My recent XFL picks stunk the joint up going into Week 10. However, we closed the XFL betting season out with a bang by cashing in at the online sportsbook with three of the four made recommendations. It all kicked off with an embarrassing defeat on the Orlando Guardians plus the points. Though Quinten Dormady and co. kept it close for a half only trailing 25-20, A.J. McCarron and his crew turned the jets on in the second half to cruise to the 53-28 win and cover. San Antonio battled back from a 10-point halftime deficit against D.C. to ultimately cover in a 29-28 defeat, but ended up missing out on a shot at the playoffs due to John Parker Romo – the league’s best kicker – missing the game-winning kick with 32 ticks left on the clock. The total in the Houston/Arlington game fell all the way down to 38 at kick-off, but the two teams still failed to surpass the impost allowing us to cash our under ticket in. Closing it all out was the Seattle Sea Dragons who like the Battlehawks turned it up a couple notches in the second half to log the 28-9 win and cover against Vegas to punch their ticket into the second season. The 3-1 ATS showing moves us to a bothersome 18-21-1 ATS overall. Let’s see if we can keep the mojo rising in the Division Championships!
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D.C. Defenders -170
This is a tough one to recommend knowing full well I’d love nothing more than to cash that +550 ticket in on the Sea Dragons recommended in the middle of what turned out to be a five-game Seattle winning streak. Call it a hedge! The Defenders simply just come off as the better overall team in my opinion. Someway, somehow – D.C. finds a way to get the job done. I do however still like Seattle plus the points knowing full well each of the Defenders last three wins came by an average of just 1.3 points per game.
Even so, I want nothing to do with QB Ben DiNucci in a big game. His 13 interceptions were far and away the most in the league! You know darn well he’s going to get reckless in this third go-round with the Defenders much like he did in the prior two regular season meetings with both miscues ultimately costing the Sea Dragons both games. For reference sake, QB Jordan Ta’amu has only thrown three interceptions to go along with 14 touchdown passes. While that number comes up noticeably short of DiNooch’s 20, the former knows how to better take care of the ball and isn’t reckless with his decision making.
As evenly matched these two teams are evidenced by the 22-18 and 34-33 finals in the regular season, a mistake could prove to be all that separates these teams on the scoreboard. With that, I’ll take the Defenders on the moneyline thank you very much!
Arlington Renegades +6.5
I’m not reading too much into last week’s 25-9 result won and covered by the Roughnecks to sweep the season rivalry from the Renegades. Both Houston and Arlington rested a number of starters knowing full well the following week’s game is the only one that truly mattered. While bothered that the Renegades were held scoreless in the second half for the second time in as many meetings with their division rivals, I won’t allow it to prevent me from taking the points with Arlington whom I think can ugly this one up enough to keep it competitive and possibly win outright.
Houston’s passing attack is injured right now with QB Brandon Silvers still ailing from the triceps injury suffered over a month ago. The ground game is what’s paced the offense recently, and that’s where the Renegades shine with it owners of the league’s best run defense heading into last week’s matchup. It held Max Borghi and co. to just 77 yards and 2.8 yards per carry when at full strength in the first meeting back in Week 2. QB Luis Perez hasn’t dazzled since coming over from Vegas, but he’ll be the healthiest and most effective QB on the field come Saturday night. That’s a huge advantage heading into this win or go home tilt!
With both prior meetings combining for ugly low scorers and a number of goose eggs hung in numerous quarters, this one won’t be pretty. As such, catching points in a grudge match like this is where I want to position myself with a trip to the XFL Championship on the line.
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