Mateusz Gamrot is favored against Jeremy Stephens at UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises on Saturday, July 17 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+. Stephens is 28-18 in his career, while Gamrot is 18-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ of UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Stephens and Gamrot and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, July 17 with five fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ and seven preliminary bouts also on ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises Betting
Jeremy Stephens (28-18, 15-17 UFC)
Stephens came into the UFC with a record of 12-1 and he has 15 wins and 17 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has two wins and four losses. He defeated Doo Ho Choi by TKO and Josh Emmett by KO; while losing to José Aldo by TKO, Zabit Magomedsharipov by unanimous decision, Yair Rodríguez by unanimous decision, and Calvin Kattar by KO. Stephens has been a pro since 2005 and he has 19 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has 13 first round finishes. Stephens said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Gamrot, “You are always on the line when you sign with the UFC, bro. I love when I am on the line.
Because every time you ever see my ass really on the line, I’ve had the most beautiful performances like the Dennis Bermudez (fight), the highlights. … You know when you sign that dotted line, you can get knocked out. You can get your arm broken. You can get cut from the UFC. You are always on the line. That’s why this game is around. That’s why I’m still around because I’m able to accept that darkness that ugly side, and smile and show people that doesn’t have to be the outcome. I’m going to prove you wrong and I’m going to do it very nasty-like with a highlight reel KO with a shin upside your head, a knee upside your head, and an uppercut from hell. Then, boom, everybody’s talking about, ‘Oh man. He’s back in the mix, back in the mix.’ That’s where I’m at home by myself playing Linkin Park just jumping around my house. I’m just visualizing the win. I’ve already won. I’ve already felt it and I just can’t wait to go in there and get that win because it just gives me goose bumps just talking about it so I know what’s going to happen. … You’re going to see something nasty and you’re going to jump up off your couch and be like that he was going to do it and he did it.”
Mateusz Gamrot (18-1, 1-1 UFC)
Gamrot came into the UFC with a record of 17-0 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Scott Holtzman by KO on April 10, 2021; while losing to Guram Kutateladze by split decision on October 17, 2020. Gamrot has been a pro since 2012 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has two first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Stephens 3.18 / Gamrot 4.26
Striking Accuracy: Stephens 40% / Gamrot 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Stephens 3.06 / Gamrot 2.20
Defense: Stephens 58% / Gamrot 64%
Takedown average: Stephens 1.16 / Gamrot 4.91
Takedown Accuracy: Stephens 38% / Gamrot 33%
Takedowns defended: Stephens 65% / Gamrot 100%
Submission average: Stephens 0.4 / Gamrot 0.0
I really don’t understand why Gamrot is more than a 2-1 favorite in this fight. I know that Stephens has struggled lately, but Stephens has said he is now sober and really focused on fighting. What has Gamrot done? He is 1-1 in the UFC and hasn’t been impressive. I don’t take a lot of underdogs, but I think Stephens has a real chance to win and we get nearly 2-1.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises Card & Odds
Lightweight - Thiago Moises +456 vs. Islam Makhachev -700
Women's Bantamweight - Miesha Tate -147 vs. Marion Reneau +117
Middleweight - Dustin Stoltzfus +172 vs. Rodolfo Vieira -220
Lightweight - Jeremy Stephens +175 vs. Mateusz Gamrot -225
Bantamweight - Sergey Morozov +127 vs. Khalid Taha -160
Flyweight - Malcolm Gordon +228 vs. Francisco Figueiredo -300
Bantamweight - Anderson dos Santos +143 vs. Miles Johns -180
Women's Strawweight - Montserrat Ruiz +365 vs. Amanda Lemos -525
Heavyweight - Alan Baudot +261 vs. Rodrigo Nascimento -350
Featherweight - Gabriel Benítez -180 vs. Billy Quarantillo +143
Welterweight - Preston Parsons +207 vs. Daniel Rodriguez -270
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