Carlos Diego Ferriera is favored against Francisco Trinaldo at UFC 237 on Saturday, May 11 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Trinaldo is 23-6 in his career, while Diego Ferreira is 15-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 237, with the headliner a bout between Rose Namajunas and Jessica Andrade. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Trinaldo and Ferreira and UFC predictions.
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Francisco Trinaldo (23-6, 13-5 UFC)
Trinaldo came into the UFC with a record of 10-1 and he has 13 wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. He defeated Paul Felder by TKO, Jim Miller by unanimous decision, and Evan Dunham by TKO; while losing to Kevin Lee by submission and James Vick by unanimous decision. Trinaldo has been a pro since 2006 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Carlos Diego Ferreira (15-2, 6-2 UFC)
Ferreira came into the UFC with a record of 9-0 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Colton Smith by submission, Ramsey Nijem by TKO, Olivier Aubin-Mercier by unanimous decision, Jared Gordon by TKO, Kyle Nelson by TKO, and Rustam Khabilov by unanimous decision; while losing to Beneil Dariush by unanimous decision and Dustin Poirier by KO. Ferreira has been a pro since 2011 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Trinaldo 3.27 / Diego Ferreira 4.70
Accuracy: Trinaldo 45% / Diego Ferreira 37%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Trinaldo 2.47/ Diego Ferreira 3.03
Defense: Trinaldo 60% / Diego Ferreira 59%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Trinaldo 1.17/ Diego Ferreira 0.7 0
Accuracy: Trinaldo 45% / Diego Ferreira 23%
Takedowns defended: Trinaldo 63% /Diego Ferreira 67%
Submission average: Trinaldo 0.5 / Diego Ferreira 1.2
UFC Predictions
Trinaldo is the more physical fighter and he has really improved his ground game, but there is still no doubt that Ferreira is better on the mat. Trinaldo will look to keep this fight standing and turn it into a kickboxing match. The question is whether he can do that. Trinaldo has turned himself into a better conditioned fighter, but Ferreira will still look to turn this bout into a war of attrition. Ferreira has an excellent ground game and would have a big edge if this fight goes to the mat. Ferreira is going to push the pace and hope to avoid getting hit by a big shot. I think he can do that and that he will find a way to grind out the win, so I will lay the price with Ferreira.
UFC 237 takes place at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazilon Saturday, May 11, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Max Rose Namajunas vs. Jessica Andrade and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Women's Strawweight - Jessica Andrade -128 vs. Rose Namajunas
Middleweight - Jared Cannonier -160 vs. Anderson Silva
Featherweight - José Aldo -144 vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Welterweight - Thiago Alves -115 vs. Laureano Staropoli
Lightweight - Carlos Diego Ferreira -165 vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Light Heavyweight - Ryan Spann -145 vs. Antônio Rogério Nogueira
Lightweight - Thiago Moises -145 vs. Kurt Holobaugh
Women's Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -306 vs. Bethe Correia
Lightweight - Clay Guida -550 vs. B.J. Penn
Early Preliminary card (UFC Fight Pass)
Women's Flyweight - Luana Carolina -160 vs. Priscila Cachoeira
Welterweight - Warlley Alves -145 vs. Sérgio Moraes
Women's Bantamweight Talita Bernardo -460 vs. Melissa Gatto
Bantamweight - Raoni Barcelos -720 vs. Carlos Huachin
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