UFC Fight Night 146 Picks - Yana Kunitskaya vs. Marion Reneau

UFC Fight Night 146 Picks

Yana Kunitskaya is favored against Marion Reneau at UFC Fight Night 146 on Saturday, March 9 in Wichita, Kansas. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Kunitskaya s is 11-4 in her career, while Reneau is 9-4-1 in her career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ with the headliner a bout between Derrick Lewis and Junior dos Santos. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Kunitskaya and Reneau and UFC picks.

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Yana Kunitskaya (11-4, 1-1 UFC)

Kunitskaya came into the UFC with a record of 10-3 and she has one win and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Lina Länsberg by unanimous decision; while losing to Cris Cyborg by TKO. Kunitskaya has been a pro since 2009 and has seven wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has seven first round finishes.

Marion Reneau (9-4-1, 5-3-1 UFC)

Reneau came into the UFC with a record of 4-1 and she has five wins, three losses, and one draw in the UFC. She defeated Alexis Dufresne by unanimous decision, Jéssica Andrade by submission, Milana Dudieva by TKO, Talita Bernardo by TKO, and Sara McMann by submission; while losing to Holly Holm by unanimous decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by split decision and Cat Zingano by unanimous decision. Reneau also fought to a draw against Bethe Correia by majority. Reneau has been a pro since 2010 and has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has four first round finishes.

Jim West, head coach of MMA Gold said this to fightful.com about Reneau’s upcoming fight this Saturday, “Marion’s very focused, very sharp right now. We just kind of finished up this past weekend, just kind of going over some of the plan…and getting our reps in with what we expect. She’s more than ready, Marion’s very mentally tough…very strong woman. She will be her best March 9.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Kunitskaya 4.18 / Reneau 3.41
Accuracy: Kunitskaya 63% / Reneau 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Kunitskaya 4.13/ Reneau 2.45
Defense: Kunitskaya 41% / Reneau 67%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Kunitskaya 4.89/ Reneau 0.26
Accuracy: Kunitskaya 50% / Reneau 100%
Takedowns defended: Kunitskaya 0% / Reneau 52%
Submission average: Kunitskaya 0.8/ Reneau 1.2

UFC Picks

Oddmakers have Kunitskaya listed as almost a 2-1 favorite in this fight. That is a little bit surprising considering she has fought just twice in the UFC. I don’t know how much credit we give her for a win over Lansberg. I think the oddsmakers might be underestimating Reneau in this one. She should have the advantage if this fight goes to the mat and she might be able to get a takedown against Kunitskaya. I think there is some value in taking Kunitskaya at the nice price.

UFC Fight Night 146 takes place Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas on Saturday, March 9, with six fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Derrick Lewis vs. Junior dos Santos and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN+.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Heavyweight - Junior dos Santos -235 vs. Derrick Lewis
Welterweight - Curtis Millender -125 vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Welterweight - Tim Means -210 vs. Niko Price
Heavyweight - Blagoy Ivanov -125 vs. Ben Rothwell
Lightweight - Beneil Dariush -185 vs. Drew Dober
Middleweight - Omari Akhmedov -145 vs. Tim Boetsch

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Welterweight - Anthony Rocco Martin -198 vs. Sérgio Moraes
Women's Bantamweight - Yana Kunitskaya -180 vs. Marion Reneau
Featherweight - Grant Dawson -185 vs. Julian Erosa
Heavyweight - Jeff Hughes -215 vs. Maurice Greene
Bantamweight - Matt Schnell -125 vs. Louis Smolka
Welterweight - Alex Morono -195 vs. Zak Ottow
Lightweight - Alex White -180 vs. Dan Moret

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