UFC 236 Predictions – Wilson Reis vs. Alexandre Pantoja

Wilson Reis vs. Alexandre Pantoja

Alexandre Pantoja is slightly favored against Wilons Reis at UFC 236 on Saturday, April 13 in Atlanta, Georgia. This event is one of four fights on the ESPN portion of the preliminary card. Reis is 23-9 in his career, while Pantoja is 20-3 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 236, with the headliner a bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Reis and Pantoja and UFC predictions.

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Wilson Reis (23-9, 7-5 UFC)

Reis came into the UFC with a record of 16-4 and he has seven wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses. He defeated Ulka Sasaki by unanimous decision and Ben Nguyen by unanimous decision; while losing to Demetrious Johnson by submission, Henry Cejudo by TKO, and John Moraga by unanimous decision. Reis has been a pro since 2007 and he has 10 wins by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Reis said this to mmajunkie.com about his upcoming fight against Pantoja, “I already knew he would be next. I’m very happy with this matchup. I know that Pantoja is very good. I think he’s a complete fighter, both on the feet and on the ground. It’s going to be a great fight. I will look for a knockout or submission, but my preference would be a submission. I plan to put him where we are both good – on the ground. I’ll show how much more skilled I am. I know that it’s going to be a challenging fight but I’ll be very well trained by my coaches. We will be ready.”

Alexandre Pantoja (20-3, 4-1 UFC)

Pantoja came into the UFC with a record of 16-2 and he has four wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Eric Shelton by split decision, Neil Seery by submission, Brandon Moreno by unanimous decision, and Ulka Sasaki by submission; while losing to Dustin Ortiz by unanimous decision. Pantoja has been a pro since 2007 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Reis 1.86 / Pantoja 4.31
Accuracy: Reis 29% / Pantoja 46%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Reis 2.95/ Pantoja 3.38
Defense: Reis 56% / Pantoja 59%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Reis 5.15/ Pantoja 0.75
Accuracy: Reis 43% / Pantoja 50%
Takedowns defended: Reis 47% / Pantoja 60%
Submission average: Reis 0.6 / Pantoja 1.8

UFC Predictions

Reis is a good fighter but he has been struggling lately in the UFC with only two wins in his last five fights, while Pantoja has only loss in the UFC. I feel that Reis is at a disadvantage when it comes to accuracy and defense, so I will take the favored Pantoja to get the win via submission and the for the rounds to go under the total.

UFC 236 takes place at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia on Saturday, April 13, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (Pay-Per-View)

Lightweight - Max Holloway -230 vs. Dustin Poirier
Middleweight - Israel Adesanya -170 vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Light Heavyweight - Eryk Anders -190 vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.
Welterweight - Alan Jouban -125 vs. Dwight Grant
Light Heavyweight - Nikita Krylov -122 vs. Ovince Saint Preux

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Lightweight - Jalin Turner -125 vs. Matt Frevola
Flyweight - Alexandre Pantoja -162 vs. Wilson Reis
Welterweight - Max Griffin -124 vs. Zelim Imadaev
Bantamweight - Boston Salmon -127 vs. Khalid Taha

Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Welterweight - Belal Muhammad -132 vs. Curtis Millender
Bantamweight - Montel Jackson -500 vs. Andre Soukhamthath
Women's Flyweight - Poliana Botelho -180 vs. Lauren Mueller
Bantamweight - Brandon Davis -168 vs. Randy Costa

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