NCAA Football Week 13 - Mississippi State at Ole Miss Lines

Week 13 includes a Southeastern Conference Thanksgiving night rivalry showdown of two teams that have had disappointing seasons in different ways. The Ole Miss Rebels surprised many observers early in the year as they were carried by one of the most prolific offenses in the land. But the other side of the line has been rendered utterly helpless. The Mississippi State Bulldogs were a trendy dark horse pick in the SEC West Division but stubbed their toe after a hot start. The Bulldogs offense was supposed to be a strength but has instead it has turned into a liability.

This contest in Week 13 will go down Thursday, November 22, 2018, at p.m. 7:30 ET at Vaught Hemmingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi. The game can be seen on ESPN.

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Mississippi State – (Check Back Later)

Ole Miss Rebels – (Check Back Later)

Over/Under (Check Back Later)

Live Betting Odds Analysis

The Ole Miss Rebels are still highly regarded for their offense and that will garner some attention from the gambling public. Balanced against that is the disappointing season of the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Although Hail State has qualified for a bowl berth much more was expected. In fact, the Bulldogs were tabbed as a West Division contender but only recently has their offense been productive.

Ole Miss in Free Fall

Ole Miss is in a state of collapse with a record of 5-6 straight up and 3-8 against the board with six games going over the total. But the Rebels have lost four in a row straight up five in a row against the odds. Last week was an unmitigated disaster of an overtime loss at Vanderbilt 36-29 as three-point dogs. Ole Miss ranks fifth in the nation for total offense but that is offset by a defense that ranks 123rd in the country.

Resurgent Hail State

Mississippi State is bowl eligible with a record of 7-4 both straight up and against the spread with just two of their games going over the total. Last week Hail State scored a 52-6 home payout over Arkansas. The Bulldogs have picked up the pace with three wins and covers in their last four games. Mississippi State’s strength is a defense that ranks second in the country for points allowed. Offsetting that is a sluggish offense that ranks 69th in the nation overall.

ATS Trends

Mississippi State has been a weak play on the board as a road dog lately with just one payout in their last six games in that role. Eight of Hail State’s last 12 games as a road dog have gone under the total. On the other hand, Ole Miss has been an effective betting value as a home chalk as evidenced by their mark of four payouts in their last seven tries in that situation with 11 of their last 12 as a home favorite going over the total.

Head to Head

Ole Miss has had the advantage in their head to head series with Mississippi State as of late. In the last four Egg Bowl meetings the Rebels have won and covered three times with four of the last five in this series going under the total. At Vaught Hemmingway Stadium the Rebels have dominated the cashier’s cage. Hail State has paid in just two of their last nine visits to Oxford against Ole Miss with six of the last eight Egg Bowl matchups going under the total.

Free Live Betting ATS Pick

Ole Miss is led by quarterback Jordan Ta’amu. The senior from Hawaii is averaging 9.55 yards per attempt. But against the stout Bulldogs defense he will face a supreme challenge. Meanwhile the Mississippi State offense will certainly find openings against the Rebels sad sack unit. Additionally, Hail State is in far better form with solid momentum. The Rebels look done in a season of probation and a bowl ban.

College Football Live Betting Odds Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs

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College Football Live Betting Odds Score Prediction: Bulldogs 38, Rebels 21

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