Week 13 is of course also known as “Rivalry Weekend” and there is no matchup that has more passionate hatred than the famed “Iron Bowl” between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide. While this has been a disappointing season for Auburn a win over the Crimson Tide would take away the bad taste. For Alabama they seek not only revenge for an upset loss at Auburn last year, but also a perfect mark en route to a shot for the national championship.
Watch this Week 13 matchup live on Saturday, November 24, 2018, at 3:30 p.m. ET from Bryant Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. The game can be seen on CBS.
NCAA Football Betting at BookMaker.eu
Auburn – (Check Back Later)
Alabama – (Check Back Later)
Over/Under (Check Back Later)
Live Betting Odds Analysis
The public gambling consensus will clearly be on Alabama due to their dominance this season and the relatively inconsistent play of Auburn. Alabama is the unanimous pick to win the national championship and Auburn is justifiably derided for its lackluster offense. The only live betting factor in Auburn’s favor could be the potential of Alabama becoming an overlay.
Gus Bus Stalled
Five years ago, Auburn coach Gus Malzahn was celebrated as an offensive genius that was going to reinvent the game with his zone read attack. Since then, however, he has failed to match the production of his rookie season and has also not recruited well at the quarterback position. Auburn is 7-4 straight up, 5-6 against the spread, and 3-8 under the total. War Eagle is coming of a 53-0 home payout over Liberty last week.
Tide Rolls
Alabama is 11-0 straight up and 7-4 against the spread with seven of their games going over the total. Alabama toyed around with the Citadel last week in a 50-17 win as 53-point home chalks.
Tua
Alabama boasts an element that they have never had before in the presence of sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tua has a 212.2 rating with 31 touchdowns, two interceptions, and 12.09 yards per attempt. Of concern is a tender knee that has bothered him most of the year. Additionally, backup quarterback Jalen Hurts is also hobbling. As unbeatable as the Tide looks an injury to Tagovailoa could derail their title hopes.
Matchup Metrics
Alabama is the epitome of a compete and dominant team that ranks third in the country for both scoring offense and scoring defense.
Auburn ranks an embarrassing 85th in the nation for total offense but does rank an impressive 10th in the country for points allowed.
ATS Trends
Auburn has dropped like a rock as a road dog wagering value recently with a mark of just two payouts in their last eight games in that role. War Eagle has gone under the total in their last four games as a road dog. Contrary to that is Alabama’s good recent betting value as a home chalk. For example, the Crimson Tide has paid out in four of their last six laying points at Bryant Denny Stadium. Three of their last five as home chalks went over the total.
Head to Head
Auburn has covered the last two meetings in the Iron Bowl and scored a 26-14 upset win as five-point home dogs last year. Overall War Eagle has paid in eight of the last 12 Iron Bowl matchups with the last three meetings going under the total. At Bryant Denny Stadium the Crimson Tide has covered two of their last three meetings with Auburn as two of those games also went under the total.
Free Live Betting ATS Pick
Alabama has not forgotten their 26-14 loss at Auburn last year. Neither has Malzahn, who got a huge raise and extension afterwards that has made him virtually impossible to fire. The Tide is too much here and will roll.
College Football Live Betting Odds Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide
College Football Live Betting Odds Score Prediction: Crimson Tide 42, Tigers 14
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