The AFC South is completely up for grabs with six games remaining, as all four teams are within two games of each other heading down the stretch. The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts are tied for the divisional lead and someone will pull ahead in a critical head-to-head matchup in Week 12. The Texans have the superior talent and get this game at home, so they should be confident in picking up the win. However, the Colts have a strong all-around group and would love to pull the upset and wrest control of the division.
This NFL regular season game between the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Colts will be held at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 21st, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on FOX.
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The Texans have been listed as the 3.5-point favorites to capture this matchup. They are listed at -200 on the moneyline while the Colts are coming in as the +170 underdog. The scoring total is listed at 45 points, with slightly more money coming in on the “over” in the earlygoing.
These teams will play on just three days’ rest, which is something to keep in mind when the wagers are being made.
The Colts suffered a key loss last time out when standout running back Marlon Mack broke his hand. He has put together a solid season with 192 carries for 862 yards and four touchdowns but will miss this game and several more. Indianapolis does not believe the injury will be season-ending but Mack will be shelved for awhile.
The good news for Indianapolis is that running backs are replaceable, and it has one of the most talented offensive lines in football. The more important injury is that to quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who has been dealing with a knee ailment. He returned in last week’s win over the Jaguars and should be good to go in this one. It remains to be seen if Indianapolis star wide receiver T.Y. Hilton will be available, as he is dealing with an injury as well.
Player to Watch
Deshaun Watson -- The Colts may have the overall talent advantage across the board, but the Texans are the favorites in this one because of their quarterback. Watson is in the MVP discussion as he has thrown for 2,601 yards with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions on the year. Watson has some nice mobility and has carried the ball 55 times for 291 yards and five touchdowns this season.
Watson did not play well last time out in a 41-7 loss to the Ravens which gave oddsmakers pause about the high-end ability of this group. Watson was only 18-of-29 for 169 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in the defeat and will need to bounce back to lead his team to the much-needed win in this one.
The Colts are solid across the board but their passing game is inferior to Houston’s, and that is going to be a problem in this one. Look for Watson to bounce back and feed wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins early and often. The Texans are the choice to win this game, but it should be close. The half-point is big as the Colts are the pick to cover.
NFL Pick: Houston Texans 23, Indianapolis Colts 20
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