At the onset of the season, the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs were favored to win the AFC championship.
Four months later, the Ravens and Chiefs are wrapping up lost campaigns.
The stunning fall of Kansas City and Baltimore has gamblers wondering what was missed and if there will be a recovery in 2026.
By contrast, the New England Patriots were on nobody’s radar.
Last year, the Patriots were putrid and were forced to hire Mike Vrabel as head coach to bring structure and discipline.
Vrabel is a top favorite to win Coach of the Year honors for 2025.
Meanwhile, New England is in the mix for the top AFC seed, trailing Denver by a single game.
On Sunday night, the Ravens will host the Patriots in a matchup of two surprise teams, albeit for different reasons.
Gambling interest is already high for this NBC Sunday Night matchup.
Get the latest NFL Week 16 news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss Sunday Night Football action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens Odds at Bookmaker
M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, hosts the matchup between the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, December 21, 2025. Kickoff time is at 8:20 p.m. ET with television coverage on NBC.
Baltimore opened as a 2.5-point favorite with New England as a 2.5-point dog.
Baltimore is a -152-point moneyline chalk with New England at +120.
The Ravens and Patriots opened with an o/u total of 47.5.
New England will appeal to Wise Guys and bargain hunters as a quality away team at an enhanced price.
New England Patriots
Last game, the New England Patriots lost 35-31 against the Buffalo Bills as 2.5-point home dogs. The game went over the total of 49.
New England is 11-3 straight up, 8-6 against the spread, and 8-6 over/under the total.
New England ranks 7th for total offense, 7th for passing, 15th for rushing, 7th for scoring, and 10th for fewest turnovers committed.
New England ranks 6th for total defense, 13th vs. the pass, 4th vs. the rush, 6th for fewest points allowed, and 21st for takeaways.
New England has covered one out of its most recent four games. New England went over the total in two of its last two matchups.
Baltimore Ravens
Last game, the Baltimore Ravens won 24-0 against the Cincinnati Bengals as 3.5-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 52.
Baltimore is 7-7 straight up, 5-9 against the spread, and 8-6 over/under the total.
Overall, Baltimore ranks 21st for total offense, 27th for passing, 3rd for rushing, 13th for scoring, and 28th for fewest turnovers committed.
Baltimore ranks 21st for total defense, 26th vs. the pass, 15th vs. the rush, 16th for fewest points allowed, and 18th for takeaways.
Baltimore has covered one out of its most recent five games. Baltimore went under the total in three of its last four matchups.
Patriots at Ravens Betting Trends
The Patriots covered the spread in 12 of their last 18 road games.
New England went under the total in three of their previous five road tilts.
The Ravens covered the spread in only one of their most recent seven home games.
Baltimore went under the total in three of their last five games at M&T Bank Stadium.
In the Ravens-Patriots series, it has long been a draw, with each team going 9-9-2 against the spread in the last 20 games.
Five of the last six games between Baltimore and New England went over the total.
Specifically in Baltimore, the Patriots covered the spread in two of their last three visits.
The Pats and Ravens went over the total in five consecutive games at Baltimore.
Patriots at Ravens Best Bets
Baltimore is indeed an inconsistent team.
But in the public's eyes, the Ravens remain a power brand.
Thus, in a home game, the Ravens will draw massive support from the casual sector, taking away its price value.
As mentioned earlier, New England has been a good betting value on the road and at Baltimore.
The Ravens' home value has not been good.
New England is in better form and has been a much better team this year.
Main Pick: New England Patriots
Over/Under Pick: Over the Total
Player Prop Picks: Lamar Jackson Under the Total Yards Total
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