Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds Analysis

Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds Analysis

Week 5 is set to wrap at Levi’s Stadium on Monday Night Football when the San Francisco 49ers look to remain undefeated against the rejuvenated Cleveland Browns who just went into Baltimore and took it to their division rivals last week. Tonight’s meeting will mark the first between these franchises since 2015 with the home team coming out on top in each of the previous four meetings and the under cashing in every time. See how it all unfolds against the current NFL odds on ESPN at 8:15 p.m. ET.

NFL Odds at

Cleveland +4
San Francisco -4
Over/Under 46.5

Cleveland vs. San Francisco Odds Analysis

The 49ers initially hit the board as 4.5-point favorites on the Week 5 lookahead lines with a game total of 47. That was before the Browns went into M&T Bank Stadium and smacked the Ravens 40-25 behind a career showing from Nick Chubb on the ground. Because of it along with the betting markets favoring the Browns at a 55 percent bet count, San Francisco is now a 4-point favorite. Some -3.5 have started to pop as well, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see the number to beat hit the key number before kick-off. The total has seen some action as well with it down a half point to 46.5 with 71 percent of the bet count in favor of the O/U heading south.

Cleveland Browns Odds

It’s been a trying first month of the Freddie Kitchen regime with the Browns splitting their first four games both SU and ATS. It all started off with an embarrassing defeat at home to the Tennessee Titans, but was followed up with the team’s first win and cover on the road at the Sam Darnold-less New York Jets. Cleveland then fell to 0-2 SU & ATS at home in Week 3 when it dropped a hard fought 20-13 decision to the Los Angeles Rams as 3.5-point underdogs. Then in the offense’s best showing of the season, Baker Mayfield and company went into their division rivals house and scored the 15-point outright win and cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Their four games split against the total with an average of 45 points hitting the scoreboard.

San Francisco 49ers Odds

The 49ers have utilized a punishing ground attack that runs at opponents in waves along with a much improved defensive front to get out to a perfect 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS start. It all started on the road in Tampa Bay where the defense used a pair of interception returns for scores to log the 31-17 outright win, and was then followed up with a severe skunking of the Cincinnati Bengals also on the road. The Niners got a stiff challenge from the Pittsburgh Steelers in their home opener, but still found a way to overcome five turnovers and pull out the 24-20 win and non-cover as 6-point chalk per the closing NFL odds. The 49ers will retake their home turf on Monday night looking to snap ugly 0-6-1 SU and 0-7 ATS streaks the last seven times they returned to the gridiron following a bye.

Last Meeting

The last time the Browns and 49ers locked horns, Blaine Gabbert squared off against Johnny Manziel in a game the Browns ultimately went on to win 24-10 as 2.5-point home favorites. The combined 34 points failed to surpass the 43-point total pushing the under to a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings dating back to 2003. That was the last time Cleveland scored a win by the bay when it scored the ugly 13-12 outright win and cover as lofty 7.5-point underdogs.

Key Trends

San Francisco’s results when installed a home favorite of 1-4 points are grotesque to say the least with the Niners only coming out on the right side of the scoreboard once the last seven times. On top of that, the 49ers went a bankroll depleting 0-8 ATS the L/8 times! That said, the franchise has gone on to shine under the bright lights of Monday Night Football in going a lucrative 26-7 ATS the last 33 times. As for Cleveland, it checks in 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS the last six times it was dogged on the road, and enters this tilt having covered each of the last four times it played away from FirstEnergy Stadium.

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