Tai Tuivasa is a slight favorite against Greg Hardy at UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 on Saturday, July 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the pay-per-view main card. Tuivasa is 11-3 in his career, while Hardy is 7-3 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card of UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass.Let’s look at the bout between Tuivasa and Hardy and UFC predictions.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Betting
Tai Tuivasa (11-3, 5-3 UFC)
Tuivasa came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last five fights he has two wins and three losses. He is coming off a knockout of Harry Hunsucker in March. Tuivasa knocked out Stefan Struve in October of last year, lost by submission to Sergey Spivak in October of 2019, lost by unanimous decision to Blagoy Ivanov in June of 2019 and lost by TKO to Junior dos Santos in December of 2018. Tuivasa has been a pro since 2012 and he has 10 knockout wins. He has 10 first round finishes.
Greg Hardy (7-3-1, 1-0 UFC)
Hardy came into the UFC with a record of 3-0 and he has four wins, three losses and one no contest in the UFC. He is coming off a TKO loss to Marcin Tybura in December of last year. Hardy won by TKO against Maurice Greene in October of last year, won a unanimous decision against Yorgan de Castro in May of last year, lost a unanimous decision to Alexander Volkov in November of 2019 and fought a no contest against Ben Sosoli in October of 2019. Hardy has been a pro since 2018 and he has six wins by TKO/KO. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Tuivasa 4.38 / Hardy 4.83
Striking Accuracy: Tuivasa 50% / Hardy 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Tuivasa 3.44 / Hardy 3.12
Defense: Tuivasa 50% / Hardy 56%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Tuivasa 0.00 / Hardy 0.21
Takedown Accuracy: Tuivasa 0% / Hardy 33%
Takedowns defended: Tuivasa 46% / Hardy 80%
Submission average: Tuivasa 0.0 / Hardy 0.0
UFC Picks
Is there any doubt as to how this fight is going to end? We may not know who is going to win, but we know that Tuivasa and Hardy are going to go right at each other, throw big punches and one of them is going to fall. They have combined for 18 wins and 15 of those fights ended in the first round. The rounds have been set at 1.5 for this fight and I am really surprised the under is getting plus money. I don’t think this fight makes it out of the first round, so I will go under 1.5 rounds at +143.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Card & Odds
Lightweight - Dustin Poirier -142 vs. Conor McGregor +112
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns +131 vs. Stephen Thompson -165
Featherweight - Ryan Hall +190 vs. Ilia Topuria -245
Women’s Flyweight - Jessica Eye +146 vs. Jennifer Maia -185
Flyweight - Jerome Rivera +273 vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov -370
Middleweight - Brad Tavares -170 vs. Omari Akhmedov +135
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy +105 vs. Tai Tuivasa -135
Middleweight - Dricus du Plessis -120 vs. Trevin Giles -110
Women’s Bantamweight - Yana Kunitskaya -110 vs. Irene Aldana -120
Middleweight - Yaozong Hu +110 vs. Alen Amedovski -140
Welterweight - Niko Price +131 vs. Michel Pereira -165
Welterweight - Max Griffin -190 vs. Carlos Condit +150
Bantamweight - Kris Moutinho +524 vs. Sean O'Malley -850
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