Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller and J.J. Watt helped lead the franchise to first place AFC South finishes in four of five seasons. Though the team never went on to do much in the playoffs, the foundation of the franchise was in place. Entering the 2021-22 NFL betting season, Watson is the only player of the quadrant that still remains on the roster. Whether he can partake in the upcoming campaign remains to be seen with the stud QB1 currently dealing with a number of off the field predicaments. With that, the Texans are expected to be one of the worst teams in the league according to online sportsbooks. Houston +3300 is pegged for a fourth place finish behind the Colts -108, Titans +106 and rebuilding Jaguars +1000. On top of that, its 4.5-game season win total odds are the lowest of all 32 teams. Yes, even lower than the defunct Detroit Lions! As it stands right now, Tyrod Taylor will be the offense’s shot caller heading into Week 1. Once he succumbs to injury like he always does, new head coach David Culley will be forced to go to either Jeff Driskel or Stanford rookie Davis Mills.
Is that good? New DC Lovie Smith has proven able to coach NFL defenses up in the past, but he’s not working with the talent he had when running the show in Chicago. Houston only won four games with better overall talent a season ago, and now it might be forced to go at its opposition without Watson’s services. Things certainly don’t look to be headed in the right direction for this franchise which means another losing campaign that fails to surpass the lowest win total on the board is likely ahead.
Houston Texans Season Win Total: 4.5 Under -146
The Texans grossly failed to surpass their 7.5-game season win total a year ago in going 4-12 SU and 6-10 ATS. That paired with the defections of key players and front office staffers forced the hand of linemakers to penalize the franchise with a laughable win total of 4.5. In doing so, the impost represents the second lowest in team history since making its debut back in 2002 when it went 4-12 to ultimately push against the closing number. Only the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted to own a tougher schedule strength than that of the Texans in 2021-22 with the AFC East, NFC West, Cleveland Browns, Carolina Panthers and Los Angeles Chargers on the docket. With that, it comes with little surprise to see heavy -146 vig currently attached to the low side of the impost.
NFL Regular Season Wins Odds at BookMaker
Houston Texans Football Schedule
Week 1: Jaguars at Texans, Sunday, September 12, 1 p.m. ET
Week 2: Texans at Browns, Sunday, September 19, 1 p.m. ET
Week 3: Panthers at Texans, Thursday, September 23, 8:20 p.m. ET
Week 4: Texans at Bills, Sunday, October 3, 1 p.m. ET
Week 5: Patriots at Texans, Sunday, October 10, 1 p.m. ET
Week 6: Texans at Colts, Sunday, October 17, 1 p.m. ET
Week 7: Texans at Cardinals, Sunday, October 24, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 8: Rams at Texans, Sunday, October 31, 1 p.m. ET
Week 9: Texans at Dolphins, Sunday, November 7, 1 p.m. ET
Week 10: Bye Week
Week 11: Texans at Titans, Sunday, November 21, 1 p.m. ET
Week 12: Jets at Texans, Thursday, November 28, 1 p.m. ET
Week 13: Colts at Texans, Sunday, December 5, 1 p.m. ET
Week 14: Seahawks at Texans, Sunday, December 12, 1 p.m. ET
Week 15: Texans at Jaguars, Sunday, December 19, 1 p.m. ET
Week 16: Chargers at Texans, Sunday, December 26, 1 p.m. ET
Week 17: Texans at 49ers, Sunday, January 2, 4:05 p.m. ET
Week 18: Titans at Texans, Sunday, January 9, 1 p.m. ET
Houston Texans Season Win Total Analysis
I was bearish on the Texans ability to surpass their laughable season win total last year and went on to comfortably cash that under ticket easily with the books handing out free money. While I had no issues about the offense whatsoever sans Hopkins, it was the defense that really had me bothered. Though Houston couldn’t run the ball to save its life No. 31, Watson had no issues lighting it up through the air with the offense still possessing a viable pass catching corps and being forced to play catchup in a majority of games. The defense also continued to be the sieve that it was the prior year in allowing over 416 yards and 29 points per game. With the end results of the draft not very impressive and very little brought in via free agency to shore up the roster, I only expect it to get worse before it gets better for this fledgling franchise. I’m not kidding when I say if the Week 1 tilt at home against Jacksonville isn’t won, there might not be another win on the board the rest of the way. That’s how bad it is in Houston right now!
So if you want to lay the heavy chalk and bet against the Texans eclipsing their season win total odds in 2021-22, by all means go right ahead. I believe it’ll prove to be a winnable investment. However, the more attractive bet just might be as to whether Houston goes winless over the course of the regular season. If you can find it somewhere or get your book to establish a line, throw some beer money on it and join me in rooting for the Texans to suffer an even more miserable campaign from Week 1 on!
Houston Texans Season Win Total Prediction: Under 4.5
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