The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions have controlled Thanksgiving Day football access for several generations.
On Thursday, the Cowboys will continue the tradition by hosting the defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs.
Although both teams are struggling with the NFL Odds, they remain legacy franchise brands. But the Chiefs' dynasty is beginning to crumble.
Since 2015, the Chiefs have made the NFL Playoffs every season with three Super Bowl championships and two more Super Sunday appearances.
However, the Chiefs, like the Cowboys, are looking doubtful for 2025.
Dallas owner Jerry Jones' dream of a final Super Bowl is fading.
Thanksgiving football between the Cowboys and Chiefs means mega-brand betting activity and TV ratings.
Get the latest NFL Week 13 news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss the football action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys Odds at Bookmaker
AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, hosts the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday, November 27, 2025. Kickoff time is at 4:30 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened with Kansas City as a 3.5-point favorite and Dallas as a 3.5-point dog.
Kansas City is a -198 moneyline favorite against Dallas, a +166 moneyline dog.
Dallas and Kansas City opened with a total of 51.5.
Kansas City Chiefs
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs beat the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in overtime as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 50.
Kansas City is 6-5 straight up, 5-6 against the spread, and 3-8 over/under the total.
Kansas City ranks 5th for total offense, 2nd for passing, 15th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 6th for fewest turnovers committed.
Kansas City ranks 5th in total defense, 8th vs. the pass, 8th vs. the rush, 4th in fewest points allowed, and 24th in takeaways.
Late on, Kansas City has covered one out of its most recent four games.
Kansas City went under the total in six of its last six matchups.
Dallas Cowboys
Last game, the Dallas Cowboys won 24-21 against the Philadelphia Eagles as 3-point home dogs. The game went under the total of 48.
Dallas is 5-5-1 straight up, 6-5 against the spread, and 7-4 over/under the total.
Overall, Dallas ranks 1st for total offense, 1st for passing, 14th for rushing, 4th for scoring, and 19th for fewest turnovers committed.
Dallas ranks 29th for total defense, 30th vs. the pass, 22nd vs. rush, 31st for fewest points allowed, and 25th for takeaways.
Late on, Dallas has covered two out of its most recent two games.
Dallas went under the total in one of its last three matchups.
Chiefs at Cowboys Betting Trends
Kansas City covered the spread in only one of its last seven away games.
The Chiefs went under the total in six of their most recent nine away games.
The Cowboys got the cash in five of their last eight games at Jerry World.
Dallas went over the total in 14 of their last 20 home games.
In the series between Kansas City and Dallas, the Chiefs covered the spread in only three of the last nine meetings.
KC and Dallas went under the total in six of those games.
Specifically in Dallas, the Chiefs failed to get the money on their last four visits.
Three of those four games went under the total.
Chiefs at Cowboys Best Bets
Although the Cowboys are dreadful, they remain America’s team. That moniker was born in 1978 and lives on.
The Dallas brand is too big to ignore, justifiable or not. Thus, Dallas will draw massive betting action from squares for a home Thanksgiving game.
In like manner, the Chiefs are the most successful franchise of the past decade.
Kansas City brings the star power of Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and Travis Kelce. But those stars are fading and no longer so bright.
Last year, the Chiefs were routed in an embarrassing Super Bowl loss that served as a portent.
As mentioned earlier, Dallas has the NFL betting odds advantage with all of the pertinent trends.
Kansas City is not what it used to be.
The total will be overvalued given the Chiefs' offense's reputation and the Cowboys' weak defense.
Thus, the under could sneak through on a contrarian bet.
Main Pick: Dallas Cowboys
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Dak Prescott Under the Passing Yards Total
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