Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints Odds Analysis

Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints Odds Analysis

The Drew Brees-less New Orleans Saints will be out for some retribution in Week 4 on Sunday Night Football when Sean Payton’s troops welcome the undefeated Dallas Cowboys into the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for a pivotal NFC clash against the current NFL odds. The Cowboys snapped the Saints 10-game win streak at home in these franchise’s run-in with one another last season, so it goes without saying they’ll be looking to return the favor in Teddy Bridgewater’s debut in front of the hometown faithful.

NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu

Dallas -2.5
New Orleans +2.5
Over/Under 47

Dallas vs. New Orleans Odds Analysis

There’s been some noticeable line movement with both the pointspread and total heading into this crucial matchup between NFC powerhouses. Dallas initially hit the board as 3-point road favorites with a game total of 45. Since both lines were made open to the public, the number to beat has fallen a half point to -2.5 in favor of the road team while the total has jumped up two full points to 47. Surprisingly, the betting line moved in favor of the host Saints even though the Cowboys have received a healthy 67 percent of the betting handle. The reverse line movement has everything to do with respected money in sharp accounts siding with New Orleans early on. Both public and sharp money expecting to see points hit the board forced the hands of linemakers to push the total higher.

Dallas Cowboys Odds

Dallas has gotten out to a rip-roaring start to its 2019 campaign, and has been able to do it without a full deck. Ezekiel Elliott is yet to get into full game shape, while Michael Gallup was forced to miss last week’s home clash against the Dolphins after blowing up in Week 1 against the Giants with 158 receiving yards. His absence didn’t prevent Dak Prescott and company from covering a bloated 22-point spread against Miami. Dallas bettors have Tony Pollard to thank for that after going HAM once Zeke was benched heading into the fourth quarter with the team up 18 points. Dallas invades the bayou undefeated at 3-0 with three covers in tow. They’ve averaged 32.3 points per game while conceding fewer than 15.0. The over has cashed at a 2-1 clip, but the Saints represent their first opponent with a pulse to date.

New Orleans Saints Odds

New Orleans passed its first test without the services of their future Hall of Fame quarterback with ease. Deonte Harris got the party started with a punt return for a score less than three minutes into the game which allowed the club to never look back. The 33-27 outright win as 4.5-point underdogs moved the Saints to 2-1 SU and ATS for the season with the 60 combined points cashing over tickets for the second time in three weeks. Offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael played it extremely close to the vest in Bridgewater’s debut, but you can expect the offense to open things up just a bit now that his inexperienced quarterback is back in the comforts of the Superdome. The Saints have been defeated a grand total of three times at home over the last two seasons with the over cashing in all three defeats.

Key Stats or Trends

These NFC heavyweights have crossed paths six times dating back to the 2010 season when Jason Garret became the interim coach of the Cowboys. He’s had issues getting the best of Payton in going 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS. The home team has come out the pointspread victor in each of the last four meetings with the average margin of victory coming by way of 15.5 points per game. However, the two most recent clashes only saw the games decided by an average of 4.5 points - the under cashed in both instances. New Orleans has won outright the four times it was installed a home underdog up to three points dating back to 2015, while Dallas stands 2-3 SU and 2-2-1 ATS the five times it laid up to three points on the road since 2017.

Last Meeting

The Saints were an enormous public play when they went into “JerryWorld” laying a touchdown last season on Thursday Night Football looking to build upon a 10-game win streak. Dallas was in the midst of a three-game win streak itself which included huge outright dog wins on the road against Atlanta and Philadelphia. Big D’s defense proved to be too much after holding the Saints potent attack to just 10 points to pull out the 3-point win and extend their win streak to five in a row.

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