Here’s hoping my Week 3 NFL parlay card isn’t torn into pieces and tossed in the garbage before the final gun sounds on the first game. I’ll just say it wasn’t a good last week and leave it at that, no need to rehash the ugly details. At least it’s early enough in the season for me to make a valiant comeback and the turnaround starts now. Now that we have a few games to assess teams we know more about them, unfortunately so do oddsmakers. The margin of error got smaller, but the thirst for cashing a winning ticket hasn’t.
One key to maximizing the payout on a winning parlay card is to pick one or more underdogs on the moneyline, and upsets happen every week in the NFL. In Week 2 for example we saw seven dogs win outright with two of them – Miami and Dallas – catching 7.5-points on the closing line. I can assure you the confidence level for the Cowboys was low after Dak Prescott was injured in the opener.
And the Boys’ win over Cincinnati emptied the Bengals bandwagon even more. Could Cincy be a reincarnation of the 2011 Jaguars? In case you forgot Jacksonville won five games a season after winning 10 games, the AFC South title and advancing to the conference championship game. And speaking of the Jags they actually looked like a NFL teams posting the most impressive win of any underdog last week throttling Indianapolis 24-0.
Let’s take a look at some favorites and underdogs on the Week 3 NFL betting board to see where we can potentially string some wins together to fatten our bankroll with a winning parlay card.
NFL Week 3 Betting Lines
Parlay Card Favorites
To increase the chances of producing a winning parlay card you should always back a few favorites. Including all favored teams on the ticket gives you a better a chance of winning, however, the payout isn’t nearly as hefty as what it would be if there were a few underdogs or spread picks sprinkled about. And like we saw last week nearly half the games had an underdog winner. The key is picking the right favorite and right dog on the betting board. That’s something I failed to do last week. So let’s start out with a few faves on the board.
I’m not convinced the Jags are ready to make a run even though they thoroughly outplayed Indianapolis last week. As bad as they’ve been over the past few years, the Jags have had the Colts’ number so I’ll leave it at that. The Chargers probably should have beaten Kansas City last week and a few extra days to get Justin Herbert right should be enough to cover the 7.5-point spread.
Another favorite I’m watching closely is the Bears at -2.5. It seems odd that they are laying points, but this club is different than what we’ve seen in the past. They aren’t ready to contend with Green Bay as they showed on Sunday night, but they should be able to dispose of the Texans. Justin Fields is looking to find consistency in his game and will benefit from a Houston defense that ranks average. And he needs to play a heck of a lot better than last week when attempted only 11 passes with 70 yards. The good news is the running game was active with Jordan Montgomery compiling 122 yards and Texans have yielded a bunch of real estate against the run.
Parlay Card Underdog Winners
Figuring out the underdog winners will help out our investment. Seven dogs won outright last week and while the spread is low at Denver +1 I’ll back the Broncos with Russell Wilson facing the San Francisco 49ers. Wilson had all kinds of success against the Niners during his tenure in Seattle winning 16 of his 20 regular season starts along with a triumph in the NFC Championship a few years back. The offense hasn’t lived up to the hype yet but It’s only a matter of time before Wilson gets things going.
We saw the Rams stumble down the stretch last week against Atlanta conceding 24 points after halftime. They had a big enough cushion to withstand the onslaught by the Falcons, but the defense has holes and you can expect Kyler Murray and Co. to expose them. After their Bert Wonderstone act last week, the Cards should be feeling much better and Murray could have a big afternoon against LA defenders who struggled to contain mobile QBs Josh Allen and Marcus Mariota. They’re getting 3 points but I’ll back the Cards straight up at +151 for my winning parlay ticket.
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