Not only is Spain a massive favorite to win Group H at the 2026 World Cup, they are also among the favorites to win the entire tournament. The Spaniards were No. 1 in the FIFA rankings prior to March friendlies that included a draw with Egypt that dropped them to No. 2 behind France. Spain is facing injury concerns to key players that could impact their title odds, though they are deep enough to run through the Group.
Based on the early World Cup betting odds this figures to be a two-team race in the group stage with Uruguay anticipated to advance to the knockout phase as runner-up. With nothing to lose Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde can take chances and play spoiler. Saudi Arabia is regarded as fearless with Cape Verde an exciting team that plays with intensity.
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Odds to win Group H
Spain -550
Uruguay +460
Saudi Arabia +2000
Cape Verde +6000
The Euro 2024 winners are an overwhelming favorite to win the Group and all three matches. Injury concerns about Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal have put a damper on Spain’s outlook, but Yamal is expected to be available for the World Cup. The team’s depth will be tested if those stars are not at full health. Uruguay is poised to take advantage if the Spaniards are less than 100 percent. The primary challenger, Uruguay uses defensive tenacity and a fast-paced attack to disrupt opponents. Fittingly, the match that could potentially decide the group winner is last on the slate on June 26 in Mexico.
Odds for Group H teams to win World Cup
Spain +450
Uruguay +8000
Saudi Arabia +110000
Cape Verde +200000
Spain got a nice draw into Group H and could use the group stage to manage their injury situation. It’s a fine line, though, with wins and points needed to advance. The health of key players will test the club’s depth giving others a chance to produce. Mikel Oyarzabal arrives in fine form and the duo of Pedri and Rodri become more important pieces. Despite the injury concerns Spain should win the Group and giving players additional recovery time makes them more dangerous in the knockout stage.
Group H Team Previews
Spain +450
The only thing that could interrupt Spain’s road to the knockout stage is injuries. Talent-wise they outclass the entire group, but the health of Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams impacts the attack. Midfield depth is also a concern with Fabian Ruiz and Mikel Merino also dealing with ailments. As of this writing Spain has said all injured should be ready for the World Cup, though no updates on Williams were provided. Coach Luis de la Fuente has put together a deep squad to face situations just like this.
Group Match Schedule:
June 15: vs. Cape Verde, 12 p.m. ET, Atlanta, US
June 21: vs. Saudi Arabia, 12 p.m. ET, Atlanta, US
June 26: vs. Uruguay, 8 p.m. ET, Guadalajara, MX
Uruguay +8000
There have been questions about Marcelo Bielsa and his coaching methods. Some players have spoken publicly about the tension around camp. However, the results are tangible with Uruguay having a solid qualifying run with wins over Brazil and Argentina and placing fourth in CONMEBOL. Federico Valverde is the force delivering key plays like a stoppage time marker to tie England 1-1 in March. Uruguay has been reliant on opponent mistakes or dead-ball moments for its best chances.
Group Match Schedule:
June 15: vs. Saudi Arabia, 6 p.m. ET, Miami, US
June 21: vs. Cape Verde, 6 p.m. ET, Miami, US
June 26: vs. Spain, 8 p.m. ET, Guadalajara, MX
Saudi Arabia +110000
There was a renewed sense of optimism around the club when Herve Renard returned as coach in late 2024. Renard famously led the Saudis to a 2-1 upset over Argentina in the 2022 World Cup. There is a clear identity and a belief that the team hasn’t had since Renard left. One defining characteristic of the Saudis is their aggression. They don’t sit back but rather attack and force opponents to adjust to their style of play.
Group Match Schedule:
June 15: vs. Uruguay, 6 p.m. ET, Miami, US
June 21: vs. Spain, 12 p.m. ET, Atlanta, US
June 26: vs. Cape Verde, 8 p.m. ET, Houston, US
Cape Verde +200000
Whatever happens just being in the World Cup is a win for Cape Verde. But they are here to compete not just participate. Cape Verde won seven of its 10 qualifying matches using a stingy defense and the creativity of Ryan Mendes. Team speed allows them to counter attack, but the overall talent level is lacking in comparison to clubs in the Group.
Group Match Schedule:
June 15: vs. Spain, 12 p.m. ET, Atlanta, US
June 21: vs. Uruguay, 6 p.m. ET, Miami, US
June 26: vs. Saudi Arabia, 8 p.m. ET, Houston, US
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