Stop the press, the Buffalo Bills will be on Sunday Night Football on NBC this week. The Bills have not appeared on Sunday night in 12 years, but they will get a shot to shine this week as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The good news for Buffalo is that they are 9-4 and in position to make the playoffs, but the bad news is that they rarely beat Pittsburgh. The Bills have lost six straight against the Steelers with their last win coming in 1999. The Steelers are slight home favorites in this game in what should be a low scoring contest. Let’s look at Sunday’s game and NFL picks.
This NFL regular season game between the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers will be held at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 15, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on NBC.
We'll have NFL odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NFL season.
Odds Analysis
Bettors have been taking the Steelers at home in this one, but there has been some interesting line movement. The line on this game opened as a pick and now the Steelers are a 1.5-favorite. It should be noted, however, that there has been some pushback, as the line went from a pick to the Steelers a two-point favorite and it is now down to 1.5. The total has dropped from 37 to 36.
Defense Shines
It is easy to see why bettors are taking this game under the total. The Bills rank third in the NFL in total yards allowed third in passing yards allowed and second in points allowed. The Steelers rank fifth in the NFL with 310.9 total yards allowed and 209.8 passing yards allowed. They are sixth in the NFL in points allowed at 18.6.
NFL Trends
The Bills are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. The Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Bills are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Looking at the total, the Under is 7-1 in the Bills last 8 games on grass. The Under is 14-3 in the Bills last 17 games as an underdog. The Under is 19-7 in the Bills last 26 road games. The Under is 4-0 in the Steelers last 4 games on grass. The Over is 13-4 in the Steelers last 17 games as a home favorite.
NFL Pick
You have to give credit to Mike Tomlin, as the Steelers looked dead and buried earlier this season and now they are 8-5 and in a solid position to make the playoffs. This is a big test for Pittsburgh as they face a Buffalo team that has a very good defense. The Steelers have made just enough plays on offense to win games and their defense has been excellent. I am tempted to take the points with Buffalo, but Pittsburgh has just been finding ways to win games. I do like the total in this one, as both teams have excellent defenses and did you catch that under stat on the Bills? They have gone under in 14 of their last 17 games as an underdog. They have also been a good team to bet under the total on the road. I will go under the total in this Sunday night contest.
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