Since 2016, the AFC West Division has been the Chiefs' exclusive territory. However, the Chiefs are likely going to have to settle for a wild card playoff spot.
The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers are leading the division, and the Chiefs have not had the consistency to stay at the top.
At the onset of the preseason future market, Denver and the Chargers were seen by the betting public as serious threats to the Kansas City dynasty.
On Sunday, the Broncos host the Chiefs with an opportunity for a body blow to KC.
The Chiefs and Broncos are hated arch rivals that have shared the same division since they were founded in the American Football League in 1960.
With such history, branding and the high stakes of the game, betting action will be intense and heavy.
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Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Odds at Bookmaker
Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, is the venue for the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos on Sunday, November 16, 2025. Kickoff time is at 4:25 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened with Kansas City as a 3.5-point favorite and Denver as a 3.5-point dog.
Kansas City is a -190 moneyline favorite against Denver, which is a +160 moneyline dog.
Kansas City and Denver opened with a total of 44.5.
Kansas City Chiefs
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost 28-21 against the Buffalo Bills as 2.5-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 52.5.
Kansas City is 5-4 straight up, 5-4 against the spread, and 3-6 over/under the total.
Kansas City is in 3rd place in the AFC West Division and in a tiebreaker for the final AFC wild-card playoff spot.
Kansas City ranks 8th for total offense, 5th for passing, 14th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 4th for fewest turnovers committed.
Kansas City ranks 6th in total defense, 7th vs. the pass, 12th vs. the rush, 4th in fewest points allowed, and 18th in takeaways.
Denver Broncos
Last game, the Denver Broncos won 10-7 against the Las Vegas Raiders as 8.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 42.5.
Denver is 8-2 straight up, 4-5-1 against the spread, and 3-7 over/under the total. Denver leads the AFC West Division by one game over the Los Angeles Chargers.
Denver ranks 15th for total offense, 19th for passing, 10th for rushing, 17th for scoring, and 22nd for fewest turnovers committed.
Denver ranks 3rd for total defense, 5th vs. the pass, 6th vs. the rush, 3rd for fewest points allowed, and 25th for takeaways.
Chiefs at Broncos Betting Trends
Kansas City has become a poor betting value on the road.
To show, the Chiefs covered the spread in only three of their last 11 away games.
Kansas City went over the total in only five of its last 15 road tilts.
Denver has been an increasingly good betting value at home.
To illustrate, the Broncos covered the spread in 12 of their most recent 18 home games. Denver went over the total in only two of its last six home games.
In the series between the Chiefs and Broncos, Denver has covered the spread in six of the most recent seven meetings.
The Chiefs and Broncos went under the total in six of their last nine meetings.
Specifically at Denver, the Broncos got the money in four straight games against the Chiefs.
Kansas City and Denver went under the total in four of their last seven games at Denver.
Chiefs at Broncos Best Bets
Of course, the Chiefs remain one of the most respected brands on the board.
Too many fans and gamblers have made too much money on the Chiefs.
Of great concern to gamblers is the Chiefs' inconsistency.
Although the Broncos have a strong straight-up record, they are not dominating the payout window.
Denver has yet to demonstrate the wagering value necessary to earn gamblers' trust fully.
Additionally, the Broncos will not get a favorable price at home.
In fact, Denver is likely going to be overpriced.
Although Denver is likely to be overpriced, everything points to the Broncos.
In this situation, Denver has been in better form.
As mentioned earlier, all of the situational trends favor Denver.
Main Pick: Denver Broncos
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Travis Kelce Under the Receiving Yards Total
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