The 2025 season has hit the stretch run to the NFL Playoffs.
Two teams on the bubble will meet in Kansas City on Sunday night.
Previously, the Houston Texans were the dominant team in the AFC South. However, the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars have reached Houston’s level.
Now the resurgent Texans face the possibility of missing the playoffs.
So, too, are the Kansas City Chiefs facing the end of their dynasty.
Thus, Sunday night’s showdown is between two teams with no margin for error. The loser will be facing a potentially fatal blow.
Anytime NBC Sunday Night Football has the Kansas City Chiefs on the marquee, that means ratings and significant betting traffic.
Especially in a matchup with NFL Playoff implications, the Texans and Chiefs will have gamblers lining up for action and live betting.
Get the latest NFL Week 14 news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss Sunday Night Football action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Odds at Bookmaker
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO, is the venue for the matchup between the Houston Texans and the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 7, 2025. Kickoff time is at 8:20 p.m. ET with television coverage on NBC.
Oddsmakers opened with Kansas City as a 3.5-point favorite and Houston as a 3.5-point dog.
Kansas City is a -198 moneyline favorite against Houston, which is a +166 moneyline dog.
Kansas City and Houston opened with a total of 42.5.
Houston Texans
Last game, the Houston Texans won 20-16 against the Indianapolis Colts as 3-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 44.
Houston is 7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 3-8-1 over/under the total.
Houston ranks 20th for total offense, 18th for passing, 24th for rushing, 22nd for scoring, and 7th for fewest turnovers committed.
Houston ranks 1st in total defense, 3rd vs. the pass, 4th vs. the rush, 1st in fewest points allowed, and 7th in takeaways.
Houston has covered two out of its most recent two games.
Houston went under the total in three of its last three matchups.
Kansas City Chiefs
In their last game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost 31-28 to the Dallas Cowboys as 3.5-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 53.
Kansas City is 6-6 straight up, 5-7 against the spread, and 4-8 over/under the total.
Overall, Kansas City ranks 3rd for total offense, 2nd for passing, 10th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 4th for fewest turnovers committed.
Kansas City ranks 17th for total defense, 19th vs. the pass, 14th vs. the rush, 5th for fewest points allowed, and 23rd for takeaways.
Kansas City failed to cover its most recent four games.
Kansas City went under the total in six of its last seven matchups.
Texans at Chiefs Betting Trends
Houston has been a weak betting value on the road as of late.
The Texans covered only one of their most recent five away games.
Houston went under the total in four of their last six road tilts.
Kansas City has played its best football and shown the most value at Arrowhead.
The Chiefs covered the spread in six of their most recent nine home games.
Kansas City went under the total in five of its last six games at Arrowhead.
In the series between the Texans and Chiefs, Kansas City covered three of the most recent five meetings.
Houston and Kansas City went over the total in six of their last seven meetings.
At Arrowhead, the Texans have not fared well against the Chiefs.
Kansas City covered the spread in three of its last four home games with the Texans.
Correlate that the Texans and Chiefs went over the total in four of their last five games at Arrowhead.
Texans at Chiefs Best Bets
The Houston Texans rely on one of the best defenses in the NFL to cover for a subpar offense.
The Chiefs have more offense than Houston and boast a comparable defense.
Despite their problems this season, the Chiefs have been at their best at home.
Kansas City has quality home wins over the Colts, Lions, and Ravens.
Finally, Houston is not the same team that it was in the previous two years.
Main Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: CJ Stroud Under the Passing Yards Total
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