UFC 230 Picks - Jason Knight vs. Jordan Rinaldi

UFC 230 Knight vs Rinaldi Odds

Jason Knight is favored over Jordan Rinaldi at UFC 230 on Saturday night in New York City, New York. This event is one of four fights on the FS1 portion of the preliminary card. Knight is 20-5 in his career, while Rinaldi is 13-6 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 230, with the headliner a bout between Daniel Cormier and Derrick Lewis. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1 and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Knight and Rinaldi and UFC picks.

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Jason Knight (20-5, 4-4 UFC)

Knight came into the UFC with a record of 16-1 and he has four wins and four losses in the UFC. He defeated Jim Alers by split decision, Dan Hooker by unanimous decision, Alex Caceres by submission, and Chas Skelly by TKO; while losing to Tatsuya Kawajiri by unanimous decision, Ricardo Lamas by TKO, Gabriel Benítez by unanimous decision, and Makwan Amirkhani by split decision. Knight has been a pro since 2009 and has three wins by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.

Knight said this to bjpenn.com about his upcoming fight against Rinaldi, “The one thing I see that I can exploit is that when you hit him hard, he doesn’t like to get hit and I promise you, I’m going to hit him hard. That’s a guarantee. Whether or not he takes it, we are going to see, but I’m going to hit him hard as hell, I promise you.”

Jordan Rinaldi (13-6, 1-2 UFC)

Rinaldi came into the UFC with a record of 12-4 and he has one win and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Álvaro Herrera by submission; while losing to Abel Trujillo by unanimous decision and Gregor Gillespie by TKO. Rinaldi has been a pro since 2010 and has one win by TKO and eight by submission. He has five first round finishes.

Rinaldi said this to mymmanews.com about his upcoming fight against Knight, “A quick night would be ideal but Jason is tough guy. He’s tough to put away, in the fights he has lost; I think he has only one or two stoppages. He’s a durable tough guy and he’s good everywhere, he’s solid everywhere, I expect a 15-minute war.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Knight 3.27 / Rinaldi 1.42

Accuracy: Knight 33% / Rinaldi 36%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Knight 3.27/ Rinaldi 3.26

Defense: Knight 51% / Rinaldi 50%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Knight 1.51/ Rinaldi 1.38

Accuracy: Knight 31% / Rinaldi 28%

Takedowns defended: Knight 50% / Rinaldi 20%

Submission average: Knight 2.0 / Rinaldi 1.4

UFC Picks

When Knight first started out in the UFC, he was a submission specialist but winning by submission didn’t come easy so he turned into a striker. He found out that striking worked well for a while, but that ended against Ricardo Lamas. That loss put Knight on a downhill slide and he really hasn’t recovered. Rinaldo should be the perfect opponent for Knight to get back on the winning track. I will take Knight in this fight and also look for the fight to go to a decision.

UFC 230 takes place at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York on Saturday night, November 3 with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Cormier vs. Lewis and eight preliminary bouts, with four on FS1 and four on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (Pay-Per-View)

Heavyweight - Daniel Cormier -635 vs. Derrick Lewis

Middleweight - Chris Weidman -195 vs. Ronaldo Souza

Middleweight - David Branch -375 vs. Jared Cannonier

Middleweight - Karl Roberson -285 vs.Jack Marshman

Middleweight - Israel Adesanya -283 vs. Derek Brunson

Preliminary Card (FS1)

Featherweight - Jason Knight -260 vs. Jordan Rinaldi

Women's Flyweight - Sijara Eubanks -550 vs. Roxanne Modafferi

Featherweight - Julio Arce -303 vs. Sheymon Moraes

Welterweight - Lyman Good -650 vs. Ben Saunders

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Lightweight - Lando Vannata -275 vs. Matt Frevola

Featherweight - Shane Burgos -325 vs. Kurt Holobaugh;

Bantamweight - Montel Jackson -135 vs. Brian Kelleher;

Heavyweight - Adam Wieczorek -225 vs. Marcos Rogério de Lima

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