Shavkat Rakhmonov is heavily favored against Michel Prazeres at UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov on Saturday, June 26 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Prazeres is 26-3 in his career, while Rakhmonov is 13-0 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov, with the headliner a bout between Ciryl Gane and Alexander Volkov. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Prazeres and Rakhmonov and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov Betting
Michel Prazeres (26-3, 10-3 UFC)
Prazeres came into the UFC with a record of 16-0 and he has 10 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Mads Burnell by north-south choke submission, Desmond Green by unanimous decision, Zak Cummings by split decision, and Bartosz Fabinski by guillotine choke submission; while losing to Ismail Naurdiev by unanimous decision. Prazeres has been a pro since 2000 and he has one win by TKO and 11 by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Shavkat Rakhmonov (13-0, 1-0 UFC)
Rakhmonov came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has one win and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Alex Oliveira by guillotine choke submission on October 24, 2020. Rakhmonov has been a pro since 2014 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Prazeres 2.44/ Rakhmonov 2.79
Striking Accuracy: Prazeres 47% / Rakhmonov 52%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Prazeres 2.49/ Rakhmonov 1.93
Defense: Prazeres 58% / Rakhmonov 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Prazeres 4.11/ Rakhmonov 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Prazeres 36% / Rakhmonov 0%
Takedowns defended: Prazeres 50% / Rakhmonov 100%
Submission average: Prazeres 0.6/ Rakhmonov 3.2
UFC Picks
Prazeres hasn’t fought in over two years, and you have to go back even farther to find his last good win. There is no real reason to think that Prazeres is going to come into this fight and defeat a very talented fighter like Rakhmonov. The problem I have in this fight is the price, as I don’t like laying more than 2-1 and if you take Rakhmonov that will be the case. I expect that he will get this win, but the price is a bit too high for me. It is worth noting that none of the previous 13 Rakhmonov fights have gone the distance and only once has he seen the third round. There is no reason to think Prazeres is ready to go three rounds, so I will simply take this fight under the rounds total.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov Card & Odds
Heavyweight - Alexander Volkov +139 vs. Ciryl Gane -175
Welterweight - Michel Prazeres +211 vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov -275
Featherweight - Justin Jaynes +139 vs. Charles Rosa -175
Bantamweight - Timur Valiev +176 vs. Raoni Barcelos -225
Light Heavyweight - Isaac Villanueva +146 vs. Marcin Prachnio -185
Lightweight - Jai Herbert +197 vs. Renato Moicano -255
Lightweight - Damir Hadžovic -145 vs. Yancy Medeiros +115
Light Heavyweight - Kennedy Nzechukwu -135 vs. Danilo Marques +105
Women's Bantamweight - Julija Stoliarenko +270 vs. Julia Avila -365
Featherweight - Daniel Pineda +180 vs. Andre Fili -231
Welterweight - Tim Means -150 vs. Nicolas Dalby +120
Light Heavyweight - Ovince St. Preux +136 vs. Tanner Boser -171
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