Serie A Betting Odds – AC Milan at Parma Match Preview

By  Jonathan Willis

Tuesday, April 16th, 2019

Serie A Betting Odds

With just six games left in the Serie A season, AC Milan are desperately trying to hold on to a spot in the top four. They are currently in fourth place, but they are just one point ahead of Roma and only two points ahead of an Atalanta team that has been great over the second half of the season. AC Milan are one of the most storied teams in Serie A, yet they have fallen on hard times recently, and they have missed out on the Champions League for five straight seasons. They are determined not to make it six in a row, and AC Milan will look to earn three points against Parma on Saturday.

Don't miss the Italian Serie A action from the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma, Italy at 6:30 a.m. ET on Saturday, April 20, 2019. Catch every moment of the match live on ESPN2.

Serie A Betting Odds at

Parma +367

AC Milan -128

Draw +250

Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Odds Analysis

Parma have been one of the worst home teams in Italy this season. The Crusaders have the third-worst home record in Serie A at 4-5-7, and they have been slightly better on the road than they have been at home. They are currently 14th in the table and their 35 points is six above the drop. However, Parma have not been playing well in recent weeks and have not recorded a win in five straight matches coming into Saturday.

AC Milan secured a huge win over Lazio last Saturday. The game was relatively even and level most of the way, but a Franck Kessie penalty kick in the 79th minute proved to be decisive in a 1-0 win for AC Milan. The victory stopped a streak of four straight matches without a win, and it kept Milan ahead of both Roma and Atalanta.

These teams met at the San Siro in early December, and AC Milan grabbed a 2-1 win. Parma got on the board first with a Roberto Inglese header off a corner kick shortly after halftime, but a Patrick Cutrone goal set up by a deflection and a VAR-assisted Kessie penalty helped spur Milan to a comeback victory.

Injury Report

Alberto Grassi is a long-term injury for Parma after suffering an ACL tear in early December. Roberto Inglese, Bruno Alves, Luca Siligardi, and Jonathan Biabiany are all questionable to play on Saturday, but at least the club finally has Francisco Sierralta healthy and in good form.

Giacomo Bonaventura and Lucas Paqueta are long-term injuries on the side of AC Milan. Gianluigi Donnarumma, Suso, Alessio Romagnoli, and Davide Calabria are all questionable to play.

Player to Watch

Krzysztof Piatek has had a breakout season. The Polish forward made his Serie A debut with Genoa this season, but after 13 goals in 19 matches with the club, AC Milan came calling and shelled out big money for his services. Piatek has maintained his scoring prowess with eight goals in 12 matches for Milan, and he has made their stagnant offense more potent. His finishing has been clinical, and his teammates have been effusive in their praise of the young forward.

Serie A Prop Bet – AC Milan Clean Sheet Yes +117

Milan are defending well, and I think they can shut out a Parma team that has had a hard time scoring goals. Parma’s 13 goals in 16 home matches are tied for the fewest of any team in Serie A, and Milan a can take advantage.

Free Soccer Betting Pick

The under is a sharp play considering this is an AC Milan match, and I like the visitors to get the win they need to stay ahead of the pack.

Italian Serie A Odds: AC Milan 1, Parma 0

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