This is a must-win game for the Indianapolis Colts if they want to keep their rapidly diminishing playoff hopes alive. Indianapolis fell to 4-7-1 after last week’s loss to Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football, leaving the Colts 3.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the conference. They face another tough test in the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football this week, and a defeat would make it impossible for the Colts to finish the season with a winning record.
The biggest favorite of Week 13 per the NFL betting odds is the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas is currently the only double-digit favorite this week, as the Cowboys match up very well against the Indianapolis Colts. These teams will meet on Sunday Night Football on December 4, 2022, at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
NFL Week 13 Betting Odds
Indianapolis Colts +10
Dallas Cowboys -10
Total 43.5
Money Line: Colts +260, Cowboys -320
Odds Analysis
There has been action on the total and side ahead of this showdown on Sunday Night Football. Dallas was initially a 10-ppint favorite, and that number has crept up to 11 over the last few days. Meanwhile, the total has risen by a point.
Indianapolis Colts
Matt Ryan has not been great under center for the Indianapolis Colts this season. Ryan is starting to show his age (37), and he is completing 68.8% of his passes for 2,642 yards (6.8 YPA) with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He is a total statue in the pocket, leading to the Colts surrendering 43 sacks in 12 games, and that has hurt this team repeatedly.
The only real target in the passing game is Michael Pittman Jr., and the ground game has struggled due to the surprisingly poor performance of the highest-paid offensive line in the NFL. Jonathan Taylor isn’t as effective as he was last season, running for 779 yards (4.6 YPC) and four touchdowns, and he has lost three fumbles.
Indianapolis is allowing 20.3 PPG and 308.9 YPG. The Colts have been one of the best run stopping teams in the league as DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart don’t allow blockers to get to the second level and let the linebackers clean up run plays. However, they might be without starting cornerback Kenny Moore this weekend after he was injured against Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football last week.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott has been a little mistake prone with five interceptions in his last four starts, but he has largely played well under center for the Dallas Cowboys this season. Prescott is completing 68.1% of his passes for 1,393 yards (7.7 YPA) with 10 touchdowns and six INTs.
This has the potential to be the best Dallas Cowboys’ team we have seen in the 21st Century. The ground game has been excellent as Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott have combined to run for 1,338 yards and 13 touchdowns, and the offensive line is going to get a big boost whenever Tyron Smith returns to hold down the left side of the line this month. CeeDee Lamb is a legit No. 1 receiver, and Dalton Schultz is a great red zone threat.
Dallas ranks second in scoring defense (17.0 PPG) and fifth in yards per play (4.9 YPP). The Cowboys are extremely difficult to defeat if you fall behind too, as this defense thrives when the team has a two-score lead. They rank first in the NFL in sack rate by a wide margin, getting to the quarterback on 11.5% of drop backs. Micah Parsons is favored to be named NFL Defensive Player of the Year in his second season with 12 sacks and three forced fumbles, and Trevon Diggs continues to be excellent in his role as the No. 1 cornerback on this team.
Colts at Cowboys Free Pick
The Dallas Cowboys should be able to win this game, but the Indianapolis Colts can keep the final score within the number. Indianapolis has just two losses by more than 10 points this season, and the Colts will look to keep the ball on the ground.
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