mike Mayock on Wednesday. There are reportedly some within the Raiders organization that already want to be rid of Brown. BookMaker.eu has odds on how long Brown’s suspension will be and whether or not he will still be on the team in Week 9. Let’s look at ...
We didn’t glean much from four preseason games so we head into Week 1 of the NFL regular season relying on information we’ve obtained from past years. What we do know is that there are a couple of teams in each conference that are poised for another stellar season. And there will certainly be a surprise team or two, but that comes further down the road. For now, its opening weekend and we’ll take a look at some picks that will win you some cash at offshore sportsbooks....
There’s nothing like starting the 2019 NFL season with a battle of AFC heavyweights in a contest that will surely get plenty of action at offshore sportsbooks. The New England Patriots have been the most dominant team in the league for nearly two decades and begin defense of their second Super Bowl title in three years against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 on NBC’s Sunday Night Football. The Steelers haven’t won in Foxboro in their last three tries and are looking to get back to the postseas...
If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to be willing to take teams no one else wants to bet. I call these teams, ugly dogs, and you really have to hold your nose sometimes when you bet on them. There will be weeks during the NFL season that we are taking some really bad teams and it won’t be easy to do, but history has shown that the ugly dogs do really well against the spread. This is Week 1 and we don’t really know which teams will be truly bad, but we can definitely make a few assumptions. We’ll take it a bit cautiously this week, but we have five Week 1 Ugly Dog picks. ...
In the last 11 seasons, we have seen two teams finish the year without a single win. The 2008 Detroit Lions and 2017 Cleveland Browns hold the dubious record of being the only teams in NFL history to finish a season 0-16, but they could have company at the end of this season. The gap between the elite teams and the abysmal teams in the league is widening, and there are a few franchises that look set to bottom out this year....
Since the first Super Bowl in 1967, undefeated teams have been a rare sight in the NFL. Over the last 53 seasons, just two teams have finished the regular season without a blemish. The 1972 Miami Dolphins went 14-0 in the regular season before squeaking out one-score victories over Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Washington to become the first and only immortal team in the NFL’s modern era....
The oldest and fiercest rivalry will kick off the NFL’s 100th season when the Green Bay Packers visit the Chicago Bears in an NFC Central tilt. Chicago made a surprise run at the division title last season and is the favorite to repeat. However, the Bears won’t be sneaking up on anyone this year and the Pack is ready for a return to the postseason after two straight years of inactivity. The health of Aaron Rodgers is key to Green Bay’s success, as is his relationship with new coach Matt LaFleur....
NFL Week 1 is finally here, as the Green Bay Packers visit the Chicago Bears on Thursday night on NBC. The goal when we analyze the NFL odds each week will be to see where the money is going and to analyze the biggest early line moves. Week 1 is unique, because the lines have been out for months, so we have to take these Week 1 odds with a grain of salt. We’ll look at all of the games and the line movement, but we’ll be aware that these lines have been out for a long time. ...
The first two players off the board in the 2018 NFL Draft were Baker Mayfield and Saquon Barkley. The Cleveland Browns seemingly locked up a franchise quarterback by taking Mayfield No. 1, while the New York Giants eschewed conventional wisdom and reaped the rewards by using the No. 2 pick on the electric Barkley....
It’s full steam ahead on the Cleveland Browns’ hype train. Even though the Browns haven’t made the playoffs since 2002, most people believe this is the year that the moribund franchise will turn it around. Second-year quarterback Baker Mayfield is the primary reason behind this new-found faith in the Browns, and he is expected to improve on a stellar rookie campaign in 2018. How much will he improve? Let’s take a look at some NFL Player Futures bets and assess....
It’s going to be a strange final year in Oakland for the Raiders. The franchise was homeless for a brief period earlier this season as they couldn’t come to an agreement to stay in Oakland, and they flirted with the idea of playing elsewhere. The Raiders looked at moving into different stadiums in the Bay Area and California as a whole, but at the end of the day they decided to play one last year in Oakland. That will likely mean only a nominal home field advantage in the final year before this ...
This year is a referendum on both Kyle Shanahan and Jimmy Garoppolo. We are now entering the third year of Shanahan’s tenure with the San Francisco 49ers, and the early returns have not been great. While no one can be blamed for Garoppolo suffering a season-ending knee injury last year, the 49ers’ continued struggles in the post-Jim Harbaugh era have led to some muttering about whether either man is the right one for the job. Without significant improvement in 2019, there might be a major shake-...
Russell Wilson got paid this offseason. After years of Wilson being one of the best values in football due to his rookie contract, the Seattle Seahawks rewarded their star quarterback by making him the highest-paid quarterback in the league in April. Wilson signed a four-year, $140 million deal that included a $65 million signing bonus, ensuring that he will be in the Emerald City for the prime of his career. Of course, such a huge deal means that the Seahawks don’t have the pieces elsewhere tha...
The Philadelphia Eagles begin the 2019 season as one of the top contenders to win the Super Bowl. The Eagles feature a high-powered offense led by quarterback Carson Wentz and a defense that ranked 11th in the NFL a year ago in fewest yards allowed. The key this season for the Eagles will be keeping Wentz healthy, as they no longer have Nick Foles to bail them out, as Foles is now in Jacksonville. Let’s look at the odds on the Eagles making the playoffs and some things to consider....
Is there any team in the NFL that screams mediocrity more than the Tennessee Titans? Three straight 9-7 seasons and one playoff appearance in the last decade don’t inspire much confidence. But, did any team benefit more from the sudden retirement of Andrew Luck? That move likely knocked one team from a postseason berth and if the Titans can come up with another 9-win season or better, their +241 odds to reach the second season are enticing....
Through eight weeks of the 2018-19 season, the Washington Redskins stood 6-2 and looked to be the cream of the NFC East crop. Then Alex Smith suffered a nasty season-ending leg injury that could ultimately end his career. The squad nosedived immediately after managing just one win the rest of the way to finish third in the division standings. Case Keenum was brought in during the offseason to help alleviate the obnoxious quarterback play the offense received once Smith went down, and the Skins also selected Dwayne Haskins with the No. 15 pick in the NFL Draft. Unfortunately for whoever resides under center, the wide receiver corps leaves much to be desired. With that, it’s going to be a steep uphill climb for the offense to get much of anything done. Thankfully, Washington looks to be pretty stout on the other side of the ball – especially up front – which will allow it to stick close in a number of games before likely coming up short. Either way, it’s a rebuilding season in D.C. and the Skins odds of going to the playoffs at online sportsbooks reflect just that. ...
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a quarterback at a crossroads, and a new coach who is trying to get the most out of him. Jameis Winston is a former No. 1 overall pick with a lot of talent but he has yet to put it all together in the NFL. Bruce Arians takes over as coach and his vertical offense should give Winston plenty of opportunities to put up big numbers. The Buccaneers need their passing game to excel because there is not a ton of talent on the roster elsewhere. Tampa Bay is a heavy underdog...
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a very disappointing season a year ago, as they missed the playoffs and failed to win at least 10 games for the first time since 2013. The Steelers head into the 2019 season without Antonio Brown, but they seem to have better chemistry and optimism is high in Pittsburgh that the team will bounce back this season. If the Steelers don’t make the playoffs for the second straight year it could spell the end of the Mike Tomlin era in Pittsburgh. Let’s look at th...
No team has taken more criticism in the offseason than that of the New York Giants. Dave Gettleman was the butt of numerous jokes after selecting Duke’s Daniel Jones with the sixth pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. Many figured the former Duke Blue Devil would be around in the second round! However, the embattled general manager looks to be having the last laugh as good Jones has looked throughout the preseason. That said, the games don’t mean much of anything in exhibition play save for giving players much needed reps and others a chance to make the team. Eli Manning is still likely to be the QB1 once the G-Men lineup against the Cowboys in Week 1. Their odds of going from worst to first in the NFC East ( +2150 ) are much longer than their odds to make the playoffs at top rated sportsbooks. In other words, New York won’t be lacing up its playoff shoes come January! ...
The New York Jets cleaned house this past offseason and made a number of moves both in free agency and the NFL Draft in hopes of becoming a prominent player in a division that’s been ruled by the New England Patriots since the turn of the century. The Jets have only won the division once during that stretch with the Pats entering 2019-20 having come out on top of the standings each of the last 10 years! To think New York has a realistic shot to dethrone the reigning champs could be foolish, but ...
The New Orleans Saints are one of only four teams favored to qualify for the playoffs in the NFC at online sportsbooks entering the 2019-20 season. Sean Payton’s squad has the distinguished honor of being the most heavily favored of the four teams ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles who check in at -250. After having their hearts broken by the Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Rams each of the last two seasons, is it really that safe to just assume there’s unfinished business to tend to? As competitive the NFC South looks to be this season with the Carolina Panthers, Atlanta Falcons and even Tampa Bay Buccaneers vastly improved or growing, I don’t foresee it being the stone cold lock oddsmakers are making this wager out to be. ...