There is a theory in sports gambling that has proven to be an important factor to consider. The Stock Market Theory is based on teams that went too far, good or bad, in the previous season.
Thus, the theory posits that such extreme changes are unsustainable over consecutive seasons, as evidenced by the NFL odds.
The Washington Commanders are going through a stock market correction in 2025.
Washington stunned gamblers by making the 2024 NFC championship game. Now, the Commanders are fighting for their playoff lives in 2025.
On Sunday night, the Commanders host the surprising Seattle Seahawks.
Under second year head coach Mike Macdonald, the Seahawks are developing into one of the most mature and fundamentally sound teams in the NFL.
NBC's Sunday Night Football is always a large draw, especially in matchups of contending teams.
Get the latest NFL Week 9 news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss Sunday Night Football action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders Odds at Bookmaker
Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD, will host the Washington Commanders vs. Seattle Seahawks matchup on Sunday, November 2, 2025. The kickoff time is at 8:20 p.m. ET, with television coverage on NBC.
Oddsmakers opened with Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite and Washington as a 3.5-point dog.
Seattle is a -185 moneyline favorite against Washington, which is a +154 moneyline dog.
Seattle and Washington opened with a total of 45.5.
Seattle Seahawks
Last game, the Seattle Seahawks won 27-19 against the Houston Texans as 3-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 41.
As a result, Seattle is 5-2 straight up, 5-2 against the spread, and 4-3 over/under the total.
Seattle ranks 13th for total offense, 10th for passing, 22nd for rushing, 6th for scoring, and 28th for fewest turnovers committed.
Seattle ranks 8th for total defense, 23rd vs. the pass, 1st vs rush, 7th for fewest points allowed, and 4th for takeaways.
Washington Commanders
Last game, the Washington Commanders lost 28-7 against the Kansas City Chiefs as 10-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 48.
Washington is 3-5 straight up, 3-5 against the spread, and 3-5 over/under the total.
Overall, Washington ranks 6th for total offense, 13th for passing, 2nd for rushing, 10th for scoring, and 19th for fewest turnovers committed.
Washington ranks 31st for total defense, 31st vs. the pass, 28th vs rush, 21st for fewest points allowed, and 18th for takeaways.
Seahawks at Commanders Betting Trends
In the series between Seattle and Washington, the Commanders covered the spread in five of their last seven meetings with the Seahawks.
The Commanders and Seahawks went under the total in five of their most recent six meetings.
Specifically in Washington, the Commanders covered five of their last seven games against Seattle, including the last two.
The Commanders and Seahawks went under the total in their most recent four meetings in Washington.
The Seattle Seahawks have shown solid betting value on the road. To illuminate, the Seahawks have covered eight of their most recent 12 away games.
Seattle went under the total in 12 of their last 19 road matchups.
Similarly, the Washington Commanders have been a strong home team. Washington has won the money in nine of its most recent 11 home games.
Only five of Washington’s last 18 home games went under the total.
Seahawks at Commanders Best Bets
The Washington Commanders are suffering through a market correction.
Washington is no longer a team that surprises oddsmakers and opponents. Thus, the hidden value of 2024 is gone for the Commanders.
The Seahawks have become a highly respected team with sharps.
Seattle is quietly winning games and turning a profit as the casual sector is fixated on more popular NFL brands. Seattle is offering hidden value that remains undiscovered.
In this situation, the Seahawks offer more value as the quality road team.
Washington has not been a reliable value this year.
Main Pick: Seattle Seahawks
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Deebo Samuel Under the Receiving Yardage Total
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