For the sixth time, the United States and Mexico will meet in the Gold Cup Final. The two heavyweights of the CONCACAF region were the two heavy favorites to win the tournament before the first game started, so it’s only fitting they meet in the final. Mexico have knocked off the US in four of their five previous meetings in the Gold Cup Final, but the USMNT are defending champions and have the advantage as hosts.
Don't miss the Gold Cup Final from Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 7, 2019. Catch every moment of the match live on FS1.
2019 Gold Cup Betting Odds at BookMaker.eu
United States +225
Mexico +115
Draw +220
Over/Under 2.5
Odds Analysis
Mexico looked unstoppable in the Group Stage. They crushed Cuba and Canada in their first two matches, and they knocked off Martinique to finish up without a loss. However, they have struggled mightily in the knockout rounds.
Some offensive drop-off was bound to happen after Mexico started the season with seven straight matches with three or more goals, but this attack has fallen off a cliff in the final third. El Tri held the lion’s share of possession against both Costa Rica and Haiti and fired off over 20 shots in both games, but they didn’t put many of those attempts on goal. That led to Mexico needing penalties to get past Costa Rica and added time (and a questionable penalty) to upend Haiti.
It’s been largely the same story for the United States. The USMNT didn’t have much trouble dispatching of Guyana or Trinidad and Tobago, but Panama were able to defend well and nearly earned a result from the Stars and Stripes in the Group Stage.
The United States were heavy favorites against Curacao in the Quarterfinals, but they failed to finish chances and ended up only just holding on to a 1-0 win. They did look better against Jamaica in a rain-delayed semifinal, earning a 3-1 win with a brace from Christian Pulisic and a goal from Weston McKennie.
Mexico Player to Watch
Raul Jimenez has had an excellent tournament. Jimenez has showed why he is the key to Wolverhampton’s offense in the Premier League, and he is constantly grinding to get the ball in good position for both himself and his teammates. He has tallied both of Mexico’s goals in the knockout rounds, and Jimenez was the only forward that could get on track against Haiti.
United States Player to Watch
This is Christian Pulisic’s team now. Pulisic has had two straight superb performances, and the American wunderkind might be starting to put it all together. He failed to register a goal against Curacao, but his impact was felt, and he made amends with regards to the goal scoring against Jamaica. Pulisic is the most talented player on the roster and will need to create chances with the forwards up top struggling.
Free Soccer Betting Pick
Although they continue to win games, the USMNT haven’t been very impressive given their competition, and they have largely relied on Weston McKennie and Pulisic to get the job done. We haven’t seen good play from Michael Bradley or the center backs, and the forwards continue to be switched around in the hopes of finding a spark.
That’s why I’ll go with El Tri here. Jimenez has looked very sharp, and I prefer Tata Martino’s tactics to those of Gregg Berhalter. Martino will be back on the sidelines after a yellow card suspension put him up in the box against Haiti, and his fiery nature will help spark a win for Mexico.
2019 Gold Cup Odds: Mexico 3, United States 1
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