John Makdessi is a big favorite against Jesus Pinedo at UFC Fight Night 148 on Saturday, March 23 in Nashville, Tennessee. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Makdessi is 16-6 in his career, while Pinedo is 16-4-1 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 148, with the headliner a bout between Stephen Thompson and Anthony Pettis. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Makdessi and Pinedo and UFC picks.
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John Makdessi (16-6, 9-6 UFC)
Makdessi came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and he has nine wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. He defeated Mehdi Baghdad by split decision, Abel Trujillo by unanimous decision and Ross Pearson by unanimous decision; while losing to Yancy Medeiros by split decision and Lando Vannata by KO. Makdessi has been a pro since 2008 and has nine wins by TKO/KO. He has five first round finishes.
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Jesus Pinedo (16-4-1, 1-0 UFC)Pinedo came into the UFC with a record of 15-4-1 and he has one win and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Devin Powell by unanimous decision on November 17, 2018. Pinedo’s last loss was against Alonso Santos Verona Ganoza by KO on December 16, 2015. Pinedo’s only draw in his career was against Jose Zarauz by majority on September 6, 2014. Pinedo has been a pro since 2013 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Makdessi 5.49/ Pinedo 4.00
Accuracy: Makdessi 50% / Pinedo 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Makdessi 3.89/ Pinedo 3.87
Defense: Makdessi 71% / Pinedo 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Makdessi 0.00/ Pinedo 5.00
Accuracy: Makdessi 0% / Pinedo 100%
Takedowns defended: Makdessi 87% / Pinedo 100%
Submission average: Makdessi 0.0/ Pinedo 0.0
UFC Picks
Makdessi is a big favorite of -300 which may be too high. Even though Pinedo has only fought once in the UFC, he will not be any easy fighter to take down for Makdessi. The biggest weakness that Makdessi has is his takedown average and accuracy which are at zero while Pinedo is excellent with his takedowns. The problem with backing Pinedo is that he simply doesn’t have much UFC experience, and he is taking this fight on short notice. I think that if the fight is forced to the mat, Makdessi will lose his seventh UFC fight. That is definitely a possibility and at this price that is really all we need is a shot. I will take the big price and go with Pinedo and also play the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night 148 takes place at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee on Saturday, March 23, with six fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Stephen Thompson vs. Anthony Pettis and six preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
Main Card (ESPN+)
Welterweight - Stephen Thompson -400 vs. Anthony Pettis
Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes -283 vs. Justin Willis
Lightweight - John Makdessi -300 vs. Jesus Pinedo
Flyweight - Deiveson Figueiredo -170 vs. Jussier Formiga
Featherweight Luis Peña -295 vs. Steven Peterson
Women's Flyweight - Maycee Barber -235 vs. JJ Aldrich
Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Featherweight - Bobby Moffett -190 vs. Bryce Mitchell
Bantamweight - Marlon Vera -165 vs. Frankie Saenz
Women's Flyweight - Alexis Davis -170 vs. Jennifer Maia
Women's Strawweight - Angela Hill -158 vs. Randa Markos
Bantamweight - Chris Gutierrez -155 vs. Ryan MacDonald
Flyweight - Eric Shelton -195vs. Jordan Espinosa
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