We came the Battlehawks defending their home turf away from sweeping the board with last week’s XFL parlay picks. Winners included the Seattle Sea Dragons who kicked things off by handing the Houston Roughnecks their first defeat of the season. I’m still shocked they received any points in that matchup let alone 3.5! Up next was an easy ticket cash on the over in the Orlando/Vegas matchup. The 35-32 final made a mockery of the 41.5-point spread. My only complaint is that XFL bettors were robbed of overtime in that thriller! Closing it out was an easy ticket cash on the under of the Arlington/San Antonio tilt. The 3-1 ATS showing at the online sportsbook against the XFL odds moves us to 10-10 ATS for the season. That 0-4 ATS showing in Week 3 still stings.
Let’s see if we can’t remain in the black with my Week 6 XFL parlay picks!
Bet XFL Week 6 Parlay Picks at BookMaker.eu
Parlay #1
Orlando Guardians +9.5
Vegas Vipers +3
Arlington/San Antonio Over 31.5
D.C. Defenders -2
Payout: $100 to win $1273
Orlando Guardians +9.5
Though the Guardians laid an enormous egg when I backed them against Houston as similarly sized home underdogs in Week 3, I’m going back to the well in this spot against Seattle. While Orlando ultimately came up short in last week’s shootout in the desert, the offense looked much improved with Quinten Dormady under center. Though the penalties were still there (10), the turnovers were not (0). I’ve been saying all year that the Guardians aren’t nearly as bad as their 0-5 SU record indicates with their stats painting a picture more of a .500 team.
As for Seattle, it’s gotten away with turning the ball over at the highest clip in the league (2.6/game) due to trotting the XFL’s most potent offense onto the field. Orlando has been charitable with the pigskin as well (1.8/game). That being said, both defenses have been terrible in the takeaway department through five weeks with each averaging 0.6 takeaways per game. Whichever team wins the turnover battle in this match not only covers but wins the game outright. I don’t trust DiNucci laying almost 10-points on the other side of the country coming off that huge win over the Roughnecks. If not for that fluke win at Vegas in Week 3, the Sea Dragons are winless on the road. This line stinks and deserves a sprinkle on the +350 moneyline - Orlando plus the points is my best bet of the Week 6 XFL slate!
Vegas Vipers +3
The XFL North title race looks to be as cut and dry as it gets. It’s D.C. running away with the No. 1 seed and everyone else fighting for the No. 2. St. Louis and Seattle look to have the legs up right now with each clocking in at 3-2, but don’t count the Vipers out just yet. The team just won its first game of the season last week after scoring the thrilling 35-32 non-covering win against the Guardians. While the defense looks to be an all-out sieve, the offense looks to be anything but with it marching the third most productive unit out onto the gridiron behind Houston and Seattle. I was high on this Vipers squad at the outset of the season and still believe they have it in them to make a run. For that to occur, this game must be won at all costs and I think Rod Woodson’s squad is primed to secure the slight upset over what I think has been an underperforming Battlehawks outfit.
San Antonio/Arlington Over 31.5
We laughed all the way to the bank in this matchup at the Alamodome last week with the under cashing in with relative ease. Only 434 yards were churned out in the first go-round between the Renegades and Brahmas which amounted to a grand total of 22 points put on the board. If not for an Arlington turnover deep in its own territory, it’s possible the combined final score would’ve been even lower! However, there’s been too big a correction with the O/U for the rematch which will force me to reverse course and look for points to hit the board with regularity. These teams are now fully aware of what each will try to do, and adjustments will be made. Arlington actually looked the best it has offensively all season last week. Look for that to carry over, but for the Brahmas to have more up their sleeve this time around. Don’t be shocked when Jawon Pass completely changes the look of San Antonio’s attack!
D.C. Defenders -2
I’m 2-3 ATS in games involving the Defenders this season. I was forced to eat a huge helping of humble pie last week after touting the Battlehawks plus the points and then watching RB Abram Smith run roughshod over St. Louis’ porous run defense en route to leading D.C. to the impressive 28-20 road victory. We faded Houston last week in Seattle and called for the Roughnecks to endure their first loss of the season. I recommend we do it again and ride the Defenders in front of their raucous home crowd in the Monday nighter. Audi Field is arguably the toughest venue in the league for opponents to go into and succeed. Look for Gregg Williams to cook up a defensive game plan that has the Roughnecks on edge, and for QB Jordan Ta’amu and the offense to keep Houston’s pass rush in check enough to log win No. 6 and get ahead of the XFL odds in the process.
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