UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh (also known as UFC Fight Night 268) is an upcoming event happening this Saturday, February 28, 2026, at Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico.
The main event is a flyweight bout featuring former two-time UFC Flyweight Champion Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) and Lone'er Kavanagh (9-1-0). Originally, Moreno was set to face Asu Almabayev, but Almabayev withdrew due to injury, and Kavanagh stepped in on short notice. This is a solid homecoming matchup for Moreno in Mexico.
The Saturday card emphasizes Mexican fighters, so expect crowd energy to play a factor. Moreno remains the clear headliner pick across sportsbooks due to his experience and ranking edge over the debuting/short-notice Kavanagh.
Moreno is returning home after a TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira in December 2025 (he'd won his previous two over Amir Albazi and Steve Erceg). Originally set to face Asu Almabayev (who pulled out due to injury), Moreno now gets short-notice replacement Kavanagh.
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Betting at Bookmaker
Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico, is the venue for UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanaugh on Saturday, February 28, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET with coverage on Paramount+.
Fight night is a rebound opportunity for Moreno in his home country. The Main Card offers solid veteran vs. prospect matchups and plenty of fireworks in the lower weights. It's not a pay-per-view stacked with titles, but it's a fun, competitive Fight Night with ranking implications—especially in flyweight. Moreno is the big draw and heavy favorite across books.
Fight Night Main Card Odds
Main Event - Flyweight (5 rounds)
Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh
Moreno: -225 vs. Kavanagh: +185
Bantamweight
Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez
Vera -280 vs. Martinez: +220
Lightweight
Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green
Green -218 vs. Zellhuber +180
Flyweight
Edgar Chairez vs. Felipe Bunes
Chairez -250 vs. Bunes +190
Flyweight
Imanol Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas
Rodriguez -430 vs. Borjas +300
Bantamweight
Santiago Luna vs. Angel Pacheco
Luna -480 vs. Pacheco +330
Moreno vs. Kavanaugh Matchup Analysis
This is a classic veteran-versus-rising-prospect clash, with the added twist of short notice, home-crowd energy for Moreno, and high-altitude challenges in Mexico City, which can sap cardio and favor fighters adapted to or resilient to it.
Brandon Moreno
Moreno is 23-9-2, and the #6-ranked flyweight (former two-time UFC Flyweight Champion). He is well-rounded and elite, excellent in boxing with volume, sharp counters, strong wrestling entries, and high-level BJJ (black belt). Known for relentless pressure, durability, and 5-round cardio.
Moreno is rebounding from a TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira (Dec 2025 at UFC 323). Before that, back-to-back wins over Amir Albazi and Steve Erceg showed his championship-level game. He's 11-6-2 in the UFC with massive experience against top competition (multiple title fights vs. Figueiredo, Pantoja, etc.)
Moreno is proven in wars, has a great chin, mixes striking/grappling seamlessly, and excels in prolonged fights. Home advantage + passionate Mexican crowd could boost his output.
Lone'er Kavanagh
Lone’er Kavanaugh is 9-1-0, #15-ranked, and an England-based prospect.
Kavanaugh has an explosive kickboxer base. He adds powerful striking, good speed, technical tools, and finishing ability (4 KOs in wins)—solid takedown defense and composure under pressure.
Kavanaugh is 2-1 in UFC with wins via decision over lesser-ranked foes, but suffered first pro loss via KO/TKO to Charles Johnson (Aug 2025). Now he is a short-notice step-up after being pulled from a different booking.
Kavanaugh has limited experience against top-10 elites, while fatigue issues have shown in the past (led to a KO loss), unproven in 5-rounders or at high altitude. Also, short prep time makes adjustments harder.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Best Bets
Moreno's elite experience, well-rounded game (striking + grappling), and 5-round familiarity make him the consensus favorite. Kavanagh brings momentum from his UFC wins but is coming off a KO loss to Charles Johnson and faces a big step-up. Expect a technical flyweight war—Moreno likely controls the pace, but Kavanagh's explosiveness could create chaos. Altitude might favor the local Moreno.
Main Picks: Brandon Moreno
Fighter Prop: Moreno by Decision
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