New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds Analysis

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds Analysis

The defending Super bowl champion New England Patriots have run roughshod upon each of their first eight opponents to become one of only two undefeated teams to this point of the season. The caliber of opposition faced hasn’t been the toughest, but that won’t be the case when they hit the road for M&T Bank Stadium where they’ll run with the upset minded Baltimore Ravens in the Week 9 edition of Sunday Night Football on NBC. John Harbaugh’s squad finds itself installed home underdogs per the current NFL odds at online sportsbooks for the first time since Week 4 of the 2017 season.

NFL Odds at

New England -3.5
Baltimore +3.5
Over/Under 45

New England vs. Baltimore Analysis

Linemakers installed the Patriots 5-point favorites with a game total of 46.5 on the lookahead lines for this week’s crucial AFC tilt between the Patriots and Ravens. Though New England enters the matchup undefeated with a 6-2 ATS record in tow, the betting markets flocked to the Ravens in droves ultimately forcing those booking the bets to reduce the offering. With that, the Pats now check in as 3.5-point favorites with a hefty 63 percent of the bet count and 82 percent of the money in favor of Baltimore plus the points. The total hit 44.5 at one point but is back up to 45 after opening 46.5. Surprising line movement when you consider a bulk of the handle expects points to hit the board in this Week 9 throw down.

New England Patriots Odds

The defending champs have made it look easy to this point of the season. However, it can be argued that Bill Belichick’s squad has played nobody. Seriously, the Buffalo Bills currently own the best record of their eight overall opponents; and they barely made it out of Buffalo alive in earning the 16-10 win and non-cover as touchdown road chalk. That however was the last game New England failed to cover, and it took place back in Week 4. Since then, they’ve outscored the Redskins, Giants, Jets and Browns by the aggregate score of 128-34 and went on to cover the closing NFL odds in each matchup with relative ease.

Baltimore Ravens Odds

The Ravens enter this tilt refreshed and reenergized coming off a bye. That should have NFL bettors very excited considering Baltimore has been nothing short of money in the bank when returning to the gridiron following an off week under John Harbaugh’s watch in going 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS. They won a third straight last season by taking down Cincinnati 24-21, but failed to cover the 6.5-point spread to see their two-game ATS win streak snapped under that scenario. Still, the Ravens will take the Patriots on having won three straight when coming off a bye and will be looking to build on their current three-game win streak after taking down the Seahawks in front of the 12th Man last time out.

Key Trends

New England checks in 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season winning those games by an average of 24.5 points per game. Keep in mind, they were matched up against the Dolphins, Bills, Redskins and Jets - teams that enter Week 9 a combined 7-22 SU and closed no less than touchdown underdogs in each. That said, the Patriots have excelled in the short road chalk role of late in going 3-0 SU and ATS the last three times dating all the way back to the 2014 season. Baltimore’s only been dogged at home 10 times going back to 2008. Its 3-7 SU and ATS in those matchups but two of the wins were tallied in the last three instances. All three games played to low scorers with an average of 35.7 points hitting the scoreboard.

Last Meeting

It’s crazy to think since they met seemingly every season be it in the regular season or playoffs for a number of years, but this will only be the first meeting between these franchises since hooking up in Foxboro back in Week 14 of the 2016 season. New England raced out to a commanding 16-0 lead in the game before allowing Baltimore to battle back and make it interesting in the second half. In the end, the Patriots went on to log the 30-23 win and cover as 6-point favorites with the 53 combined points surpassing the 45.5-point total. Tom Brady had a huge showing with 406 passing yards and a 3:1 TD/INT ratio with his favorite target being Julian Edelman who went on to snag seven of 15 targets and turn them into 73 scoreless yards. The win and cover moved NE to 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in the last three showdowns.

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