Mackenzie Dern is favored against Randa Markos at UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Covington on Saturday, September 19 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Dern is 8-1 in her career, while Markos is 10-8-1 in her career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley, with the headliner a bout between Colby Covington and Tyron Woodley. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Dern and Markos and UFC picks.
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Mackenzie Dern (8-1, 3-1 UFC)
Dern came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has three wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Ashley Yoder by split decision, Amanda Cooper by rear-naked choke submission, and Hannah Cifers by kneebar submission; while losing to Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision. Dern has been a pro since 2016 and she has five wins by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Randa Markos (10-8-1, 6-7-1 UFC)
Markos came into the UFC with a record of 4-1 and she has six wins, seven losses, and one draw in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has two wins, three losses, and one draw. She defeated Angela Hill by armbar submission and Ashley Yoder by split decision; while losing to Nina Ansaroff by unanimous decision, Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision, and Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision; and fighting to a draw against Marina Rodriguez by majority. Markos has been a pro since 2012 and she has four wins by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Markos said this to ufc.com about her upcoming fight against Dern, “Having Mackenzie Dern as my opponent, I think it’s great because it’s a step forward, a step up in the rankings, and it’s a really good matchup. She lost to the same person I lost to, Amanda Ribas, and we both beat the same person, Ashley Yoder, so this will show which of us is better and who deserves (to move forward) more. I don’t look at it as, ‘Oh man, I’m fighting Mackenzie Dern.’ She’s fighting me! I’ve been doing this for a long time. Yeah, she’s got a big name behind her and a huge following, but that doesn’t mean anything; that doesn’t mean much when it comes to skills and techniques. She does have great jiu-jitsu and I’m not going to overlook that because she’s been doing that stuff for a long time, but it’s going to be a great fight and great competition for me.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Dern 3.14/ Markos 2.96
Striking Accuracy: Dern 32% / Markos 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dern 3.97/ Markos 3.31
Defense: Dern 65% / Markos 60%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Dern 0.43/ Markos 1.35
Takedown Accuracy: Dern 7% / Markos 28%
Takedowns defended: Dern 0% / Markos 58%
Submission average: Dern 1.3/ Markos 0.2
UFC Picks
Markos has struggled in the UFC lately, winning two of her last six fights and most people are picking Dern in this fight. I am a little leery, as the odds worry me a bit. I expected to see Dern listed as more than a 2-1 favorite and yet she is not. I see a big red flashing danger sign on this fight so I am going to pass on a side. Neither of these two has a lot of power, so unless there is a submission, this fight should go the distance. I will go over the rounds total in this bout.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley Card & Odds
Welterweight: Tyron Woodley +283 vs. Colby Covington -361
Welterweight: Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone +131 vs. Niko Price -158
Light Heavyweight: Ryan Spann +103 vs. Johnny Walker -127
Women’s Strawweight: Randa Markos +131 vs. Mackenzie Dern -158
Middleweight: Darren Stewart +210 vs. Kevin Holland -259
Women’s Flyweight: Mara Romero Borella +200 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva -245
Flyweight: Jordan Espinosa -112 vs. David Dvorak -112
Bantamweight: Randy Costa +118 vs. Journey Neson -142
Bantamweight: Irwin Rivera +170 vs. Andre Ewell -206
Bantamweight: Sarah Alpar +181 vs. Jessy-Rose Clark -220
Featherweight: Darrick Minner +221 vs. TJ Laramie -274
Flyweight: Jerome Rivera +136 vs. Tyson Nam -165
Middleweight: Gerald Meerschaert +350 vs. Khamzat Chimaev -463
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