John Lineker is slightly favored against Cory Sandhagen at UFC on ESPN 3 on Saturday, April 27 in Sunrise, Florida. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Lineker is 31-8 in his career, while Sandhagen is 10-1 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC on ESPN 3, with the headliner a bout between Ronaldo Souza and Jack Hermansson. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and three on ESPN2. Let’s look at the bout between Lineker and Sandhagen and UFC picks.
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John Lineker (31-8, 12-3 UFC)
Lineker came into the UFC with a record of 19-5 and he has 12 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has four wins and one loss. He defeated Michael McDonald by KO, John Dodson by split decision, Marlon Vera by unanimous decision, and Brian Kelleher by KO; while losing to T.J. Dillashaw by unanimous decision. Lineker has been a pro since 2008 and he has 14 wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Cory Sandhagen (10-1, 3-0 UFC)
Sandhagen came into the UFC with a record of 7-1 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Austin Arnett by TKO, Iuri Alcântara by TKO, and Mario Bautista by submission. Sandhagen’s only loss in his career was against Jamall Emmers by unanimous decision on February 24, 2017. Sandhagen has been a pro since 2015 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Lineker 5.22 / Sandhagen 8.89
Striking Accuracy: Lineker 40% / Sandhagen 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Lineker 3.95/ Sandhagen 2.73
Defense: Lineker 56% / Sandhagen 65%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Lineker 0.52/ Sandhagen 1.64
Takedown Accuracy: Lineker 60% / Sandhagen 66%
Takedowns defended: Lineker 69% / Sandhagen 0%
Submission average: Lineker 0.6 / Sandhagen 1.6
UFC Picks
Lineker is an experienced fighter, but he has not fought in almost a year and there are legitimate concerns about his fitness and readiness for this fight. Lineker definitely has more experience, but if you look at the odds you’ll notice that Lineker is just slightly favored. Sandhagen only fought three times in the UFC but he has looked good in his three fights with three finishes. The odds definitely tell a story to me, as oddsmakers are giving Sandhagen a lot of respect. I think there are questions about Lineker and that Sandhagen is the way to go in this fight. Both fighters are known for finishes, so I will also take the fight to go under the rounds total.
UFC on ESPN 3 takes place at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida on Saturday, April 27 with six fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Ronaldo Souza and Jack Hermansson and seven preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and three on ESPN2.
Main Card (ESPN+)
Middleweight - Ronaldo Souza -190 vs. Jack Hermansson
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy -300 vs. Dmitrii Smoliakov
Welterweight - Alex Oliveira -185 vs. Mike Perry
Light Heavyweight - Glover Teixeira -120 vs. Ion Cu?elaba
Bantamweight - John Lineker -136 vs. Cory Sandhagen
Lightweight - Roosevelt Roberts -390 vs. Thomas Gifford
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Welterweight - Takashi Sato -220 vs. Ben Saunders
Heavyweight - Augusto Sakai -145 vs. Andrei Arlovski
Women's Strawweight - Carla Esparza -120 vs. Virna Jandiroba
Lightweight - Gilbert Burns -250 vs. Mike Davis
Early Preliminary card (ESPN2)
Lightweight - Jim Miller -150 vs. Jason Gonzalez
Women's Strawweight - Angela Hill -325 vs. Jodie Esquibel
Welterweight - Court McGee -170 vs. Dhiego Lima
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