Sergey Pavlovich is favored against Marcelo Golm at UFC Fight Night 149 on Saturday, April 20 in Saint Petersburg, Russia. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Pavlovich is 12-1 in his career, while Golm is 6-2 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 149, with the headliner a bout between Alistair Overeem and Alexey Oleinik. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Pavlovich and Golm and UFC predictions.
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Sergey Pavlovich (12-1, 0-1 UFC)
Pavlovich came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost to Alistair Overeem by TKO on November 24, 2018. Pavlovich’s last win in his career was against Kirill Sidelnikov by TKO on November 19, 2017. Pavlovich has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO. He has nine first round finishes.
Marcelo Golm (6-2, 1-2 UFC)
Golm came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has one win and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Christian Colombo by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Timothy Johnson by unanimous decision and Arjan Singh Bhullar by unanimous decision. Golm has been a pro since 2015 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Pavlovich 2.99/ Golm 4.26
Accuracy: Pavlovich 50% / Golm 60%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pavlovich 5.06/ Golm 3.92
Defense: Pavlovich 15% / Golm 47%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Pavlovich 0.00/ Golm 0.47
Accuracy: Pavlovich 0% / Golm 50%
Takedowns defended: Pavlovich 50% / Golm 87%
Submission average: Pavlovich 0.0/ Golm 0.5
UFC Predictions
The odds have Pavlovich as a solid favorite in this fight which is really surprising considering he has fought just once in the UFC. The problem if you like the underdog in this fight is that Golm has not done much to inspire any confidence. If I had to say how Pavlovich would win this fight it would be by knockout and probably quickly, as he has 9 first round finishes in his career. If you want to simply make a price play and take Golm it is not a bad shot, as there is no way that Pavlovich should be a 3-1 favorite, but I think the best choice is the rounds total. We know that Pavlovich has a lot of power and Golm probably won’t be afraid to trade shots with him. Perhaps Golm gets a big shot in and finds a way to win, but I think the safer option is to simply bet the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night 149 takes place at Yubileyny Sports Palace in Saint Petersburg, Russia on Saturday, April 20, with six fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Alistair Overeem vs. Alexey Oleinik and six preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
Main Card (ESPN+)
Heavyweight - Alistair Overeem -250 vs. Alexey Oleinik
Lightweight - Islam Makhachev -475 vs. Arman Tsarukyan
Heavyweight - Sergei Pavlovich -300 vs. Marcelo Golm
Light Heavyweight - Ivan Shtyrkov -180 vs. Devin Clark
Women's Flyweight - Antonina Shevchenko -350 vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Middleweight - Krzysztof Jotko -185 vs. Alen Amedovski
Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Bantamweight - Movsar Evloev -280 vs. Seung Woo Choi
Welterweight - Keita Nakamura -125 vs. Sultan Aliev
Lightweight - Alexander Yakovlev -155 vs. Alex da Silva
Heavyweight - Marcin Tybura -170 vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov
Light Heavyweight - Michal Oleksiejczuk -215 vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Lightweight - Magomed Mustafaev -180 vs. Rafael Fiziev
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