There hasn’t been a back-to-back NFL Offensive Player of the Year winner since Marshall Faulk won this award three straight times from 1999 to 2001. That makes it unlikely that Cooper Kupp claims the honor again, but he is the co-favorite alongside Jonathan Taylor ahead of the 2022 season. Kupp should feature in the Los Angeles Rams offense and put up big numbers, yet he would need an even greater season and probably a record 2,000 receiving yards to repeat.
|PLAYER ||ODDS |
|Cooper Kupp ||+800 |
|Jonathan Taylor ||+800 |
|Derrick Henry ||+900 |
|Davante Adams ||+1200 |
|Deebo Samuel ||+1200 |
|Christian McCaffrey ||+1600 |
|Patrick Mahomes ||+1800 |
|Nick Chubb ||+2000 |
|Josh Allen ||+2000 |
|Lamar Jackson ||+2200 |
|Dalvin Cook ||+2200 |
It’s going to be very difficult for Cooper Kupp to win consecutive OPOY honors. Kupp was named the winner of this award after a sensational season that saw him lead the NFL with 145 receptions for 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns last year. However, it was by far the most productive season of his career, as he never had more than 95 catches or 1,200 yards before the breakout campaign. Additionally, the 2021 season was the first time in five years that he was healthy enough to play every regular season game, so durability is a big question mark.
Jonathan Taylor is probably the safest bet on the board. Taylor was superb last year, leading the league with 1,811 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns. The Indianapolis Colts have a road grating offensive line that should be the best in the NFL once more, and Matt Ryan is a significant upgrade at quarterback over Carson Wentz. If Taylor can stay healthy, he has a very good chance of putting up big numbers once more.
The 2020 NFL Offensive Player of the Year is among the favorites too. Derrick Henry was one of the favorites to win this award last year, and he was one of the leaders through the first half of the season. However, Henry suffered an injury that caused him to miss the final nine games of the regular season. King Henry was on pace to run for over 2,000 yards and 20 touchdowns as he had 937 yards and 10 touchdowns through eight games, and he might have led the NFL in rushing yards for the third straight season if he stayed on the field.
The Las Vegas Raiders acquired one of the NFL’s best receivers in Davante Adams. That gives Derek Carr an elite wideout, as Adams has been named a First Team All-Pro in two straight seasons. It might be tough for Adams to post the gaudy numbers needed to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year though. Carr is not on the same level as Aaron Rodgers, and Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller will likely see a lot of targets in this offense too.
Deebo Samuel is an interesting choice to be named NFL OPOY. Samuel became the first player to lead his team in rushing touchdowns and receiving touchdowns in a season in decades, but he is at odds with San Francisco. He no longer wants to be used as a running back as much as he has been the last two years, and his numbers could go down if Trey Lance starts the season at quarterback ahead of Jimmy Garoppolo.
The best value on the board lies with Nick Chubb. He has been an exceptional running back over his four years in the NFL, averaging at least 5.0 YPC each season. Chubb has run for over 1,000 yards in three straight seasons, and the presence of a real quarterback in Deshaun Watson could give him even more lanes to run through. Kareem Hunt will take some carries away from Chubb, but he could still post the numbered needed to win this award.
Avoid betting on a quarterback to win this award. Since quarterbacks almost always win the NFL MVP nowadays, OPOY has turned into an honor reserved for running backs and wide receivers. It would take an absolutely absurd season from a signal caller to win this award.
2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Pick: Nick Chubb
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