Movsar Evloev is heavily favored against Nate Landwehr at UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori on Saturday, December 5 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+. Landwehr is 14-3 in his career, while Evloev is 13-0 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori, with the headliner a bout between Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN2/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Landwehr and Evloev and UFC picks.
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Nate Landwehr (14-3, 1-1 UFC)
Landwehr came into the UFC with a record of 13-2 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Darren Elkins by unanimous decision; while losing to Herbert Burns by KO. Landwehr has been a pro since 2012 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO. He has two first round finishes.
Movsar Evloev (13-0, 3-0 UFC)
Evloev came into the UFC with a record of 10-0 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Seung Woo Choi by unanimous decision, Enrique Barzola by unanimous decision, and Mike Grundy by unanimous decision. Evloev has been a pro since 2014 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has two first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Landwehr 6.89/ Evloev 4.44
Striking Accuracy: Landwehr 50% / Evloev 43%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Landwehr 7.22/ Evloev 2.76
Defense: Landwehr 52% / Evloev 65%
Takedown average: Landwehr 0.00/ Evloev 3.00
Takedown Accuracy: Landwehr 0% / Evloev 33%
Takedowns defended: Landwehr 85% / Evloev 68%
Submission average: Landwehr 0.0/ Evloev 0.0
Evloev is heavily favored in this fight at more than a 6-1 price and he is unbeaten in his career. Evloev has all the looks of a future title contender and there is no reason to think he is going to struggle in this fight. Landwehr has only fought twice in the UFC with a win and a loss. One thing we do know about Landwehr is that he is not afraid of anyone. He is going to go right at Evloev and look to trade shot after shot. When you are a huge underdog that is not a bad strategy, as landing a big shot is really the only chance Landwehr has to win this fight. Evloev is definitely the more talented fighter, but I am not laying 6-1 on anyone. The rounds option on this fight is listed at 2.5 and surprisingly, the over is a big favorite. I think there is value on the under in this fight, as I think a knockout is a strong possibility. I will go under 2.5 rounds at +165 in this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori Card & Odds
Middleweight - Jack Hermansson +121 vs. Marvin Vettori -146
Heavyweight - Jake Collier +165 vs. Gian Villante -201
Women’s Strawweight - Montana De La Rosa +184 vs. Talia Santos -225
Bantamweight - Cody Durden +138 vs. Jimmy Flick -166
Light Heavyweight - John Allan Arte +165 vs. Roman Dolidze -201
Featherweight - Damon Jackson +210 vs. Ilia Topuria -259
Light Heavyweight - Ovince St. Preux +138 vs. Jamahal Hill -166
Featherweight - Nate Landwehr +480 vs. Movsar Evloev -678
Bantamweight - Jose Quinonez +123 vs. Louis Smolka -147
Featherweight - Justin Jaynes +177 vs. Gabriel Benitez -215
Lightweight - Matt Wiman +303 vs. Jordan Leavitt -390
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