Tom Brady has been to the Super Bowl enough times that the big stage doesn’t affect him anymore. And it’s showed in his recent performances. The New England Patriots are making their third straight trip to the Big Game and Brady set a Super Bowl record for passing yards in each of the last two. He and Jared Goff of the Los Angeles Rams are unlikely to top the 505 passing yards Brady had last year, but two of the most explosive offenses in the NFL should light up the live betting lines at BookMaker.eu on Super Sunday.
Watch Super Bowl LIII live on CBS Sunday, February 3, 2019, at 6:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
Opening Super Bowl LIII Odds at BookMaker.eu
Los Angeles Rams +2.5
New England Patriots -2.5
Under second-year coach Sean McVay, the Rams transformed into an offensive powerhouse. The season before his arrival and the first for the club back in Southern California, the Rams were last in the NFL in scoring. A new coach, a few key signings and voila, the Rams had an offense. They led the league in scoring during the 2017 campaign and ranked second this season with Goff and Todd Gurley leading the way.
A favorite to win the Super Bowl before the season started, the Rams haven’t disappointed with their march to Atlanta. They played as a favorite on the closing line at NFL sportsbooks in every regular season game and were a dog for the first time in the NFC Championship. Currently a 2.5-point underdog at BookMaker.eu, the Rams will look to continue a nice run for pups. Over the last 17 Super Bowls the underdogs are 13-4 straight up, and they’ve been on heater with a 6-1 SU record in the last seven Super Bowls.
They won the NFC title game with little help from Gurley, but the Rams would have a much better chance of upsetting the Pats if he showed up. Some early miscues against the Saints relegated Gurley to the bench and he had just five touches and 13 yards from scrimmage. Gurley admitted to playing a “sorry” game afterwards, and now he has a chance to redeem himself.
Despite missing the final two games of the season, Gurley rushed for 1,251 yards and a league-best 17 touchdowns. He added 580 yards and four more scores on 59 receptions to place fifth in the NFL in combined yards. He ran for 115 yards in a win over Dallas in a divisional game and should be motivated for a big game on the live betting lines at BookMaker.eu.
The Rams will try to run the ball early and Gurley will be the main man. And don’t forget this is a homecoming of sorts for him as he played collegiately at nearby Georgia. “I expect to play every play and never come out of the game,” Gurley said this week. That also sets him up to go over his totals on several prop bets at BookMaker.eu.
With Brady working his magic, the Patriots have been the most destructive team offensively in the postseason. Brady has thrown for nearly 700 yards in two games and the Pats have amassed 1,022 total yards in wins over the Chargers and Chiefs. His passing yard total on a prop at BookMaker.eu opened at 291.5, which seems low for what he’s accomplished recently.
In his last three Super Bowls, Brady has compiled 1,299 yards through the air. And he’s tossed for more than 300 yards in nine of his last 11 postseason games. He has yet to be sacked during the playoffs and was brought down just 21 times during the regular season. Behind an impressive line, Brady can pick anyone apart. If the Rams don’t pressure him it’s going to be a long day and Brady will easily cash the over on his prop bet total.
The Rams know what they have to do on defense and they have the right man for the job. Aaron Donald led the NFL with 20.5 sacks and will take it upon himself to be disruptive. Donald doesn’t have a sack this postseason as the Cowboys and Saints made it a priority to stop him. If Donald doesn’t get to Brady, he will open lanes for Ndamukong Suh, Dante Fowler and Michael Brockers to bring the heat. In New England’s five losses, Brady was sacked a total of 10 times with at least one in every game.
Rams vs. Patriots Live Betting
New England’s ability to convert third downs and control the game has been a major factor in their offensive output. The Pats were 13 of 18 on third downs against the Chiefs and they have a success rate of over 60 percent in two games. The Rams need to get off the field on third down and I expect them to have better results than the Bolts and Chiefs. After all, they stymied Drew Brees and the Saints in the Superdome, holding them to fewer than 300 yards of offense. Still, we should see plenty of fireworks and the Rams improved defense will come up with a few more stops to get them a victory in a game that goes over the final total.
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